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La Liga 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
6 Dec 2025-20:00
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
8th place
- : -
6 Dec 2025 15:00
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
4th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 15:00

1×2 Prediction
Athletic Club
35%31%34%
Athletic ClubDrawAtletico Madrid
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
62%38%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
54%46%
NoYes
Team Total - Athletic Club
Under 1.5
69%31%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Atletico Madrid
Under 1.5
70%30%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Athletic Club/Draw
66%34%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Athletic Club +1
79%21%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Total - Away Atletico Madrid Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.6
70.2%
EV: +12.3%
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Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: Clash of Fortunes

A Battle for European Aspirations

This La Liga matchup sees Athletic Club hosting Atletico Madrid, with critical stakes for both teams. Athletic Club sits in 8th place with 20 points, struggling to find consistency, while Atletico Madrid, in 4th with 31 points, is aiming to solidify their position in the Champions League spots.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances that could shape the outcome.

  • Athletic Club: The home side is currently struggling, having lost three of their last five matches, including a disappointing 0-3 defeat to Real Madrid. They have been vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match while only managing to score 1.
  • Atletico Madrid: In stark contrast, Atletico is on a robust winning streak, with four victories in their last five matches. Their attacking prowess has seen them average 2 goals per match, with a solid defense allowing only 0.8 goals per game, making them a tough opponent on the road.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Atletico Madrid has had the upper hand in recent encounters, winning 6 of the last 10 matches against Athletic Club. The last five results reveal a trend that favors Atletico, with scores showing their ability to secure narrow victories: 1-0, 0-1, 3-1, 2-0, and 1-0.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Stylistically, Atletico Madrid will likely look to exploit Athletic Club's defensive vulnerabilities. The presence of players like J. Alvarez, who has been a consistent starter, could be pivotal in breaking down the home defense. Meanwhile, Nico Williams for Athletic Club will be crucial in providing creativity and pace in attack, aiming to challenge Atletico's backline.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win.
Predicted Score: Athletic Club 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid
Reasoning: Atletico's current form and superior xG metrics suggest they are well-equipped to secure a victory, despite Athletic Club's home advantage.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Match Winner - Away Win @ 2.26 (33.6%).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.73 (62%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.17 vs 1.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.74%
0:1
11.4%
0:2
5.1%
0:3
1.52%
0:4
0.34%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
13.48%
🔥
1:1
13.46%
1:2
6.64%
1:3
2.17%
1:4
0.53%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
7.14%
2:1
7.86%
2:2
4.25%
2:3
1.51%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.08%
3
3:0
2.52%
3:1
3.03%
3:2
1.79%
3:3
0.69%
3:4
0.19%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
0.67%
4:1
0.87%
4:2
0.56%
4:3
0.23%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.14%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.14%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

12.7%
0
24.9%
1
25.7%
2
18.5%
3
10.5%
4
4.9%
5
1.9%
6
0.6%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Athletic Club
vs
Atletico Madrid
Dec 6, 20:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Villarreal
w w w w w
>
14
10
2
2
29
13
16
32
4
Atletico Madrid
w w w w l
>
15
9
4
2
28
14
14
31
5
Real Betis
l w d d w
>
14
6
6
2
22
14
8
24

7
Getafe
w w l l w
>
14
6
2
6
13
15
-2
20
8
Athletic Club
l w l w l
>
15
6
2
7
14
20
-6
20
9
Rayo Vallecano
w l d d d
>
14
4
5
5
13
15
-2
17
Last 6 Matches
Athletic Club
VS
Atletico Madrid
2/6 (33%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.00 PPG 2.50
0.50 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
0% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.28 Avg xG 1.54
Athletic Club
W L D W L
La Liga 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Athletic Club
0 3
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Levante
0 2
Athletic Club
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Slavia Praha
0 0
Athletic Club
La Liga 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 15:15
Barcelona
4 0
Athletic Club
La Liga 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 13:00
Athletic Club
1 0
Oviedo
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Newcastle
2 0
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
W W W W L
La Liga 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Barcelona
3 1
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
2 0
Oviedo
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
2 1
Inter
La Liga 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Getafe
0 1
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Atletico Madrid
3 1
Levante
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
3 1
Union St. Gilloise
Missing Players
Athletic Club
5
d
- Injured - Doping
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Groin Injury
Atletico Madrid
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
39% Draw 30%
38% Over 2.5 62%
46% Both Teams Score 54%
1.63 xPTS 1.37
1.12 xG [Total: 2.15] 1.03
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 3] 2
6 Corners [Total: 11] 5
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
16 Fouls [Total: 27] 11
5 Shots on Goal [Total: 9] 5
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Athletic Club will take on Atletico Madrid as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Athletic Club, and the visiting side, Atletico Madrid. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-06 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 15:00 Football

