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Form
Form
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 • Matchweek 33
Preview
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
5th place
Form
VS
16:00
15 May 2026
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
10th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Pogon Szczecin
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 15 May, 2026 11:00

Winner (1x2)2.63
Zaglebie Lubin to Win
Probability 38%
Total Goals1.85
Under 2.5
Probability 77%
Both Teams to Score2.08
No (NG)
Probability 67%
Zaglebie Lubin Total1.52
Home Under 1.5
Probability 77%
Pogon Szczecin Total1.55
Away Under 1.5
Probability 84%
Double Chance1.45
Zaglebie Lubin/Draw
Probability 73%
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Prediction League
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
16:00
Zaglebie Lubin W 41%
:
Pogon Szczecin W 26%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Zaglebie Lubin
w l l d w
16 Played
7 Wins
6 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (26 total)
xG
0.40 (6.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (189 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (29% acc)
Corners
3.2 (51 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.2 (195 total)
Offsides
1.1 (17 total)
16 Played
6 Wins
3 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (19 total)
xG
0.50 (7.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (183 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (32% acc)
Corners
4.1 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.2 (211 total)
Offsides
1.6 (25 total)
32 Played
13 Wins
9 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (45 total)
xG
0.40 (13.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (372 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (31% acc)
Corners
3.7 (117 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
12.7 (406 total)
Offsides
1.3 (42 total)
Pogon Szczecin
w l d w l
16 Played
9 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (30 total)
xG
0.60 (9.9 total)
Shots per Match
15.6 (250 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (31% acc)
Corners
5.7 (91 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.3 (181 total)
Offsides
1.7 (27 total)
16 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (15 total)
xG
0.40 (7.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.1 (193 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (28% acc)
Corners
3.9 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.5 (200 total)
Offsides
1.8 (29 total)
32 Played
12 Wins
5 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (45 total)
xG
0.50 (17.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (443 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (30% acc)
Corners
4.8 (153 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.9 (381 total)
Offsides
1.8 (56 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.91 vs 0.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
21.64%
🔥
0:1
13.44%
0:2
4.17%
0:3
0.86%
0:4
0.13%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
17.55%
1:1
13.04%
1:2
4.71%
1:3
1.11%
1:4
0.19%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
7.12%
2:1
6.16%
2:2
2.56%
2:3
0.68%
2:4
0.13%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
1.92%
3:1
1.9%
3:2
0.89%
3:3
0.27%
3:4
0.06%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
0.39%
4:1
0.43%
4:2
0.23%
4:3
0.08%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.06%
5:1
0.08%
5:2
0.05%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:0 (21.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

21.6%
0
31.0%
1
24.3%
2
13.7%
3
6.1%
4
2.3%
5
0.7%
6
0.2%
7
0.0%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Zaglebie LubinHDPPogon Szczecin
3.6%
Very Low
-2.5
1.7%
Very Low
8.5%
Very Low
-2
4.8%
Very Low
13.5%
Very Low
-1.5
7.8%
Very Low
25.7%
Low
-1
17.5%
Very Low
37.9%
Low
-0.5
27.1%
Low
72.9%
High
+0.5
62.1%
High
82.6%
Very High
+1
74.3%
High
92.2%
Very High
+1.5
86.5%
Very High
95.3%
Very High
+2
91.5%
Very High
98.3%
Very High
+2.5
96.4%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Zaglebie LubinOutcomePogon Szczecin
23.1%
Low@ 2.32
Over 1.5
16.3%
@ 2.25Very Low
76.9%
High@ 1.52
Under 1.5
83.7%
@ 1.55Very High
6.5%
Very Low
Over 2.5
3.7%
@ 5.00Very Low
93.6%
Very High
Under 2.5
96.3%
@ 1.13Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin Friday, May 15th, 2026 at 11:00 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

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Correct Score 0:0
High Value
Prob: 19.9%
EV: +68.7%
Stake: $0.33
8.50
Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 76.9%
EV: +42.3%
Stake: $2.94
1.85
BTTS No
High Value
Prob: 67.3%
EV: +40.0%
Stake: $2.31
2.08
Away Total Pogon Szczecin Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 83.7%
EV: +29.8%
Stake: $4.55
1.55
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 72.9%
EV: +5.8%
Stake: $5.56
1.45
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-09 12:07:24
spinner

