Charlton vs Portsmouth: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 6:30
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Upgrade to PremiumCharlton vs Portsmouth Match Preview: A Crucial Clash at the Bottom of the Championship
Intro Title
This match between Charlton and Portsmouth is pivotal for both teams as they fight to escape the relegation zone in the Championship. With Charlton sitting 17th on 23 points and Portsmouth struggling in 22nd with just 17 points, the stakes are high for a much-needed victory.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams have had a rough patch recently, with each looking to turn their fortunes around.
- Charlton: The Addicks are currently in a tailspin, having lost their last four matches, scoring just once while conceding a staggering 10 goals. Their home form shows slight resilience with three wins in their last five at The Valley, but they are still leaking goals, averaging 1.4 conceded per home match.
- Portsmouth: The Pompey are also in dire straits, winless in their last five away matches. They have struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.8 goals per game on the road. Their defense has been porous, conceding an alarming 2.6 goals per away match, making them extremely vulnerable.
Head-to-Head
Historically, there’s little to separate these two sides, as they have yet to meet in recent competitive matches. Thus, there is no head-to-head record to draw from, adding an element of unpredictability to the encounter.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Charlton will likely look to assert themselves at home, relying on their key defensive players like Lloyd Jones and M. Gillesphey to shore up the backline and minimize conceding chances. Portsmouth, on the other hand, may focus on a counter-attacking strategy, leveraging the balance and creativity of players like J. Murphy and M. Pack to exploit any defensive lapses from Charlton. Goalkeeper N. Schmid will have to be on high alert to prevent any slip-ups.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Charlton 2 - 1 Portsmouth
Reasoning: Despite their recent struggles, Charlton's home advantage and Portsmouth's poor away form suggest that the Addicks are likely to edge this contest, even if the match is tightly contested.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 2.15 (51.4%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.7 (56.8%).
Bet responsibly.
Match has started. Predictions are locked.
Scoring Rules
Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.
| Category | Points | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Exact Score | 5 | Your prediction matches the final score exactly. |
| Outcome (1X2) | 2 | You correctly predicted the winner or a draw. |
| BTTS Bonus | +1 | You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't). |
| Total Goals Bonus | +1 | You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5. |
Examples:
- Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
• Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
• Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
• Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
• Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch) - Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
• Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
• Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
• Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
Charlton
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Charlton vs Portsmouth Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 6:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Charlton vs Portsmouth Football 6 Dec, 2025 6:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🟨
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
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🎯
Clinical Finishing
Charlton convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
Comprehensive betting trends for Charlton vs Portsmouth, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Charlton(1 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent16/2176%Charlton efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 16 of their last 21 Championship matches
Portsmouth(1 trends)
- Not WinRecent16/2176%Portsmouth have not won in 16 of their last 21 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Portsmouth(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/1050%Portsmouth struggle to score in away matches (0.70/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Charlton(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent18/2186%Charlton scored 0-1 goals in 18 of their last 21 Championship matches
Portsmouth(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/1050%Portsmouth struggle to score in away matches (0.70/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent17/2181%Portsmouth scored 0-1 goals in 17 of their last 21 Championship matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Portsmouth(1 trends)
- Not WinRecent16/2176%Portsmouth have not won in 16 of their last 21 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Portsmouth(2 trends) — avg 2.4 (+22% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague21/2190%Portsmouth average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+19% above league avg 1.8) — rank #2 in league
- Many CardsRecent17/2181%Portsmouth receive 2+ cards in 17 of their last 21 Championship matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Charlton(2 trends) — avg 4.4 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1077%Charlton average 4.4 corners/match at home (-12% below league avg 5.0)
- Few CornersRecent16/2080%Charlton win 4 or fewer corners in 16 of their last 20 Championship matches
Portsmouth(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-20% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1085%Portsmouth average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 5.0)
+2 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Charlton vs Portsmouth
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Charlton
✈️ Portsmouth
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Charlton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Portsmouth - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Charlton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Portsmouth - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Charlton excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 8 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Charlton scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Charlton has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Charlton handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Charlton):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Portsmouth):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Charlton vs Portsmouth Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 6:30 Championship
Charlton vs Portsmouth: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Charlton and away matches for Portsmouth
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11.7% Low N/A | 0.6% Low N/A |
| -2 | 20.7% Low N/A | 2.1% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 29.6% Low N/A | 3.5% Low N/A |
| -1 | 43.8% Low N/A | 9.3% Low N/A |
| -0.5 | 57.9% Medium N/A | 15.0% Low N/A |
| +0.5 | 85.0% High N/A | 42.1% Low N/A |
| +1 | 90.7% High N/A | 56.2% Medium N/A |
| +1.5 | 96.5% High N/A | 70.4% High N/A |
| +2 | 97.9% High N/A | 79.3% High N/A |
| +2.5 | 99.4% High N/A | 88.3% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 43.55% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 56.45% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 13.19% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 86.81% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 18.61% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 81.39% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 2.62% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 97.38% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
0
0
0
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 12 | 0.8 | 9 | 1 | 21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 11 | 1.4 | 15 | 1.2 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 20 | 1.7 | 19 | 1.9 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 7 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 44 | 2.4 | 26 | 3.3 | 70 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 124 | 10.4 | 114 | 11.3 | 238 |
| Offsides | 2 | 20 | 2.2 | 24 | 2.1 | 44 |
| Shots | 12.2 | 122 | 9.5 | 104 | 10.8 | 226 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.1 | 41 | 3.1 | 34 | 3.6 | 75 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 11 | 0.7 | 7 | 0.9 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 12 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.3 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 22 | 2.3 | 23 | 2.1 | 45 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 65 | 4 | 40 | 5 | 105 |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 94 | 10.5 | 105 | 9.5 | 199 |
| Offsides | 2.4 | 26 | 1.1 | 11 | 1.8 | 37 |
| Shots | 15 | 165 | 7.5 | 75 | 11.4 | 240 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.2 | 46 | 2.6 | 26 | 3.4 | 72 |


Championship 2025-2026