Value Bets

6 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Away Total Atletico Madrid Under 1.5
Odds: 1.60
70.2%
EV: +12.3% Kelly: $10.28
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Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.73
62%
EV: +7.3% Kelly: $5.02
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Athletic Club +1.5
Odds: 1.20
89.4%
EV: +7.3% Kelly: $18.17
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Atletico Madrid NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.28
81.1%
EV: +3.9% Kelly: $6.89
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Athletic Club +1
Odds: 1.30
79.4%
EV: +3.2% Kelly: $5.37
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 12:32:17
spinner

Trends for Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Football 6 Dec, 2025 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Athletic Club create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Athletic Club rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 10).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Athletic Club

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Atletico Madrid

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.38
Pressure
0.25

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Athletic Club - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Athletic Club - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Atletico Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider Atletico Madrid to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Atletico Madrid excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 10 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Atletico Madrid has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Atletico Madrid handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.201
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.111
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Athletic Club):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atletico Madrid):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 15:00 La Liga

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Athletic Club and away matches for Atletico Madrid

Number of goals

Number of goals
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
1
30% 3
80% 8
X
20% 2
0% 0
2
50% 5
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
12
80% 8
100% 10
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
70% 7
20% 2

Total Goals

Total Goals
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
0-1
40% 4
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
30% 3
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
xG
1.21
1.62
xGa
1.03
1.27

Number of goals

Number of goals
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
50% 5
60% 6
2
30% 3
0% 0

Double Chance

Double Chance
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
12
50% 5
40% 4
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
80% 8
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Yes
50% 5
80% 8
No
50% 5
20% 2

Number of goals

Number of goals
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
50% 5
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
90% 9
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Team comparison
Prediction
Atletico Madrid Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
4.6%
Low
N/A
2.7%
Low
11.00
-2
10.0%
Low
17.00
6.5%
Low
8.90
-1.5
15.4%
Low
7.30
10.4%
Low
4.50
-1
27.1%
Low
6.60
20.2%
Low
3.89
-0.5
38.8%
Low
3.30
30.1%
Low
2.34
+0.5
69.9%
Medium
1.69
61.2%
Medium
1.38
+1
79.8%
High
1.30
72.9%
High
1.11
+1.5
89.6%
High
1.20
84.6%
High
1.07
+2
93.5%
High
1.01
90.0%
High
1.01
+2.5
97.3%
High
1.04
95.4%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.532.57%Low3.40
Under 1.567.43%Medium1.35
AwayOver 1.526.57%Low2.58
Under 1.573.43%High1.58
HomeOver 2.511.36%Low10.00
Under 2.588.64%High1.07
AwayOver 2.58.10%Low6.20
Under 2.591.90%High1.14
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
1 Mar
- 20:00
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
2.25
xG
1.12
1
0
31 Aug
- 17:00
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
0.29
xG
1.73
0
1
27 Apr
- 19:00
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
1
16 Dec
- 15:15
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
2
0
19 Feb
- 17:30
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
1
0
15 Oct
- 19:00
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
0
1
30 Apr
- 19:00
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
2
0
18 Sep
- 14:15
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
0
0
25 Apr
- 19:00
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
2
1
10 Mar
- 18:00
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
2
1
club logo
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Played: 10
Wins
3
Draws
1
Wins
6
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
8
0.8
Goals
1
10
10
1
Goals Conceded
0.8
8
22
2.2
Yellow Cards
2.7
27
0
Red Cards
0.1
1
3
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.5
5
41
4.1
Corners
4.9
49
135
13.5
Fouls
11
110
6
0.6
Offsides
1.9
19
99
9.9
Shots
10.4
104
26
2.6
Shots on Goal
3.1
31
Home Away All
Played 8 7 15
Wins 4 2 6
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 3 4 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 8 0.9 6 0.9 14
Goals Conceded 1.1 9 1.6 11 1.3 20
Yellow Cards 1.5 12 1.9 13 1.7 25
Red Cards 0 0.4 3 0.2 3
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.3 2 0.3 4
Corners 5.8 46 4.7 33 5.3 79
Fouls 13.9 111 10.1 71 12.1 182
Offsides 0.8 6 1.6 11 1.1 17
Shots 13.3 106 11.9 83 12.6 189
Shots on Goal 4.4 35 3.7 26 4.1 61
Home Away All
Played 8 7 15
Wins 7 2 9
Draws 1 3 4
Losses 0 2 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.5 20 1.1 8 1.9 28
Goals Conceded 0.8 6 1.1 8 0.9 14
Yellow Cards 1.9 15 2 14 1.9 29
Red Cards 0 0.3 2 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.5 4 0.3 2 0.4 6
Corners 9.1 73 4.9 34 7.1 107
Fouls 9.6 77 12.1 85 10.8 162
Offsides 2.1 17 2.3 16 2.2 33
Shots 15.4 123 10.7 75 13.2 198
Shots on Goal 7 56 4.3 30 5.7 86
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