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6 Dec 2025-12:30
Charlton
Charlton
17th place
- : -
6 Dec 2025 6:30
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
22nd place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Charlton vs Portsmouth: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 6:30

1×2 Prediction
Charlton
51%27%22%
CharltonDrawPortsmouth
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
57%43%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
53%47%
NoYes
Team Total - Charlton
Under 1.5
56%44%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Portsmouth
Under 1.5
76%24%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Charlton/Draw
78%22%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Portsmouth +1
60%40%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Double Chance Charlton or Draw
Odds: 1.35
78.2%
EV: +5.5%
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Charlton vs Portsmouth Match Preview: A Crucial Clash at the Bottom of the Championship

Intro Title

This match between Charlton and Portsmouth is pivotal for both teams as they fight to escape the relegation zone in the Championship. With Charlton sitting 17th on 23 points and Portsmouth struggling in 22nd with just 17 points, the stakes are high for a much-needed victory.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams have had a rough patch recently, with each looking to turn their fortunes around.

  • Charlton: The Addicks are currently in a tailspin, having lost their last four matches, scoring just once while conceding a staggering 10 goals. Their home form shows slight resilience with three wins in their last five at The Valley, but they are still leaking goals, averaging 1.4 conceded per home match.
  • Portsmouth: The Pompey are also in dire straits, winless in their last five away matches. They have struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.8 goals per game on the road. Their defense has been porous, conceding an alarming 2.6 goals per away match, making them extremely vulnerable.

Head-to-Head

Historically, there’s little to separate these two sides, as they have yet to meet in recent competitive matches. Thus, there is no head-to-head record to draw from, adding an element of unpredictability to the encounter.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Charlton will likely look to assert themselves at home, relying on their key defensive players like Lloyd Jones and M. Gillesphey to shore up the backline and minimize conceding chances. Portsmouth, on the other hand, may focus on a counter-attacking strategy, leveraging the balance and creativity of players like J. Murphy and M. Pack to exploit any defensive lapses from Charlton. Goalkeeper N. Schmid will have to be on high alert to prevent any slip-ups.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Charlton 2 - 1 Portsmouth
Reasoning: Despite their recent struggles, Charlton's home advantage and Portsmouth's poor away form suggest that the Addicks are likely to edge this contest, even if the match is tightly contested.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 2.15 (51.4%).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.7 (56.8%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.54 vs 0.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.57%
0:1
7.79%
0:2
3.17%
0:3
0.86%
0:4
0.18%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
14.1%
🔥
1:1
12.1%
1:2
5.18%
1:3
1.47%
1:4
0.31%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
10.39%
2:1
9.36%
2:2
4.2%
2:3
1.25%
2:4
0.28%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
5.1%
3:1
4.82%
3:2
2.26%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.16%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.88%
4:1
1.86%
4:2
0.91%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.55%
5:1
0.57%
5:2
0.29%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.6%
0
21.9%
1
25.7%
2
20.5%
3
12.5%
4
6.3%
5
2.5%
6
0.8%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Charlton
vs
Portsmouth
Dec 6, 12:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
16
Leicester
d w w l l
>
18
6
6
6
22
23
-1
24
17
Charlton
w l l l l
>
18
6
5
7
18
23
-5
23
18
Blackburn
l w l d d
>
18
6
3
9
18
23
-5
21

21
Swansea
l l l l l
>
18
4
5
9
18
27
-9
17
22
Portsmouth
d l w l l
>
18
4
5
9
15
25
-10
17
23
Norwich
d l l d w
>
18
3
4
11
19
29
-10
13
Last 6 Matches
Charlton
VS
Portsmouth
1/6 (17%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
0.67 PPG 0.67
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
50% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.74 Avg xG 0.85
Charlton
W L L L L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Coventry
3 1
Charlton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Stoke City
3 0
Charlton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 12:30
Charlton
1 5
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Wrexham
1 0
Charlton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Charlton
1 0
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Charlton
1 1
Swansea
Portsmouth
D L W L L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 12:30
Portsmouth
0 1
Bristol City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Sheffield Utd
3 0
Portsmouth
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Portsmouth
3 1
Millwall
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 12:30
Hull City
3 2
Portsmouth
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Portsmouth
0 0
Wrexham
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Birmingham
4 0
Portsmouth
Missing Players
Charlton
- Injured - Ankle Injury
24
f
- Injured - Calf Injury
17
d
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
32
d
- Injured - (questionable) Foot Injury
23
f
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Portsmouth
29
f
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
21
m
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
19
d
- Injured - Groin Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
7
f
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
54% Draw 20%
43% Over 2.5 57%
47% Both Teams Score 53%
1.98 xPTS 1.02
1.48 xG [Total: 2.36] 0.88
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 2
5 Corners [Total: 9] 4
2 Offsides [Total: 3] 1
13 Fouls [Total: 24] 11
5 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 3
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Charlton will take on Portsmouth as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous The Valley. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Charlton, and the visiting side, Portsmouth. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Charlton or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-06 Time: 12:30 Location: The Valley Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Charlton vs Portsmouth Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 6:30 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.35
78.2%
EV: +5.5% Kelly: $7.90
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Portsmouth NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.16
88%
EV: +2.1% Kelly: $6.61
Bet Now
Value
Away Total Portsmouth Under 1.5
Odds: 1.33
76.5%
EV: +1.7% Kelly: $2.64
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 06:25:57
spinner

