Arsenal vs Tottenham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 23 November, 2025 10:30
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
Arsenal
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Trends for Arsenal vs Tottenham Football 23 Nov, 2025 10:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🧱
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
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⚡
Late Goals Expected
Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Arsenal 80%, Tottenham 80%) — expect late drama
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Arsenal vs Tottenham, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Arsenal @ 1.41 ✅ 
✅Arsenal
- High xG PerformanceH2H10/10100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Tottenham
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Tottenham
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%Arsenal score 2.40 goals/match at home (+75% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague5/570%Arsenal concede only 0.20 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- League Top ScorerLeague5/565%Arsenal rank 3 of 20 in scoring at home (2.40 goals/match vs league avg 2.74)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.85 ⚠️ 
Arsenal(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/580%Arsenal score well (2.40/match) but have strong defense at home (0.20 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 80% of matches
Tottenham(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague3/560%Tottenham score well (2.40/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.60 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 60% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.78 ✅ 
Arsenal(5 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Tottenham
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%Arsenal score 2.40 goals/match at home (+75% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague5/565%Arsenal rank 3 of 20 in scoring at home (2.40 goals/match vs league avg 2.74)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Tottenham(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%Tottenham score 2.40 goals/match in away matches (+75% above league average)
🛡️ Double Chance — Arsenal Win or Draw @ 1.10 ✅ 
✅Arsenal
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague5/570%Arsenal concede only 0.20 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent24/3080%Arsenal are undefeated at half time in 24 of their last 30 Premier League matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — Tottenham Over 1.5 Goals @ 5.50 ✅ 
✅Tottenham
- Scored 1+H2H8/1080%Tottenham scored 1+ goals in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Arsenal
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%Tottenham score 2.40 goals/match in away matches (+75% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent23/3077%Tottenham scored 1+ goals in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Arsenal(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H8/1080%Arsenal receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Tottenham
- Low Card MatchesLeague11/1190%Arsenal average 0.9 cards/match in all matches (-51% below league avg 1.9) — rank #1 lowest in league
Tottenham(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague11/1190%Tottenham average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.9) — rank #4 in league
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.53 ✅ 
Arsenal(1 trends) — avg 6.4 (+33% above league)
- Many CornersLeague5/585%Arsenal average 6.4 corners/match at home (+33% above league avg 4.8)
Tottenham(2 trends) — avg 6.8 (+41% above league)
- Few CornersH2H8/1080%Tottenham win 4 or fewer corners in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Arsenal
- Many CornersLeague5/585%Tottenham average 6.8 corners/match in away matches (+41% above league avg 4.8)
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Arsenal vs Tottenham
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Arsenal is stronger in the second half (12 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Arsenal is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Arsenal
✈️ Tottenham
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Arsenal - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Tottenham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Arsenal - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Tottenham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Tottenham often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Tottenham scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Arsenal shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Arsenal winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Arsenal excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Arsenal scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Arsenal has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Arsenal handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arsenal):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Tottenham):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Arsenal vs Tottenham Head-to-head statistics for Sun 23 Nov, 2025 @ 10:30 Premier League
| Market | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner – Home | 67.0% | 70.9% | −3.9% |
| Home Team Total Over 2.5 | 35.1% | 38.5% | −3.4% |
| Match Winner – Draw | 21.0% | 19.6% | +1.4% |
| Match Winner – Away | 12.0% | 11.1% | +0.9% |
| Goals Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 56.2% | +0.4% |
Key Drivers
- Stats backbone uses last 10 home & 10 away matches.
- AnWP comparison shifts home attack by 19.1%.
- ELO gap 214.4 points keeps the favourite multiplier on.
- Home xG input 1.93 with 100% coverage.
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18.2% Low 3.68 | 0.8% Low N/A |
| -2 | 28.1% Low 3.02 | 2.3% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 38.1% Low 2.14 | 3.8% Low 17.00 |
| -1 | 51.1% Medium 1.57 | 8.9% Low 17.00 |
| -0.5 | 64.1% Medium 1.38 | 14.0% Low 7.00 |
| +0.5 | 86.0% High 1.10 | 35.9% Low 3.22 |
| +1 | 91.0% High 1.01 | 48.9% Low 2.50 |
| +1.5 | 96.1% High 1.01 | 61.9% Medium 1.83 |
| +2 | 97.7% High N/A | 71.8% High 1.44 |
| +2.5 | 99.2% High N/A | 81.8% High 1.30 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.68%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 61.52% | Medium | 1.52 |
| Under 1.5 | 38.48% | Low | 2.63 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 24.95% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 75.05% | High | 1.17 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 34.50% | Low | 2.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 65.50% | Medium | 1.52 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 7.31% | Low | 19.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 92.69% | High | 1.03 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
7
1
2
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.4 | 12 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.8 | 20 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.2 | 1 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.5 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.4 | 2 | 1.3 | 8 | 0.9 | 10 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.8 | 4 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.6 | 7 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 32 | 6.7 | 40 | 6.5 | 72 |
| Fouls | 9.4 | 47 | 13 | 78 | 11.4 | 125 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 9 | 0.8 | 5 | 1.3 | 14 |
| Shots | 15 | 75 | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 159 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 20 | 5.2 | 31 | 4.6 | 51 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 2.4 | 12 | 1.7 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 7 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.9 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 2.4 | 26 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.4 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 33 | 6.8 | 34 | 6.1 | 67 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 70 | 9.8 | 49 | 10.8 | 119 |
| Offsides | 2 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 22 |
| Shots | 8.5 | 51 | 10.8 | 54 | 9.5 | 105 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 3.5 | 38 |


Premier League 2025-2026