Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 3 January, 2026 7:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Scoring Rules
Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.
| Category | Points | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Exact Score | 5 | Your prediction matches the final score exactly. |
| Outcome (1X2) | 2 | You correctly predicted the winner or a draw. |
| BTTS Bonus | +1 | You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't). |
| Total Goals Bonus | +1 | You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5. |
Examples:
- Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
• Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
• Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
• Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
• Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch) - Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
• Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
• Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
• Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
Aston Villa
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Saturday, Jan 3rd, 2026 at 7:30 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Football 3 Jan, 2026 7:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🧱
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
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🚫
Toothless Attack
Nottingham Forest struggle to score — failed to find net in 7/9 recent away matches
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Aston Villa(3 trends)
- Efficient ScoringH2H5/683%Aston Villa efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/956%Aston Villa score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
Nottingham Forest(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague7/978%Nottingham Forest struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 78% of matches

Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H4/666.7%Both teams scored in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Nottingham Forest(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague7/978%Nottingham Forest struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 78% of matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Aston Villa(2 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 1.7 (-11% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Aston Villa average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 1.9) — rank #3 lowest in league
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Nottingham Forest(2 trends) — avg 4.2 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersH2H4/580%Nottingham Forest win 4 or fewer corners in 4 of their last 5 Premier League matches
- Few CornersLeague9/977%Nottingham Forest average 4.2 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.8)
+12 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Nottingham Forest is stronger in the second half (14 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Nottingham Forest is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
✈️ Nottingham Forest
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Nottingham Forest - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Nottingham Forest - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider Aston Villa to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nottingham Forest shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 10 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Nottingham Forest winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nottingham Forest excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nottingham Forest scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Aston Villa has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Aston Villa handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nottingham Forest):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-head statistics for Sat 3 Jan, 2026 @ 7:30 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Nottingham Forest
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13.9% Low N/A | 0.3% Low N/A |
| -2 | 23.7% Low N/A | 1.3% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 33.5% Low N/A | 2.3% Low N/A |
| -1 | 48.1% Low N/A | 7.0% Low N/A |
| -0.5 | 62.7% Medium N/A | 11.6% Low N/A |
| +0.5 | 88.4% High N/A | 37.3% Low N/A |
| +1 | 93.0% High N/A | 51.9% Medium N/A |
| +1.5 | 97.7% High N/A | 66.5% Medium N/A |
| +2 | 98.7% High N/A | 76.3% High N/A |
| +2.5 | 99.7% High N/A | 86.1% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 45.22% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 54.78% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 9.33% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 90.67% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 19.87% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 80.13% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 1.52% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 98.48% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
3
1
2
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 4 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 15 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.6 | 27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.1 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.2 | 11 | 1.8 | 14 | 1.5 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 47 | 4.9 | 39 | 5.1 | 86 |
| Fouls | 9 | 81 | 11 | 88 | 9.9 | 169 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 11 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.2 | 21 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 104 | 10.9 | 87 | 11.2 | 191 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 43 | 3.4 | 27 | 4.1 | 70 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 11 | 0.7 | 6 | 1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 13 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 11 | 2.1 | 19 | 1.8 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 6 | 48 | 4.2 | 38 | 5.1 | 86 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 91 | 10.7 | 96 | 11 | 187 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 12 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 24 |
| Shots | 14.8 | 118 | 9.6 | 86 | 12 | 204 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 34 | 3.7 | 33 | 3.9 | 67 |


Premier League 2025-2026