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Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 4 March, 2026 14:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
13
Played
11
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(23 total)
xG
1.30
(16.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(159 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(42% acc)
Corners
5.2
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(130 total)
Offsides
1.3
(17 total)
14
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(20 total)
xG
1.10
(15.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(151 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(36% acc)
Corners
4.7
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.3
(130 total)
Offsides
1
(14 total)
27
Played
18
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(43 total)
xG
1.20
(32.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.5
(310 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(39% acc)
Corners
5
(134 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.6
(260 total)
Offsides
1.1
(31 total)
13
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(24 total)
xG
1.80
(23.7 total)
Shots per Match
15
(195 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(34% acc)
Corners
6.7
(87 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(4 total)
Fouls
11.9
(155 total)
Offsides
1.6
(21 total)
14
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(23 total)
xG
1.30
(18.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(169 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(37% acc)
Corners
4.5
(63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.6
(163 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
27
Played
11
Wins
8
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(47 total)
xG
1.60
(42.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(364 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(36% acc)
Corners
5.6
(150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(37%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(7 total)
Fouls
11.8
(318 total)
Offsides
1.7
(46 total)
No prediction data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Aston Villa will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-03-04 at 2026-03-04 in the famous Villa Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-04
Time: 20:00
Location: Villa Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Aston Villa vs Chelsea Football 4 Mar, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Chelsea score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Chelsea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Aston Villa(2 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
Chelsea(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Chelsea score 1.89 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/956%Aston Villa score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Chelsea(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Chelsea score 1.89 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H6/1060%Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 H2H matches (60.0%%)
Combined 1.9 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Aston Villa(2 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1776%Chelsea are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Chelsea score 1.89 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 1.7 (-11% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Aston Villa average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 1.9) — rank #3 lowest in league
Chelsea(2 trends) — avg 2.6 (+36% above league)
- Many CardsH2H8/1080%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Chelsea average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.9) — rank #2 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.2 cards per match in their last 10 H2H matches
Aston Villa disciplined play balances Chelsea aggression —
+12 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Chelsea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.1
✈️ Chelsea
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.081
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.031
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.053 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Wed 4 Mar, 2026 @ 14:00 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
13
4
4
45
19
26
43
3
13
4
4
33
24
9
43
4
10
5
6
32
28
4
35
7
▼
8
8
5
36
32
4
32
8
▼
8
7
6
34
24
10
31
9
▲
9
4
8
30
30
0
31
Aston Villa
VS
Chelsea
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
4
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (13)
1.5 (17)
xG
1.50
2.00
Shots
11.1 (122)
15.7 (173)
Shots on Target
4.5 (50)
5.4 (59)
Corners
4.9 (54)
5.8 (64)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (17)
1.2 (13)
xGa
2.00
1.50
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 (26)
2.9 (32)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (2)
Fouls
10.4 (114)
13.6 (150)
Offsides
1.1 (12)
2.5 (28)
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Chelsea
4/6 (67%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.17
PPG
1.00
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
83%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.40
Avg xG
1.83
Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Chelsea
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
80%
8
80%
8
No
20%
2
20%
2
1X2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
80%
8
10%
1
X
10%
1
50%
5
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Chelsea
12
90%
9
50%
5
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
20%
2
90%
9
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
40%
4
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Chelsea
xG
1.41
1.48
xGa
1.4
1.63
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Chelsea
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
70%
7
20%
2
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Chelsea
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
30%
3
80%
8
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1.29
xG
0.89
51%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
5
7
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
3
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