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Aston Villa vs Brighton: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 11 February, 2026 13:30
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16
Played
12
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(26 total)
xG
1.30
(21.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(214 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(40% acc)
Corners
5.6
(90 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(160 total)
Offsides
1.2
(19 total)
17
Played
9
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(24 total)
xG
1.10
(19.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(184 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(39% acc)
Corners
4.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.6
(163 total)
Offsides
1.1
(18 total)
33
Played
21
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(50 total)
xG
1.20
(40.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(398 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(39% acc)
Corners
5.2
(170 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.8
(323 total)
Offsides
1.1
(37 total)
13
Played
5
Wins
6
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(20 total)
xG
1.50
(19.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(175 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(33% acc)
Corners
5.3
(69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.6
(138 total)
Offsides
2
(26 total)
12
Played
2
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(14 total)
xG
1.40
(17.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(143 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(33% acc)
Corners
4.4
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.5
(150 total)
Offsides
1.8
(21 total)
25
Played
7
Wins
10
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(34 total)
xG
1.50
(36.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(318 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(33% acc)
Corners
4.9
(122 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.5
(288 total)
Offsides
1.9
(47 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.26 vs 1.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.11%
0:1
3.86%
0:2
2.39%
0:3
0.99%
0:4
0.31%
0:5
0.08%
1
1:0
6.88%
1:1
8.69%
1:2
5.48%
1:3
2.31%
1:4
0.73%
1:5
0.18%
2
2:0
7.6%
2:1
9.77%
🔥
2:2
6.27%
2:3
2.69%
⭐
2:4
0.86%
⭐
2:5
0.22%
⭐
3
3:0
5.6%
⭐
3:1
7.32%
⭐
3:2
4.79%
⭐
3:3
2.08%
⭐
3:4
0.68%
⭐
3:5
0.18%
⭐
4
4:0
3.09%
⭐
4:1
4.12%
⭐
4:2
2.74%
⭐
4:3
1.21%
⭐
4:4
0.4%
⭐
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
1.37%
⭐
5:1
1.85%
⭐
5:2
1.25%
⭐
5:3
0.56%
⭐
5:4
0.19%
⭐
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Aston Villa will take on Brighton as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-02-11 at 2026-02-11 in the famous Villa Park.
The referee for the game will be P. Bankes. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Brighton. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Aston Villa or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-11
Time: 19:30
Location: Villa Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Aston Villa vs Brighton Wednesday, Feb 11th, 2026 at 13:30 Football
AI Value Bets
9 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Aston Villa vs Brighton Football 11 Feb, 2026 13:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Suppression
Brighton rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Brighton, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Aston Villa @ 1.98 ✅ 
Aston Villa
- League Best DefenseLeague12/1270%Aston Villa concede only 0.83 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%Aston Villa create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Premier League (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Premier League (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent11/1479%Aston Villa are unbeaten in 11 of their last 14 Premier League (Home) matches
Aston Villa demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.69 
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague7/1258%Aston Villa score well (1.50/match) but have strong defense at home (0.83 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 58% of matches
Brighton(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/1267%Brighton score (1.17/match) and concede (1.58/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 56%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.86 ⚠️ 
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Premier League (Home) matches
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Aston Villa Win or Draw @ 1.29 ✅
Aston Villa
- Undefeated at HTH2H10/1191%Aston Villa are undefeated at half time in their last 10 11 matches vs Brighton
- League Best DefenseLeague12/1270%Aston Villa concede only 0.83 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1486%Aston Villa are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 14 Premier League (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent11/1479%Aston Villa are unbeaten in 11 of their last 14 Premier League (Home) matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent23/3077%Aston Villa are undefeated at half time in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Aston Villa dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.88 ⚠️
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Aston Villa(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H9/1182%Aston Villa receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 11 Premier League matches vs Brighton
- Low Card MatchesLeague25/2590%Aston Villa average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 1.9)
Brighton(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H11/11100%Brighton receive 2+ cards in 11 of their last 11 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
- High Card MatchesLeague25/2590%Brighton average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+24% above league avg 1.9) — rank #3 in league
Aston Villa disciplined play balances Brighton aggression — • H2H average: 6 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.85 ⚠️ 
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 5.8 (+18% above league)
- Many CornersLeague12/1283%Aston Villa average 5.8 corners/match at home (+18% above league avg 4.9)
Aston Villa drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.85
+11 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends[wp_predictions_test_enhanced home_club="245" away_club="225" competition_id="" season_id=""]
Aston Villa vs Brighton Head-to-head statistics for Wed 11 Feb, 2026 @ 13:30 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
15
5
5
51
24
27
50
3
14
5
6
36
27
9
47
4
12
8
5
46
36
10
44
13
▲
8
8
9
26
29
-3
32
14
▼
7
10
8
34
33
1
31
15
▼
7
8
10
35
35
0
29
Team comparison
Prediction
Aston Villa or Draw
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Aston Villa
VS
Brighton
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
7
Wins
2
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (24)
1 (11)
xG
1.90
1.20
Shots
10.9 (120)
12 (132)
Shots on Target
4.5 (50)
4.3 (47)
Corners
4.5 (50)
5.5 (61)
Defense
Conceded
1 (11)
2.2 (24)
xGa
1.20
1.90
Clean Sheets
4 (36%)
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2 (35)
2.7 (30)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
10.8 (119)
15.2 (167)
Offsides
1 (11)
2.3 (25)
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Brighton
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
1.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.31
Avg xG
1.16
Aston Villa vs Brighton: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Brighton
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Brighton
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
50%
5
10%
1
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Brighton
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
50%
5
90%
9
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Brighton
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
70%
7
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Brighton
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Brighton
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Brighton
xG
1.47
1.37
xGa
1.56
1.55
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Brighton
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Brighton
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Brighton
0-1
100%
10
90%
9
2-3
0%
0
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Brighton
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Brighton
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Brighton
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
1.69
xG
0.76
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
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