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Aston Villa
1
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Brighton
Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 4 March, 2026 13:30
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
17
Played
13
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(27 total)
xG
1.30
(21.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(228 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(38% acc)
Corners
5.6
(96 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.9
(169 total)
Offsides
1.1
(19 total)
18
Played
10
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(26 total)
xG
1.10
(20.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(201 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(39% acc)
Corners
4.8
(86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.6
(173 total)
Offsides
1.1
(19 total)
35
Played
23
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(53 total)
xG
1.20
(42.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(429 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(38% acc)
Corners
5.2
(182 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.8
(342 total)
Offsides
1.1
(38 total)
17
Played
10
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(32 total)
xG
2.00
(33.2 total)
Shots per Match
15
(255 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(34% acc)
Corners
6.9
(117 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
11.1
(188 total)
Offsides
1.5
(26 total)
18
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(37 total)
xG
1.70
(31.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(235 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(41% acc)
Corners
4.4
(79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.3
(203 total)
Offsides
1.6
(29 total)
35
Played
18
Wins
9
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(69 total)
xG
1.80
(64.4 total)
Shots per Match
14
(490 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(37% acc)
Corners
5.6
(196 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(7 total)
Fouls
11.2
(391 total)
Offsides
1.6
(55 total)
No lambda data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Aston Villa will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-03-04 at 2026-03-04 in the famous Villa Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-04
Time: 19:30
Location: Villa Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Aston Villa vs Chelsea Football 4 Mar, 2026 13:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Chelsea score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Chelsea.
🏆 Match Winner
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa2 TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Chelsea score 1.89 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Aston Villa score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Chelsea score 1.89 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 1.9 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa2 TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak Trends65%
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea1 TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Chelsea are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Chelsea score 1.89 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 975%
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 Trends — avg 1.6 (-16% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Aston Villa average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 1.9) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 1790%
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea2 Trends — avg 2.6 (+36% above league)Many CardsH2H
Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
Chelsea average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.9) — rank #2 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 1790%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.2 cards per match in their last 10 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa disciplined play balances Chelsea aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Chelsea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Chelsea
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.111
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Wed 4 Mar, 2026 @ 13:30 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
16
5
5
54
24
30
53
3
15
5
6
37
27
10
50
4
12
9
5
47
37
10
45
5
12
8
6
47
30
17
44
6
12
6
8
41
35
6
42
Aston Villa
VS
Chelsea
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
4
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (13)
1.5 (17)
xG
1.50
2.00
Shots
11.1 (122)
15.7 (173)
Shots on Target
4.5 (50)
5.4 (59)
Corners
4.9 (54)
5.8 (64)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (17)
1.2 (13)
xGa
2.00
1.50
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 (26)
2.9 (32)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (2)
Fouls
10.4 (114)
13.6 (150)
Offsides
1.1 (12)
2.5 (28)
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Chelsea
4/6 (67%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.33
PPG
2.17
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
2.50
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
33%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
67%
1.17
Avg xG
2.54
Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Chelsea
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
1X2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
60%
6
70%
7
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Chelsea
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
40%
4
30%
3
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0-1
50%
5
10%
1
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
20%
2
60%
6
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Chelsea
xG
1.3
2.56
xGa
1.24
1.13
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Chelsea
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0-1
90%
9
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
40%
4
70%
7
X
30%
3
0%
0
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Chelsea
12
70%
7
100%
10
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
30%
3
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
10%
1
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1.25
xG
1.94
53%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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