Charlton vs Portsmouth: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 6:30
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Upgrade to PremiumCharlton vs Portsmouth Match Preview: A Crucial Clash at the Bottom of the Championship
Intro Title
This match between Charlton and Portsmouth is pivotal for both teams as they fight to escape the relegation zone in the Championship. With Charlton sitting 17th on 23 points and Portsmouth struggling in 22nd with just 17 points, the stakes are high for a much-needed victory.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams have had a rough patch recently, with each looking to turn their fortunes around.
- Charlton: The Addicks are currently in a tailspin, having lost their last four matches, scoring just once while conceding a staggering 10 goals. Their home form shows slight resilience with three wins in their last five at The Valley, but they are still leaking goals, averaging 1.4 conceded per home match.
- Portsmouth: The Pompey are also in dire straits, winless in their last five away matches. They have struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.8 goals per game on the road. Their defense has been porous, conceding an alarming 2.6 goals per away match, making them extremely vulnerable.
Head-to-Head
Historically, there’s little to separate these two sides, as they have yet to meet in recent competitive matches. Thus, there is no head-to-head record to draw from, adding an element of unpredictability to the encounter.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Charlton will likely look to assert themselves at home, relying on their key defensive players like Lloyd Jones and M. Gillesphey to shore up the backline and minimize conceding chances. Portsmouth, on the other hand, may focus on a counter-attacking strategy, leveraging the balance and creativity of players like J. Murphy and M. Pack to exploit any defensive lapses from Charlton. Goalkeeper N. Schmid will have to be on high alert to prevent any slip-ups.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Charlton 2 - 1 Portsmouth
Reasoning: Despite their recent struggles, Charlton's home advantage and Portsmouth's poor away form suggest that the Addicks are likely to edge this contest, even if the match is tightly contested.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 2.15 (51.4%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.7 (56.8%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
Charlton
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Charlton vs Portsmouth Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 6:30 Football
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Trends for Charlton vs Portsmouth Football 6 Dec, 2025 6:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🟨
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
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🎯
Clinical Finishing
Charlton convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
Comprehensive betting trends for Charlton vs Portsmouth, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Charlton @ 2.18 ✅ 
✅Charlton
- Efficient ScoringRecent7/888%Charlton efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 8 Championship (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent6/875%Charlton are unbeaten in 6 of their last 8 Championship (Home) matches
❌Portsmouth
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Portsmouth are currently 22th in the table (3rd from bottom)
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.87 
Portsmouth(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/850%Portsmouth struggle to score in away matches (0.75/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.70 ✅ 
Charlton(2 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent15/1883%Charlton scored 0-1 goals in 15 of their last 18 Championship matches
- Few GoalsRecent6/875%Charlton scored 0-1 goals in 6 of their last 8 Championship (Home) matches
Portsmouth(2 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1486%Portsmouth scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
- Few GoalsRecent25/3083%Portsmouth scored 0-1 goals in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Charlton Win or Draw @ 1.35 ✅ 
✅Charlton
- Undefeated at HTRecent7/888%Charlton are undefeated at half time in 7 of their last 8 Championship (Home) matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent14/1878%Charlton are undefeated at half time in 14 of their last 18 Championship matches
- UnbeatenRecent6/875%Charlton are unbeaten in 6 of their last 8 Championship (Home) matches
❌Portsmouth
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Portsmouth are currently 22th in the table (3rd from bottom)
⚡ Team Total Goals — Charlton Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.38 ⚠️ 
✅Charlton
- Scored 1+Recent6/875%Charlton scored 1+ goals in their last 6 8 matches
❌Portsmouth
- Weak AttackLeague4/850%Portsmouth struggle to score in away matches (0.75/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.78 ✅ 
Portsmouth(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Portsmouth average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+23% above league avg 1.8) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1493%Portsmouth receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Portsmouth receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.07 ✅ 
Charlton(3 trends) — avg 4.2 (-14% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/879%Charlton average 4.2 corners/match at home (-14% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent7/888%Charlton win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 8 Championship (Home) matches
- Few CornersRecent15/1788%Charlton win 4 or fewer corners in 15 of their last 17 Championship matches
Portsmouth(1 trends) — avg 3.8 (-24% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Portsmouth average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-24% below league avg 4.9)
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Charlton vs Portsmouth
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Charlton
✈️ Portsmouth
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Charlton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Portsmouth - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Charlton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Portsmouth - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Charlton excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Charlton scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Charlton has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Charlton handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Charlton):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Portsmouth):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Charlton vs Portsmouth Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 6:30 Championship
Charlton vs Portsmouth: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Charlton and away matches for Portsmouth
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10.7% Low 8.50 | 1.5% Low 17.00 |
| -2 | 18.8% Low 7.70 | 4.0% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 26.8% Low 4.15 | 6.4% Low 8.00 |
| -1 | 39.8% Low 3.35 | 13.6% Low 6.60 |
| -0.5 | 52.7% Medium 2.15 | 20.8% Low 3.34 |
| +0.5 | 79.2% High 1.36 | 47.3% Low 1.75 |
| +1 | 86.4% High 1.11 | 60.2% Medium 1.35 |
| +1.5 | 93.6% High 1.06 | 73.2% High 1.22 |
| +2 | 96.0% High N/A | 81.2% High 1.02 |
| +2.5 | 98.5% High 1.01 | 89.3% High 1.01 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 45.47% | Low | 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 54.53% | Medium | 1.60 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 21.96% | Low | 3.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 78.04% | High | 1.33 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 20.06% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 79.94% | High | 1.16 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 5.93% | Low | 10.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 94.07% | High | 1.07 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
0
0
0
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 5 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 10 | 0.8 | 8 | 1 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 9 | 1.4 | 14 | 1.3 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 14 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.7 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 6 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 34 | 2.3 | 23 | 3.2 | 57 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 94 | 10.7 | 107 | 11.2 | 201 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 13 | 2.2 | 22 | 1.9 | 35 |
| Shots | 13 | 104 | 9.7 | 97 | 11.2 | 201 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 34 | 3.3 | 33 | 3.7 | 67 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 8 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.9 | 9 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.8 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 11 | 1.8 | 14 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 20 | 2.4 | 19 | 2.2 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 58 | 3.8 | 30 | 4.9 | 88 |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 85 | 11.5 | 92 | 9.8 | 177 |
| Offsides | 2.4 | 24 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.9 | 34 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 147 | 7.9 | 63 | 11.7 | 210 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 39 | 2.8 | 22 | 3.4 | 61 |


Championship 2025-2026