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Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 13 December, 2025 8:00
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 3.90 vs 0.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.32%
0:1
0.86%
0:2
0.28%
0:3
0.06%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
4.97%
1:1
3.4%
1:2
1.16%
1:3
0.26%
1:4
0.04%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
9.38%
2:1
6.74%
2:2
2.41%
2:3
0.57%
2:4
0.1%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
11.79%
🔥
3:1
8.88%
⭐
3:2
3.33%
⭐
3:3
0.83%
⭐
3:4
0.15%
⭐
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
11.11%
⭐
4:1
8.76%
⭐
4:2
3.43%
⭐
4:3
0.89%
⭐
4:4
0.17%
⭐
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
8.38%
⭐
5:1
6.9%
⭐
5:2
2.81%
⭐
5:3
0.76%
⭐
5:4
0.15%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
3:0 (11.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
10
2
2
29
13
16
32
4
9
4
2
28
14
14
31
5
6
6
2
22
14
8
24
14
4
3
7
12
15
-3
15
15
3
5
6
13
22
-9
14
16
3
4
7
15
22
-7
13
Last 6 Matches
Atletico Madrid
VS
Valencia
5/6 (83%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.50
PPG
1.00
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
0.50
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
67%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.54
Avg xG
0.91
3.90
xG [Total: 4.68]
0.78
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 3]
2
8
Corners [Total: 11]
4
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
10
Fouls [Total: 20]
10
7
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
3
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Atletico Madrid will take on Valencia as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-13 at 2025-12-13 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atletico Madrid, and the visiting side, Valencia. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Atletico Madrid.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-13
Time: 13:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Saturday, Dec 13th, 2025 at 8:00 Football
Value Bets
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Best Tip
High Value
Asian Handicap
Atletico Madrid -1
Odds:
1.50↓
84.1%
EV: +26.2%
Kelly: $26.21
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Trends for Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Football 13 Dec, 2025 8:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Atletico Madrid have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Atletico Madrid score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Atletico Madrid vs Valencia, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Atletico Madrid @ 1.39 ✅ 
Atletico Madrid
- Efficient ScoringH2H9/1090%Atletico Madrid efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches vs Valencia
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches vs Valencia
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Atletico Madrid score 2.50 goals/match at home (+93% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Atletico Madrid concede only 0.75 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Atletico Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 La Liga (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Atletico Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 La Liga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 La Liga (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1580%Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 12 15 matches
- UnbeatenRecent24/3080%Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in 24 of their last 30 La Liga matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Atletico Madrid efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent23/3077%Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Valencia
- Not WinRecent13/1587%Valencia have not won in 13 of their last 15 La Liga (Away) matches
Atletico Madrid dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.70 
Valencia(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/757%Valencia struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 57% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.84 ✅
Atletico Madrid(5 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches vs Valencia
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Atletico Madrid score 2.50 goals/match at home (+93% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Atletico Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 La Liga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 La Liga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent23/3077%Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Teams average combined 2.5 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Atletico Madrid Win or Draw @ 1.08 ✅ 
Atletico Madrid
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Atletico Madrid concede only 0.75 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent15/15100%Atletico Madrid are undefeated at half time in their last 15 15 matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1580%Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 12 15 matches
- UnbeatenRecent24/3080%Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in 24 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Valencia
- Not WinRecent13/1587%Valencia have not won in 13 of their last 15 La Liga (Away) matches
Atletico Madrid demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Atletico Madrid Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.51 ✅
Atletico Madrid
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Atletico Madrid score 2.50 goals/match at home (+93% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent15/15100%Atletico Madrid scored 1+ goals in their last 15 15 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent12/1580%Atletico Madrid score in second half in 12 of their last 15 La Liga (Home) matches
Valencia
- Weak AttackLeague4/757%Valencia struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 57% of matches
Atletico Madrid maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Atletico Madrid(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H9/1090%Atletico Madrid receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches vs Valencia
Valencia(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1486%Valencia average 1.9 cards/match in all matches (-14% below league avg 2.1) — rank #3 lowest in league
Valencia disciplined play balances Atletico Madrid aggression — • H2H average: 4.9 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
Atletico Madrid(1 trends) — avg 9.1 (+88% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Atletico Madrid average 9.1 corners/match at home (+88% above league avg 4.9)
Valencia(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-18% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/783%Valencia average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.9)
Combined average: 13.1 corners/match (Atletico Madrid 9.1 + Valencia 4.0) • Atletico Madrid dominance pushes total over threshold
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Atletico Madrid
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.38
Pressure
0.25
✈️ Valencia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Atletico Madrid - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
✈️ Valencia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Atletico Madrid - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Valencia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Atletico Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider Atletico Madrid to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Atletico Madrid excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 10 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Atletico Madrid has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Atletico Madrid handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.111
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.111
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atletico Madrid):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Valencia):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 8:00 La Liga
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atletico Madrid and away matches for Valencia
Number of goals
Number of goals
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Valencia
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
1
80%
8
20%
2
X
0%
0
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
12
100%
10
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
20%
2
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Valencia
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
xG
1.62
1.08
xGa
1.27
1.37
Number of goals
Number of goals
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Valencia
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2
1X2
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
0%
0
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
100%
10
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
0-1
60%
6
90%
9
2-3
40%
4
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Valencia
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
Atletico Madrid AH-1
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.78%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 90.10% | High | 1.51 |
| Under 1.5 | 9.90% | Low | 2.62 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 18.42% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 81.58% | High | 1.15 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 74.72% | High | 2.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 25.28% | Low | 1.54 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 4.46% | Low | 23.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 95.54% | High | 1.02 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Played:
10
Wins
8
8
Draws
1
1
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
22
2.2
Goals
0.9
9
9
0.9
Goals Conceded
2.2
22
31
3.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
18
0
Red Cards
0
6
0.6
Clean Sheets
0.1
1
43
4.3
Corners
5.1
51
137
13.7
Fouls
13.2
132
16
1.6
Offsides
0.7
7
132
13.2
Shots
9.7
97
55
5.5
Shots on Goal
3.1
31
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 2 | 9 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.5 | 20 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.9 | 28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 6 | 1.1 | 8 | 0.9 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 1.9 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 4 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 9.1 | 73 | 4.9 | 34 | 7.1 | 107 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 77 | 12.1 | 85 | 10.8 | 162 |
| Offsides | 2.1 | 17 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.2 | 33 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 123 | 10.7 | 75 | 13.2 | 198 |
| Shots on Goal | 7 | 56 | 4.3 | 30 | 5.7 | 86 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 9 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 6 | 2.3 | 16 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 45 | 3.4 | 24 | 4.9 | 69 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 88 | 10.9 | 76 | 11.7 | 164 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 10 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.3 | 18 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 93 | 6.9 | 48 | 10.1 | 141 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 26 | 2.1 | 15 | 2.9 | 41 |
Copa del Rey Recap: Two Upsets as La Liga Teams Push to the Edge
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