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Watford
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0
Stoke City
Watford vs Birmingham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 1 January, 2026 10:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.96 vs 0.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.33%
⭐
0:1
4.5%
⭐
0:2
1.22%
⭐
0:3
0.22%
0:4
0.03%
⭐
0:5
0%
⭐
1
1:0
15.58%
🔥
⭐
1:1
9.17%
⭐
1:2
2.68%
1:3
0.52%
⭐
1:4
0.08%
1:5
0.01%
⭐
2
2:0
14.57%
2:1
9.27%
⭐
2:2
2.92%
2:3
0.61%
2:4
0.09%
2:5
0.01%
⭐
3
3:0
9.09%
3:1
6.21%
3:2
2.09%
3:3
0.46%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
4.25%
⭐
4:1
3.11%
4:2
1.12%
⭐
4:3
0.26%
⭐
4:4
0.05%
⭐
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
1.59%
5:1
1.24%
5:2
0.47%
⭐
5:3
0.12%
5:4
0.02%
⭐
5:5
0%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
▲
9
6
7
30
24
6
33
10
▲
8
8
6
31
28
3
32
11
▼
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
13
▼
8
7
7
31
31
0
31
14
▼
8
5
9
30
29
1
29
15
6
10
6
27
27
0
28
1.68
xG
0.75
58%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Watford
VS
Birmingham
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.50
PPG
0.83
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
83%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.35
Avg xG
0.98
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Watford will take on Birmingham as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 25 and will take place on 2026-01-01 at 2026-01-01 in the famous Vicarage Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Watford, and the visiting side, Birmingham. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Watford or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-01
Time: 15:00
Location: Vicarage Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Watford vs Birmingham Football 1 Jan, 2026 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Watford create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Watford vs Birmingham, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Watford(3 trends)
- Efficient ScoringH2H5/5100%Watford efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Watford are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Birmingham have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Watford(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Watford score (1.67/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/1250%Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Watford(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/1250%Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Watford(1 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Watford are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Birmingham have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Watford(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent5/5100%Watford scored 1+ goals in their last 5 5 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent4/580%Watford score in second half in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent17/2277%Birmingham scored 1+ goals in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Watford(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2281.5%Watford average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Birmingham(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+7% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2289%Birmingham average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 1.8) — rank #4 in league
Both teams show aggressive play -
+12 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Watford vs Birmingham
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Watford
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Birmingham
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Watford - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Birmingham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Watford - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Birmingham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Watford has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Watford handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.228
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.026
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Watford):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Birmingham):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Watford vs Birmingham Head-to-head statistics for Thu 1 Jan, 2026 @ 10:00 Championship
Watford vs Birmingham: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Watford and away matches for Birmingham
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Birmingham
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
1X2
Watford
Birmingham
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Watford
Birmingham
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Watford
Birmingham
0-1
10%
1
0%
0
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Watford
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Watford
Birmingham
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Watford
Birmingham
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Watford
Birmingham
xG
1.22
1.5
xGa
0.93
1.11
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Birmingham
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2
Watford
Birmingham
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
40%
4
0%
0
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Watford
Birmingham
12
60%
6
100%
10
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Watford
Birmingham
0-1
30%
3
40%
4
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Watford
Birmingham
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Birmingham
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Watford
Birmingham
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Watford
Birmingham
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Watford
Birmingham
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Watford
Birmingham
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Watford or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.80%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 58.31% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 41.69% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 13.19% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 86.81% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 31.25% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 68.75% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 2.62% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 97.38% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Watford
Birmingham
Played:
5
Wins
3
3
Draws
1
1
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
8
1.6
Goals
0.6
3
3
0.6
Goals Conceded
1.6
8
8
1.6
Yellow Cards
2.6
13
0
Red Cards
0.2
1
3
0.6
Clean Sheets
0
28
5.6
Corners
3.4
17
62
12.4
Fouls
12.8
64
8
1.6
Offsides
0.8
4
64
12.8
Shots
12.6
63
19
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.6
23
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 1 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 20 | 1.1 | 11 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 12 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.3 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 19 | 2.4 | 24 | 2 | 43 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 5.2 | 62 | 3.5 | 35 | 4.4 | 97 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 126 | 11.7 | 117 | 11 | 243 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 17 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.1 | 25 |
| Shots | 16.6 | 199 | 10.6 | 106 | 13.9 | 305 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.7 | 68 | 3.7 | 37 | 4.8 | 105 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.2 | 22 | 0.7 | 8 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 9 | 1.7 | 20 | 1.3 | 29 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 21 | 1.9 | 23 | 2 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 5 |
| Corners | 6 | 60 | 4.6 | 55 | 5.2 | 115 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 123 | 11.2 | 134 | 11.7 | 257 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 13 | 1.3 | 16 | 1.3 | 29 |
| Shots | 17.5 | 175 | 9.6 | 115 | 13.2 | 290 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 50 | 2.1 | 25 | 3.4 | 75 |