Trends for Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin Football 15 May, 2026 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Zaglebie Lubin score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Pogon Szczecin is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Pogon Szczecin is stronger in the second half (10 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Pogon Szczecin is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Zaglebie Lubin

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Pogon Szczecin

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Zaglebie Lubin - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Pogon Szczecin - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Zaglebie Lubin - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Pogon Szczecin - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Pogon Szczecin is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider Pogon Szczecin to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Pogon Szczecin shows superior performance after the break (10 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Pogon Szczecin winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Pogon Szczecin excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Pogon Szczecin scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.138
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.056
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.028 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Zaglebie Lubin):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Pogon Szczecin):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-head statistics for Fri 15 May, 2026 @ 11:00 Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
Gornik Zabrze
w d w w l
>
31
14
7
10
43
36
7
49
5
Zaglebie Lubin
w l l d w
>
32
13
9
10
45
36
9
48
6
GKS Katowice
w d w d w
>
31
14
5
12
47
42
5
47

9
Lechia Gdansk
l d l l l
>
32
12
7
13
59
60
-1
43
10
Pogon Szczecin
w l d w l
>
32
12
5
15
45
48
-3
41
11
Piast Gliwice
l l d w d
>
31
11
7
13
40
41
-1
40
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Pogon Szczecin
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Zaglebie Lubin
VS
Pogon Szczecin
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
5 (5)
Shots
16 (16)
13 (13)
Shots on Target
5 (5)
6 (6)
Corners
2 (2)
4 (4)
Defense
Conceded
5 (5)
1 (1)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
2 (2)
Fouls
9 (9)
11 (11)
Offsides
2 (2)
0 (0)
24 Nov
- 18:00
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
5
1
Prob 75%
Home Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.31
Last 6 Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
VS
Pogon Szczecin
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.17 PPG 1.17
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
33% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.92 Avg xG 1.05
Zaglebie Lubin
W L L D W
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
9 May 2026 - 18:15
Gornik Zabrze
0 2
Zaglebie Lubin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
3 May 2026 - 12:45
Zaglebie Lubin
0 0
Cracovia Krakow
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
24 Apr 2026 - 16:00
Zaglebie Lubin
1 2
Nieciecza
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
17 Apr 2026 - 18:30
Legia Warszawa
1 0
Zaglebie Lubin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 15:30
Zaglebie Lubin
1 0
Radomiak Radom
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
7 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Arka Gdynia
3 1
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
W L D W L
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
9 May 2026 - 15:30
Jagiellonia
3 2
Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
3 May 2026 - 15:30
Pogon Szczecin
3 0
Wisla Plock
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
25 Apr 2026 - 18:15
Cracovia Krakow
1 1
Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
18 Apr 2026 - 18:15
Pogon Szczecin
1 2
Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
13 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Piast Gliwice
0 2
Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
6 Apr 2026 - 15:30
Pogon Szczecin
0 2
Legia Warszawa

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Zaglebie Lubin and away matches for Pogon Szczecin

Number of goals
Zaglebie Lubin
Under
Over
Pogon Szczecin
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
10% 1
10% 1
2
50% 5
50% 5
Double Chance
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
12
90% 9
90% 9
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0-1
50% 5
10% 1
2-3
30% 3
80% 8
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Total Corners
Zaglebie Lubin
Under
Over
Pogon Szczecin
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
xG
0.83
0.93
xGa
1.31
1.66
Number of goals
Zaglebie Lubin
Under
Over
Pogon Szczecin
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
Number of goals
Zaglebie Lubin
Under
Over
Pogon Szczecin
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
Missing Players
Zaglebie Lubin
13
d
- Injured - Broken leg
Pogon Szczecin
1.00 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 10
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 matchup, Zaglebie Lubin will take on Pogon Szczecin as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ekstraklasa. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-05-15 at 2026-05-15 in the famous KGHM Zagłębie Arena. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Zaglebie Lubin, and the visiting side, Pogon Szczecin. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Pogon Szczecin. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-15 Time: 16:00 Location: KGHM Zagłębie Arena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!