Trends for Charlton vs Portsmouth Football 6 Dec, 2025 6:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishing

    Charlton convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing

🎯 Betting Analysis

Charlton vs Portsmouth

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Charlton is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Charlton

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
18
Momentum
-0.05
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Portsmouth

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Charlton - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.17
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.56
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.67
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.56

✈️ Portsmouth - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Charlton - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Portsmouth - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
1

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Charlton excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 6 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Charlton scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Charlton has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Charlton handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.086
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.042
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.016 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.006 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Charlton):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Portsmouth):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Charlton
Portsmouth

Charlton vs Portsmouth Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 6:30 Championship

Charlton vs Portsmouth: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Charlton and away matches for Portsmouth

Number of goals

Number of goals
Charlton
Under
Over
Portsmouth
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Charlton
Portsmouth
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Charlton
Portsmouth
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
50% 5
60% 6

Double Chance

Double Chance
Charlton
Portsmouth
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
50% 5
40% 4
X2
70% 7
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Charlton
Portsmouth
0-1
20% 2
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
20% 2
30% 3

Total Corners

Total Corners
Charlton
Under
Over
Portsmouth
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Charlton
Portsmouth
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Charlton
Portsmouth
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Charlton
Portsmouth
xG
0.96
0.91
xGa
1.71
1.49

Number of goals

Number of goals
Charlton
Under
Over
Portsmouth
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Charlton
Portsmouth
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Charlton
Portsmouth
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
30% 3
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Charlton
Portsmouth
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
90% 9
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Charlton
Portsmouth
0-1
60% 6
90% 9
2-3
30% 3
0% 0
4+
10% 1
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Charlton
Portsmouth
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6

Number of goals

Number of goals
Charlton
Under
Over
Portsmouth
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Charlton
Portsmouth
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Charlton
Portsmouth
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Charlton
Portsmouth
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
80% 8
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Charlton
Portsmouth
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Charlton
Portsmouth
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Charlton or Draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
10.7%
Low
8.50
1.5%
Low
17.00
-2
18.8%
Low
7.70
4.0%
Low
N/A
-1.5
26.8%
Low
4.15
6.4%
Low
8.00
-1
39.8%
Low
3.35
13.6%
Low
6.60
-0.5
52.7%
Medium
2.15
20.8%
Low
3.34
+0.5
79.2%
High
1.36
47.3%
Low
1.75
+1
86.4%
High
1.11
60.2%
Medium
1.35
+1.5
93.6%
High
1.06
73.2%
High
1.22
+2
96.0%
High
N/A
81.2%
High
1.02
+2.5
98.5%
High
1.01
89.3%
High
1.01
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.545.47%Low2.38
Under 1.554.53%Medium1.60
AwayOver 1.521.96%Low3.40
Under 1.578.04%High1.33
HomeOver 2.520.06%Low5.50
Under 2.579.94%High1.16
AwayOver 2.55.93%Low10.00
Under 2.594.07%High1.07
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Charlton
Portsmouth
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 8 10 18
Wins 4 2 6
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 2 5 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 10 0.8 8 1 18
Goals Conceded 1.1 9 1.4 14 1.3 23
Yellow Cards 1.8 14 1.6 16 1.7 30
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.3 3 0.3 6
Corners 4.3 34 2.3 23 3.2 57
Fouls 11.8 94 10.7 107 11.2 201
Offsides 1.6 13 2.2 22 1.9 35
Shots 13 104 9.7 97 11.2 201
Shots on Goal 4.3 34 3.3 33 3.7 67
Home Away All
Played 10 8 18
Wins 3 1 4
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 5 4 9
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.9 9 0.8 6 0.8 15
Goals Conceded 1.1 11 1.8 14 1.4 25
Yellow Cards 2 20 2.4 19 2.2 39
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 3 0.3 2 0.3 5
Corners 5.8 58 3.8 30 4.9 88
Fouls 8.5 85 11.5 92 9.8 177
Offsides 2.4 24 1.3 10 1.9 34
Shots 14.7 147 7.9 63 11.7 210
Shots on Goal 3.9 39 2.8 22 3.4 61
Portsmouth Dominates Swansea City 4-0 in Championship Match
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