Form
Form
Aris
Aris
Form
VS
15:00
28 Feb 2026
Pafos
Pafos
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Aris vs Pafos: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 28 February, 2026 9:00

Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 54%
Aris Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 87%
Pafos Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 88%
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Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
1. Division 2025-2026
15:00
Aris W 38%
:
Pafos W 35%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.29 vs 1.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.51%
0:1
10.04%
0:2
5.92%
0:3
2.33%
0:4
0.69%
0:5
0.16%
1
1:0
10.42%
1:1
12.83%
🔥
1:2
7.89%
1:3
3.23%
1:4
0.99%
1:5
0.24%
2
2:0
6.39%
2:1
8.19%
2:2
5.24%
2:3
2.23%
2:4
0.71%
2:5
0.18%
3
3:0
2.61%
3:1
3.48%
3:2
2.31%
3:3
1.02%
3:4
0.34%
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
0.8%
4:1
1.11%
4:2
0.76%
4:3
0.35%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.28%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.5%
0
20.5%
1
25.1%
2
21.0%
3
13.4%
4
7.0%
5
3.0%
6
1.1%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

ArisHDPPafos
4.3%
Very Low
-2.5
3.8%
Very Low
9.3%
Very Low
-2
8.4%
Very Low
14.3%
Very Low
-1.5
13.1%
Very Low
25.1%
Low
-1
23.5%
Low
36.0%
Low
-0.5
34.0%
Low
66.0%
High
+0.5
64.0%
High
76.5%
High
+1
74.9%
High
87.0%
Very High
+1.5
85.8%
Very High
91.6%
Very High
+2
90.7%
Very High
96.2%
Very High
+2.5
95.7%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

ArisOutcomePafos
34.5%
Low
Over 1.5
33.2%
Low
65.5%
High
Under 1.5
66.8%
High
13.0%
Very Low
Over 2.5
12.2%
Very Low
87.0%
Very High
Under 2.5
87.8%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Aris vs Pafos Saturday, Feb 28th, 2026 at 9:00 Football

AI Value Bets

No value bets found for this match.(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Aris vs Pafos Football 28 Feb, 2026 9:00

Team Form Comparison

Aris Home
Form Index
Goals 11:8
PPG 2.00
Pafos Away
Form Index
Goals 1:3
PPG 1.00
SPALPUSWAEKDAPOWOLYW
APOWOLYDKAIDJUVLCHEL
3/5
Won
1/5
5/5
Scored
1/5
4/5
Scored 2+
0/5
1/5
Clean sheet
3/5
3/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
4/5
Over 2.5
0/5
4/5
BTTS
0/5

Aris

SPALPUSWAEKDAPOWOLYW
Won 3/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 4/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 4/5

Pafos

APOWOLYDKAIDJUVLCHEL
Won 1/5
Scored 1/5
Scored 2+ 0/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 0/5
BTTS 0/5

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Aris score in 2nd half 100% of home matches — expect late goals

  • 🟨
    Cards Over Lean

    Disciplinary trends lean toward more cards — modest confidence only

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Aris Home
Pafos Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: Aris is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
  • First half: Aris is stronger (11 vs 3).
  • Second half: Aris is stronger (17 vs 12).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Strong 19 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.20 factor
Home Pressure 0.15 Away 0.06

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.21
Fast Start (0–15)
1 0.05
11 0.58
First Half (0–45)
3 0.15
17 0.89
Second Half (46–90)
12 0.60
9 0.47
Final Stage (76–90)
7 0.35

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.100 Moderate
Pressure Home +0.087 Moderate
Timing Home +0.036 Weak
Defense Away +0.083 Moderate

Momentum

Aris Metric Pafos
8 Positive Sequences 2
8 Comeback Goals 5
5 Negative Sequences 2
13 Killer Goals 4

Pressure

Aris Metric Pafos
4 Early Pressure 1
9 Late Pressure 7
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Aris Metric Pafos
4 Fast Starts 1
7 Half-time Spurts 2
8 Second Half Starts 5
9 Late Surges 7

Defense

Aris Metric Pafos
6 Early Conceded 4
9 Late Conceded 3
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Home fast start: Aris often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
  • First goal: high probability of Aris scoring first.
  • First half result: consider Aris to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Aris winning the second half.
  • Match outcome: Aris holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Aris

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Pafos

Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Aris
Pafos

Aris vs Pafos Head-to-head statistics for Sat 28 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 1. Division

2 Played 1
100% 2-0-0 Win Rate 100% 1-0-0
Form Index
Team Rating
52 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Aris Pafos Results 50 50 Attack 63 37 Defense 38 62 Control 50 50 Discipline 63 37 Efficiency 50 50 Average 52 48 48

Attack

2.50
Goals
1
Expected Goals
0
Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0

Defense

0.50
Conceded
0
Expected Goals Against
0
Shots Allowed
0
+2
Goal Difference
+1
50%
Clean Sheets
100%

Possession & Passing

Possession
Pass Accuracy
0
Passes
0
0
Accurate Passes
0

Discipline

2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Fouls
0
0
Offsides
0

Efficiency

3
PPG
3
Goals vs xG
Shot Conversion
Save %

Aris vs Pafos: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aris and away matches for Pafos

Number of goals
Aris
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Aris
Pafos
Yes
70% 7
30% 3
No
30% 3
70% 7
1X2
Aris
Pafos
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Aris
Pafos
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Aris
Pafos
0-1
10% 1
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
60% 6
30% 3
Total Corners
Aris
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
7.5
100% 5
0% 0
100% 8
0% 0
8.5
100% 5
0% 0
100% 8
0% 0
9.5
100% 5
0% 0
100% 8
0% 0
10.5
100% 5
0% 0
100% 8
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Aris
Pafos
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Aris
Pafos
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Aris
Pafos
xG
0
0.88
xGa
0
1.9
Number of goals
Aris
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Aris
Pafos
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Aris
Pafos
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
40% 4
70% 7
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Aris
Pafos
12
60% 6
30% 3
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
Aris
Pafos
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Aris
Pafos
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3
Number of goals
Aris
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Aris
Pafos
Yes
40% 4
0% 0
No
60% 6
100% 10
1X2
Aris
Pafos
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
10% 1
30% 3
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Aris
Pafos
12
90% 9
70% 7
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Aris
Pafos
0-1
50% 5
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Aris
Pafos
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1.35 Expected goals 1.31
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots Off Goal 12
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
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In this exciting 1. Division 2025-2026 matchup, Aris will take on Pafos as part of the 2025-2026 season in 1. Division. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-28 at 2026-02-28 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aris, and the visiting side, Pafos. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-28 Time: 15:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!