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Brighton
3
4
Aston Villa
Aston Villa vs Brighton: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 11 February, 2026 15:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
9
1
4
32
16
16
28
3
▲
8
3
3
20
14
6
27
4
▼
7
3
4
25
15
10
24
6
6
5
3
18
14
4
23
7
▼
6
4
4
24
20
4
22
8
▼
6
4
4
22
21
1
22
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Brighton
6/6 (100%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.50
PPG
1.67
2.50
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.72
Avg xG
1.52
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.50
xG [Total: 2.54]
1.04
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
3
5
Corners [Total: 11]
6
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
9
Fouls [Total: 21]
11
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 10]
4
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Aston Villa will take on Brighton as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-02-11 at 2026-02-11 in the famous Villa Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Brighton. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-11
Time: 20:00
Location: Villa Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Aston Villa vs Brighton Football 11 Feb, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Brighton, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Aston Villa(3 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Aston Villa concede only 0.71 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/771%Aston Villa score well (1.57/match) but have strong defense at home (0.71 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 71% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Aston Villa(3 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H10/1191%Aston Villa are undefeated at half time in their last 10 11 matches vs Brighton
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Aston Villa concede only 0.71 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Aston Villa(2 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Aston Villa concede only 0.71 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%Aston Villa rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
Brighton(2 trends)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent14/14100%Brighton rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 14 of their last 14 Premier League (Away) matches
- Scored 1+Recent11/1479%Brighton scored 1+ goals in 11 of their last 14 Premier League (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Aston Villa(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H9/1182%Aston Villa receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 11 Premier League matches vs Brighton
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1484.5%Aston Villa average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.9)
Brighton(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H11/11100%Brighton receive 2+ cards in 11 of their last 11 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Brighton average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+33% above league avg 1.9) — rank #3 in league
Aston Villa disciplined play balances Brighton aggression — • H2H average: 6 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 5.6 (+15% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/780%Aston Villa average 5.6 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 4.8)
Moderate corner environment -
+13 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Brighton
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Brighton is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Brighton
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.16
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Brighton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Brighton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
16
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
16
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Brighton excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Brighton scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.03
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.06
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Brighton):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Aston Villa vs Brighton Head-to-head statistics for Wed 11 Feb, 2026 @ 15:00 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Brighton: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Brighton
Number of goals
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Brighton
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
80%
8
50%
5
X
0%
0
30%
3
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Brighton
12
100%
10
70%
7
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
20%
2
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Brighton
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Brighton
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Brighton
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Brighton
xG
1.38
1.48
xGa
1.08
1.19
Number of goals
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Brighton
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Brighton
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Brighton
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Brighton
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Brighton
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Brighton
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Brighton
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Aston Villa
Brighton
Played:
11
Wins
7
7
Draws
2
2
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
24
2.2
Goals
1
11
11
1
Goals Conceded
2.2
24
35
3.2
Yellow Cards
2.7
30
0
Red Cards
0.1
1
4
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.2
2
50
4.5
Corners
5.5
61
119
10.8
Fouls
15.2
167
11
1
Offsides
2.3
25
120
10.9
Shots
12
132
50
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.3
47
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 11 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 5 | 1.3 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 10 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 39 | 5.1 | 36 | 5.4 | 75 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 67 | 10.7 | 75 | 10.1 | 142 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 8 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 17 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 81 | 11.4 | 80 | 11.5 | 161 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 35 | 3.3 | 23 | 4.1 | 58 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.1 | 15 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.7 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 10 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 11 | 3.4 | 24 | 2.5 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 33 | 5.3 | 37 | 5 | 70 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 79 | 11.7 | 82 | 11.5 | 161 |
| Offsides | 2 | 14 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.9 | 27 |
| Shots | 13 | 91 | 12.4 | 87 | 12.7 | 178 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.6 | 39 | 4.1 | 29 | 4.9 | 68 |
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