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22 Sep 2025-16:00
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
5th place
- : -
Aris
Aris
1st place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

AEK Larnaca vs Aris: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 22 September, 2025 12:00

1×2 Prediction
AEK Larnaca
36%31%33%
AEK LarnacaDrawAris
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
44%56%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
41%59%
YesNo
Team Total - AEK Larnaca
Under 2.5
91%9%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Aris
Under 2.5
92%8%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
AEK Larnaca/Draw
67%33%
1XNOT 1X

No betting tips available for this match.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.01 vs 1.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.85%
0:1
4.96%
0:2
2.1%
0:3
0.59%
0:4
0.13%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
8.77%
1:1
10.43%
🔥
1:2
5.69%
1:3
1.97%
1:4
0.49%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
6.56%
2:1
10.06%
2:2
6.93%
2:3
2.93%
2:4
0.87%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
3.28%
3:1
6.14%
3:2
5.18%
3:3
2.65%
3:4
0.94%
3:5
0.25%
4
4:0
1.23%
4:1
2.72%
4:2
2.73%
4:3
1.65%
4:4
0.69%
4:5
0.21%
5
5:0
0.37%
5:1
0.94%
5:2
1.09%
5:3
0.77%
5:4
0.38%
5:5
0.13%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.4%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.9%
0
13.7%
1
19.1%
2
19.6%
3
16.4%
4
11.7%
5
7.3%
6
3.9%
7
1.7%
8
0.6%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

AEK Larnaca
vs
Aris
Sep 22, 16:00

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

1. Division

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Last 6 Matches
AEK Larnaca
VS
Aris
3/6 (50%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
2.00 PPG 3.00
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
67% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
- Avg xG -
AEK Larnaca
D W W D D
1. Division 2025-2026
13 Sep 2025 - 17:00
Anorthosis
1 1
AEK Larnaca
1. Division 2025-2026
31 Aug 2025 - 16:00
AEK Larnaca
2 0
AEL
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Play-offs
27 Aug 2025 - 16:30
AEK Larnaca
0 4
Brann
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Play-offs
21 Aug 2025 - 17:00
Brann
2 1
AEK Larnaca
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
14 Aug 2025 - 19:00
Legia Warszawa
2 1
AEK Larnaca
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
7 Aug 2025 - 16:30
AEK Larnaca
4 1
Legia Warszawa
Aris
D L W W W
1. Division 2025-2026
15 Sep 2025 - 16:00
Aris
2 0
Olympiakos
1. Division 2025-2026
30 Aug 2025 - 16:00
Omonia Aradippou
0 1
Aris
1. Division 2025-2026
23 Aug 2025 - 16:00
Aris
3 1
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
14 Aug 2025 - 18:00
AEK Athens FC
3 1
Aris
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
7 Aug 2025 - 16:00
Aris
2 2
AEK Athens FC
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
31 Jul 2025 - 18:00
Puskas Academy
0 2
Aris
54% Draw 20%
33% Over 2.5 67%
41% Both Teams Score 59%
1.97 xPTS 1.03
2.01 xG [Total: 3.37] 1.36
1 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
3 Corners [Total: 6] 3
1 Offsides [Total: 2] 1
7 Fouls [Total: 16] 10
3 Shots on Goal [Total: 6] 3
In this exciting 1. Division 2025-2026 matchup, AEK Larnaca will take on Aris as part of the 2025-2026 season in 1. Division. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-09-22 at 2025-09-22 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AEK Larnaca, and the visiting side, Aris. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : AEK Larnaca or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-09-22 Time: 16:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AEK Larnaca vs Aris Monday, Sep 22nd, 2025 at 12:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for AEK Larnaca vs Aris Football 22 Sep, 2025 12:00

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

🎯 Betting Analysis

AEK Larnaca vs Aris

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Aris is stronger in the first half (11 vs 3).
🔄 Second Half: Aris is stronger in the second half (17 vs 10).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 AEK Larnaca

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Aris

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
19
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 AEK Larnaca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Aris - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.21
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.58
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.89
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.47

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 AEK Larnaca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Aris - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Aris is stronger in the first half (11 vs 3)
  • First Half Result: Consider Aris to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Aris shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Aris winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Aris has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Aris handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.002
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.043
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.041 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.113

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (AEK Larnaca):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aris):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

AEK Larnaca
Aris

AEK Larnaca vs Aris Head-to-head statistics for Mon 22 Sep, 2025 @ 12:00 1. Division

AEK Larnaca vs Aris: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for AEK Larnaca and away matches for Aris

Number of goals

Number of goals
AEK Larnaca
Under
Over
Aris
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3

1X2

1X2
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
60% 6
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
AEK Larnaca
Aris
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
70% 7
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
AEK Larnaca
Aris
0-1
10% 1
10% 1
2-3
70% 7
30% 3
4+
20% 2
60% 6

Total Corners

Total Corners
AEK Larnaca
Under
Over
Aris
Under
Over
7.5
100% 2
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
8.5
100% 2
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
9.5
100% 2
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
10.5
100% 2
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
AEK Larnaca
Aris
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
AEK Larnaca
Aris

Number of goals

Number of goals
AEK Larnaca
Under
Over
Aris
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
AEK Larnaca
Aris
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
AEK Larnaca
Aris
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3

Number of goals

Number of goals
AEK Larnaca
Under
Over
Aris
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6

1X2

1X2
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
10% 1
10% 1
2
50% 5
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
AEK Larnaca
Aris
12
90% 9
90% 9
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
60% 6
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
AEK Larnaca
Aris
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : AEK Larnaca or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
10.8%
Low
N/A
1.6%
Low
N/A
-2
18.9%
Low
N/A
4.2%
Low
N/A
-1.5
26.9%
Low
N/A
6.8%
Low
N/A
-1
39.7%
Low
N/A
14.0%
Low
N/A
-0.5
52.5%
Medium
N/A
21.3%
Low
N/A
+0.5
78.7%
High
N/A
47.5%
Low
N/A
+1
85.9%
High
N/A
60.3%
Medium
N/A
+1.5
93.2%
High
N/A
73.1%
High
N/A
+2
95.8%
High
N/A
81.1%
High
N/A
+2.5
98.3%
High
N/A
89.2%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.74%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.559.67%MediumN/A
Under 1.540.33%LowN/A
AwayOver 1.539.43%LowN/A
Under 1.560.57%MediumN/A
HomeOver 2.532.60%LowN/A
Under 2.567.40%MediumN/A
AwayOver 2.515.69%LowN/A
Under 2.584.31%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 1 1 2
Wins 1 0 1
Draws 0 1 1
Losses 0 0 0
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 2 1 1 1.5 3
Goals Conceded 0 1 1 0.5 1
Yellow Cards 0 3 3 1.5 3
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 1 1 0 0.5 1
Corners 0 0 0
Fouls 0 0 0
Offsides 0 0 0
Shots 0 0 0
Shots on Goal 0 0 0
Home Away All
Played 2 1 3
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 0 0 0
Losses 0 0 0
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.5 5 1 1 2 6
Goals Conceded 0.5 1 0 0.3 1
Yellow Cards 2 4 2 2 2 6
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.5 1 1 1 0.7 2
Corners 0 0 0
Fouls 0 0 0
Offsides 0 0 0
Shots 0 0 0
Shots on Goal 0 0 0
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