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Arsenal vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 30 December, 2025 14:15
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.67 vs 0.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.2%
⭐
0:1
5.9%
⭐
0:2
1.55%
0:3
0.27%
0:4
0.04%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
18.13%
🔥
⭐
1:1
10.12%
1:2
2.82%
1:3
0.52%
1:4
0.07%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
14.67%
⭐
2:1
8.66%
2:2
2.54%
2:3
0.49%
2:4
0.07%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
7.92%
3:1
4.93%
3:2
1.52%
3:3
0.31%
3:4
0.05%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
3.21%
4:1
2.1%
4:2
0.68%
4:3
0.15%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
1.04%
5:1
0.71%
5:2
0.24%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (18.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
12
3
2
31
10
21
39
2
12
1
4
41
16
25
37
3
11
3
3
27
18
9
36
4
8
5
4
29
17
12
29
1.42
xG
0.51
60%
Ball Possession
41%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Arsenal
VS
Aston Villa
4/6 (67%)
Victories
6/6 (100%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
2.17
PPG
3.00
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.33
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
50%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.60
Avg xG
1.22
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Arsenal will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2025-12-30 at 2025-12-30 in the famous Emirates Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arsenal, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Aston Villa.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-30
Time: 20:15
Location: Emirates Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arsenal vs Aston Villa Tuesday, Dec 30th, 2025 at 14:15 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Arsenal vs Aston Villa Football 30 Dec, 2025 14:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Arsenal have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Arsenal create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Arsenal vs Aston Villa, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Arsenal @ 1.52 ✅ 
Arsenal
- High xG PerformanceH2H10/10100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Arsenal score 2.50 goals/match at home (+77% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Arsenal concede only 0.38 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/865%Arsenal rank 3 of 20 in scoring at home (2.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Arsenal dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.80 
Arsenal(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/863%Arsenal score well (2.50/match) but have strong defense at home (0.38 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 63% of matches
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Aston Villa score (1.50/match) and concede (1.38/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.97 ⚠️
Arsenal(3 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Arsenal score 2.50 goals/match at home (+77% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/865%Arsenal rank 3 of 20 in scoring at home (2.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
Teams average combined 2.5 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Arsenal Win or Draw @ 1.12 ⚠️ 
Arsenal
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Arsenal concede only 0.38 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Arsenal demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.67 ✅
Arsenal
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Arsenal score 2.50 goals/match at home (+77% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/865%Arsenal rank 3 of 20 in scoring at home (2.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Scored 1+Recent14/1782%Arsenal scored 1+ goals in their last 14 17 matches
Arsenal maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Arsenal(3 trends) — avg 1.3 (-32% below league)
- Many CardsH2H9/1090%Arsenal receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Arsenal average 1.2 cards/match in all matches (-35% below league avg 1.9) — rank #1 lowest in league
- Few CardsRecent13/1776%Arsenal receive 0-1 card in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 1.7 (-11% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Aston Villa average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 1.9) — rank #4 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.7 cards per match in their last 10 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.77 ⚠️ 
Arsenal(1 trends) — avg 6.0 (+25% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Arsenal average 6.0 corners/match at home (+25% above league avg 4.8)
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 5.3 (+2% above league)
- Few CornersH2H8/1080%Aston Villa win 4 or fewer corners in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches
Arsenal drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.77
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Arsenal vs Aston Villa
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Aston Villa is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Arsenal is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⏰ First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Arsenal is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Arsenal
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Aston Villa
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Arsenal - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Arsenal - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Aston Villa often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Aston Villa scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Aston Villa to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Arsenal excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Arsenal scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.001
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arsenal):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Arsenal vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Tue 30 Dec, 2025 @ 14:15 Premier League
Arsenal vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arsenal and away matches for Aston Villa
Number of goals
Arsenal
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
1X2
Arsenal
Aston Villa
1
70%
7
100%
10
X
20%
2
0%
0
2
10%
1
0%
0
Double Chance
Arsenal
Aston Villa
12
80%
8
100%
10
1X
90%
9
100%
10
X2
30%
3
0%
0
Total Goals
Arsenal
Aston Villa
0-1
10%
1
10%
1
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Arsenal
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Arsenal
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
40%
4
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Arsenal
Aston Villa
xG
1.8
1.39
xGa
0.56
1.19
Number of goals
Arsenal
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
Arsenal
Aston Villa
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Arsenal
Aston Villa
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Arsenal
Aston Villa
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Arsenal
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2
Arsenal
Aston Villa
1
70%
7
80%
8
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
0%
0
10%
1
Double Chance
Arsenal
Aston Villa
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
100%
10
90%
9
X2
30%
3
20%
2
Total Goals
Arsenal
Aston Villa
0-1
20%
2
50%
5
2-3
80%
8
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
Arsenal Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.94%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 49.75% | Low | 1.67 |
| Under 1.5 | 50.25% | Medium | 2.25 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 11.47% | Low | 5.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 88.53% | High | 1.19 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 23.50% | Low | 3.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 76.50% | High | 1.39 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 2.10% | Low | 19.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 97.90% | High | 1.03 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Played:
11
Wins
5
5
Draws
1
1
Wins
5
5
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
15
1.4
Goals
1.4
15
15
1.4
Goals Conceded
1.4
15
22
2
Yellow Cards
2.3
25
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.4
4
62
5.6
Corners
3.9
43
125
11.4
Fouls
12.2
134
22
2
Offsides
1
11
172
15.6
Shots
9.7
107
59
5.4
Shots on Goal
3.9
43
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.5 | 20 | 1.2 | 11 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 7 | 0.6 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 1.2 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.5 | 9 |
| Corners | 6 | 48 | 5.4 | 49 | 5.7 | 97 |
| Fouls | 9 | 72 | 11.4 | 103 | 10.3 | 175 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.5 | 25 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 123 | 13.1 | 118 | 14.2 | 241 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.6 | 37 | 5.1 | 46 | 4.9 | 83 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 4 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 15 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.6 | 27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.1 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.2 | 11 | 1.8 | 14 | 1.5 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 47 | 4.9 | 39 | 5.1 | 86 |
| Fouls | 9 | 81 | 11 | 88 | 9.9 | 169 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 11 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.2 | 21 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 104 | 10.9 | 87 | 11.2 | 191 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 43 | 3.4 | 27 | 4.1 | 70 |
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