Login
Register
Brighton
3
4
Aston Villa
Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 4 March, 2026 15:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
9
1
4
32
16
16
28
3
▲
8
3
3
20
14
6
27
4
▼
7
3
4
25
15
10
24
5
▲
6
5
3
18
11
7
23
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Chelsea
6/6 (100%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
2.50
PPG
1.67
2.50
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.72
Avg xG
1.61
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.47
xG [Total: 2.61]
1.14
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
5
Corners [Total: 10]
5
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
9
Fouls [Total: 20]
11
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
5
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Aston Villa will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-03-04 at 2026-03-04 in the famous Villa Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-04
Time: 20:00
Location: Villa Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Aston Villa vs Chelsea Football 4 Mar, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Suppression
Aston Villa rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Chelsea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Aston Villa(3 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Aston Villa concede only 0.71 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
Chelsea(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Chelsea score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+52% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Chelsea rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/771%Aston Villa score well (1.57/match) but have strong defense at home (0.71 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 71% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
Chelsea(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Chelsea score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+52% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Chelsea rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
Combined 2.1 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Aston Villa(2 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Aston Villa concede only 0.71 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Aston Villa(2 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Aston Villa concede only 0.71 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%Aston Villa rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
Chelsea(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Chelsea score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+52% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Chelsea rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1484.5%Aston Villa average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.9)
Chelsea(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H8/1080%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Chelsea average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 1.9) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
Aston Villa disciplined play balances Chelsea aggression — • H2H average: 5.2 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 5.6 (+15% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/780%Aston Villa average 5.6 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 4.8)
Moderate corner environment -
+20 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Chelsea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Chelsea
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.07
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Aston Villa excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 2 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Aston Villa scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Chelsea has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Chelsea handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.116
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.052
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Wed 4 Mar, 2026 @ 15:00 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Chelsea
Number of goals
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
80%
8
60%
6
X
0%
0
20%
2
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Chelsea
12
100%
10
80%
8
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
20%
2
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Chelsea
xG
1.38
1.74
xGa
1.08
1.1
Number of goals
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Chelsea
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
60%
6
60%
6
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Chelsea
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
40%
4
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Played:
10
Wins
4
4
Draws
2
2
Wins
4
4
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
11
1.1
Goals
1.6
16
16
1.6
Goals Conceded
1.1
11
23
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.7
27
0
Red Cards
0.2
2
2
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.3
3
47
4.7
Corners
5.8
58
106
10.6
Fouls
13.5
135
12
1.2
Offsides
2.8
28
111
11.1
Shots
15.9
159
42
4.2
Shots on Goal
5.6
56
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 11 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 5 | 1.3 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 10 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 39 | 5.1 | 36 | 5.4 | 75 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 67 | 10.7 | 75 | 10.1 | 142 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 8 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 17 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 81 | 11.4 | 80 | 11.5 | 161 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 35 | 3.3 | 23 | 4.1 | 58 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 10 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 7 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.1 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 12 | 2.4 | 17 | 2.1 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 7 | 49 | 4.7 | 33 | 5.9 | 82 |
| Fouls | 11 | 77 | 11.1 | 78 | 11.1 | 155 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 11 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.9 | 26 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 103 | 12.9 | 90 | 13.8 | 193 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.3 | 37 | 5 | 35 | 5.1 | 72 |
Jamie Carragher: Arsenal Needs to Control Their Emotions in the Title Race
Transfer Roundup: Liverpool Eyes Bundesliga Star, Man Utd Secures Key Signing, Tottenham Pursues £40m ‘Leader’
Gary Neville announces Chelsea's exclusion from the Premier League title chase as key issues are identified.
Leeds United's impressive victory over Chelsea has unlocked the key to Premier League survival
Premier League Saturday Insights: How Many Chances Do the Black Cats Have?
Roy Keane boldly predicts Premier League title outcome following Arsenal and Chelsea matches
Is TAA Returning to the Premier League? Real Madrid Utilizes Former Liverpool Player as a 'Bargaining Chip' in Chelsea Transfer Deal
Real Madrid player considers Premier League transfer in January
Midweek Matchday Highlights: Key Insights for Premier League Fans
Enzo Maresca plans significant January transfer for top striker to disrupt Premier League championship battle.