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Atletico Madrid vs Alaves: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 18 January, 2026 9:15
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12
Played
11
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7
(32 total)
xG
2.20
(26.1 total)
Shots per Match
14.6
(175 total)
Shots on Target
6.8
(47% acc)
Corners
8.1
(97 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.2
(122 total)
Offsides
1.8
(22 total)
13
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(13.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.9
(142 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(38% acc)
Corners
5
(65 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.9
(155 total)
Offsides
2.2
(28 total)
25
Played
15
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(49 total)
xG
1.60
(39.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(317 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(43% acc)
Corners
6.5
(162 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.1
(277 total)
Offsides
2
(50 total)
10
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(12 total)
xG
1.30
(12.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(121 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(31% acc)
Corners
5.5
(55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
14.4
(144 total)
Offsides
1.6
(16 total)
9
Played
1
Wins
1
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.4
(4 total)
xG
0.90
(7.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.4
(94 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(33% acc)
Corners
4.3
(39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15.9
(143 total)
Offsides
2.8
(25 total)
19
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(16 total)
xG
1.10
(20.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(215 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(32% acc)
Corners
4.9
(94 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
15.1
(287 total)
Offsides
2.2
(41 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.51 vs 0.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.3%
0:1
2.5%
0:2
0.59%
0:3
0.09%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
12.52%
1:1
6.68%
1:2
1.76%
1:3
0.31%
1:4
0.04%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
14.77%
🔥
2:1
8.82%
2:2
2.58%
2:3
0.49%
⭐
2:4
0.07%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
11.63%
⭐
3:1
7.68%
⭐
3:2
2.47%
⭐
3:3
0.52%
⭐
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
6.86%
⭐
4:1
4.97%
⭐
4:2
1.74%
⭐
4:3
0.4%
⭐
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
3.24%
⭐
5:1
2.55%
⭐
5:2
0.97%
⭐
5:3
0.24%
⭐
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
2:0 (14.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Atletico Madrid will take on Alaves as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-18 at 2026-01-18 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atletico Madrid, and the visiting side, Alaves. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-18
Time: 15:15
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Sunday, Jan 18th, 2026 at 9:15 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Football 18 Jan, 2026 9:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 9 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Atletico Madrid have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Atletico Madrid score in 2nd half 88% of matches — expect late goals
+7 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 9 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Atletico Madrid vs Alaves, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Atletico Madrid @ 1.35 ✅ 
Atletico Madrid
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Atletico Madrid score 2.44 goals/match at home (+91% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Atletico Madrid concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Efficient ScoringRecent15/1883%Atletico Madrid efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 18 La Liga matches
Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Atletico Madrid to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.57 ⚠️ 
Atletico Madrid(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/956%Atletico Madrid score (2.44/match) and concede (0.78/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 56% of matches (league avg: 50%)
Alaves(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Alaves struggle to score in away matches (0.38/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.97 ✅
Atletico Madrid(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Atletico Madrid score 2.44 goals/match at home (+91% above league average)
Alaves(3 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H8/989%Alaves scored 0-1 goals in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Alaves struggle to score in away matches (0.38/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent14/1782%Alaves scored 0-1 goals in 14 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Combined 2.4 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Atletico Madrid Win or Draw @ 1.07 ⚠️
Atletico Madrid
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Atletico Madrid concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent18/18100%Atletico Madrid are undefeated at half time in their last 18 18 matches
Atletico Madrid demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Atletico Madrid Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.53 ✅ 
Atletico Madrid
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Atletico Madrid score 2.44 goals/match at home (+91% above league average)
Atletico Madrid's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Atletico Madrid(1 trends) — avg 1.8 (-27% below league)
- Many CardsH2H8/989%Atletico Madrid receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches
Alaves(2 trends) — avg 2.6 (+6% above league)
- Many CardsH2H7/978%Alaves receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 La Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent14/1782%Alaves receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.9 cards per match in their last 9 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
Atletico Madrid(1 trends) — avg 8.7 (+80% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/985%Atletico Madrid average 8.7 corners/match at home (+80% above league avg 4.8)
Alaves(1 trends) — avg 4 (-15% below league)
- Few CornersH2H7/888%Alaves win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 8 La Liga matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
🔄 Second Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Atletico Madrid
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.21
✈️ Alaves
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.28
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Atletico Madrid - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
✈️ Alaves - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Atletico Madrid - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Alaves - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Atletico Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Atletico Madrid shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Atletico Madrid winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Atletico Madrid excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 8 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Atletico Madrid has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Atletico Madrid handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.033
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.089
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atletico Madrid):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Alaves):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Head-to-head statistics for Sun 18 Jan, 2026 @ 9:15 La Liga
La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
13
2
3
37
17
20
41
4
11
5
3
34
17
17
38
5
10
4
5
23
20
3
34
15
▼
5
4
10
18
22
-4
19
16
▼
5
4
10
16
24
-8
19
17
▼
4
6
9
21
28
-7
18
Team comparison
Prediction
Atletico Madrid to Win
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Atletico Madrid
VS
Alaves
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (12)
0.9 (8)
xG
1.10
0.80
Shots
11.4 (103)
6.7 (60)
Shots on Target
4.9 (44)
1.7 (15)
Corners
6.2 (56)
2.2 (20)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 (8)
1.3 (12)
xGa
0.80
1.10
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 (23)
2.2 (20)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
13.2 (119)
15 (135)
Offsides
2.7 (24)
1 (9)
Last 6 Matches
Atletico Madrid
VS
Alaves
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.67
PPG
0.67
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.19
Avg xG
1.21
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atletico Madrid and away matches for Alaves
Number of goals
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
1
70%
7
20%
2
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
20%
2
70%
7
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
80%
8
30%
3
X2
30%
3
80%
8
Total Goals
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
40%
4
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
xG
1.42
1.16
xGa
1.51
1.47
Number of goals
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
0%
0
30%
3
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
100%
10
70%
7
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
1
40%
4
0%
0
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
60%
6
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
40%
4
X2
60%
6
100%
10
Total Goals
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
2.32
xG
0.47
59%
Ball Possession
41%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
7
7
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
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