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Aston Villa vs Arsenal: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 7:30
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Upgrade to PremiumAston Villa vs Arsenal: Clash of the Titans
Match Importance
This Premier League encounter features a thrilling matchup between third-placed Aston Villa and league leaders Arsenal. With both teams vying for crucial points, the stakes are high as Villa aims to close the gap on the top while Arsenal seeks to maintain their lead in the title race.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this match with strong performances, but their forms tell distinct stories.
- Aston Villa: The Villans have been formidable at home, boasting a flawless record with five consecutive wins. They have shown a tendency to score freely, averaging 2.2 goals per match while conceding just 0.4 at home, making Villa Park a fortress.
- Arsenal: The Gunners are unbeaten in their last five matches, but their recent performances have been a mixed bag, with three draws. Despite this, they maintain a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals on average, which could be pivotal against a potent Villa attack.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Arsenal holds a slight edge in their encounters with Aston Villa, having won five of their last ten meetings. The last five matchups have been high-scoring affairs, with an average of 2.7 goals per game. Notably, Villa's resilience has shown in recent draws, but they will need to overcome Arsenal's dominance to secure points this time.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
This match will likely see a tactical battle, with Aston Villa looking to exploit the high defensive line of Arsenal. Key players such as A. Onana and B. Kamara will be crucial for Villa in controlling midfield and launching attacks. For Arsenal, the absence of D. Rice could be a significant blow, but the attacking prowess of B. Saka will be critical in breaking through Villa's defense.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Away Win.
Predicted Score: Aston Villa 1 - 2 Arsenal
Reasoning: Arsenal's solid xG of 1.86 and strong away form give them the edge, even against a formidable Villa side that has been prolific at home.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Double Chance - X2 @ 1.25 (71.1%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.84 (56.7%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.09 vs 1.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.26%
⭐
0:1
12.19%
0:2
7.24%
0:3
2.87%
0:4
0.85%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
10.13%
⭐
1:1
13.11%
🔥
1:2
8.43%
1:3
3.59%
1:4
1.14%
1:5
0.29%
2
2:0
5%
⭐
2:1
7%
⭐
2:2
4.85%
2:3
2.21%
2:4
0.75%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
1.64%
⭐
3:1
2.48%
⭐
3:2
1.84%
⭐
3:3
0.9%
3:4
0.32%
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
0.41%
⭐
4:1
0.65%
⭐
4:2
0.52%
⭐
4:3
0.27%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.14%
⭐
5:2
0.12%
⭐
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
10
3
1
27
7
20
33
2
9
1
4
32
16
16
28
3
▲
8
3
3
20
14
6
27
4
▼
7
3
4
25
15
10
24
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Arsenal
6/6 (100%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
2.50
PPG
2.33
2.50
Avg Goals Scored
2.50
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
50%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.72
Avg xG
1.83
Missing Players
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.02
xG [Total: 2.38]
1.36
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 3]
2
5
Corners [Total: 11]
6
1
Offsides [Total: 2]
1
9
Fouls [Total: 21]
11
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
6
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Aston Villa will take on Arsenal as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Villa Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Arsenal. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Arsenal.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-06
Time: 12:30
Location: Villa Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Aston Villa vs Arsenal Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 7:30 Football
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Trends for Aston Villa vs Arsenal Football 6 Dec, 2025 7:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Arsenal, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Arsenal @ 1.96 ✅ 
Arsenal
- High xG PerformanceH2H10/10100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Arsenal rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Arsenal concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Arsenal dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.93 ⚠️ 
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/771%Aston Villa score well (1.57/match) but have strong defense at home (0.71 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 71% of matches
Arsenal(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/757%Arsenal score well (1.29/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.71 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 57% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.15 ✅
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
Arsenal(4 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Arsenal rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Both teams demonstrate strong scoring form in recent matches • Multiple high-scoring trends support Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Arsenal Win or Draw @ 1.26 ✅
Arsenal
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Arsenal concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
Arsenal demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.09 ✅
Arsenal
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Arsenal rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
Arsenal's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.45 ✅ 
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1484.5%Aston Villa average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.9)
Arsenal(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H8/1080%Arsenal receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Arsenal average 1.2 cards/match in all matches (-35% below league avg 1.9) — rank #2 lowest in league
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.45 • H2H average: 5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.91 ⚠️ 
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 5.6 (+15% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/780%Aston Villa average 5.6 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 4.8)
Arsenal(1 trends) — avg 6.1 (+27% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Arsenal average 6.1 corners/match in away matches (+27% above league avg 4.8)
Combined average: 11.7 corners/match (Aston Villa 5.6 + Arsenal 6.1) • Arsenal dominance pushes total over threshold
+25 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Arsenal
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Aston Villa is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Arsenal is stronger in the second half (16 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Arsenal is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Arsenal is stronger in the second half (16 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Arsenal is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Arsenal
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Arsenal - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Arsenal - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Aston Villa often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Aston Villa scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Arsenal shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 10 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Arsenal winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Arsenal excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Arsenal scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Arsenal has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Arsenal handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.24
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.009
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arsenal):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 7:30 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Arsenal: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Arsenal
Number of goals
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
80%
8
80%
8
X
0%
0
20%
2
2
20%
2
0%
0
Double Chance
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Arsenal
12
100%
10
80%
8
1X
80%
8
100%
10
X2
20%
2
20%
2
Total Goals
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Arsenal
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Arsenal
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Arsenal
xG
1.38
1.86
xGa
1.08
0.45
Number of goals
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Arsenal
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Arsenal
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
60%
6
70%
7
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
30%
3
0%
0
Double Chance
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Arsenal
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
70%
7
100%
10
X2
40%
4
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Arsenal
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
Aston Villa Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 29.81% | Low | 3.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 70.19% | High | 1.29 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 37.06% | Low | 2.09 |
| Under 1.5 | 62.94% | Medium | 1.77 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 9.80% | Low | 11.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 90.20% | High | 1.06 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 14.12% | Low | 4.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 85.88% | High | 1.21 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Played:
10
Wins
4
4
Draws
1
1
Wins
5
5
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
13
1.3
Goals
1.4
14
14
1.4
Goals Conceded
1.3
13
25
2.5
Yellow Cards
2
20
0
Red Cards
0
4
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.2
2
40
4
Corners
5.9
59
124
12.4
Fouls
11.7
117
11
1.1
Offsides
1.9
19
96
9.6
Shots
15.8
158
39
3.9
Shots on Goal
5
50
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 11 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 5 | 1.3 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 10 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 39 | 5.1 | 36 | 5.4 | 75 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 67 | 10.7 | 75 | 10.1 | 142 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 8 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 17 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 81 | 11.4 | 80 | 11.5 | 161 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 35 | 3.3 | 23 | 4.1 | 58 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 4 | 10 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.6 | 18 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.9 | 27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.3 | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 1.2 | 17 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 5 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 8 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 40 | 6.1 | 43 | 5.9 | 83 |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 65 | 13 | 91 | 11.1 | 156 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 12 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Shots | 15.3 | 107 | 13 | 91 | 14.1 | 198 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 35 | 5 | 35 | 5 | 70 |
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