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La Liga 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
7 Dec 2025-15:15
Valencia
Valencia
15th place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 9:15
Sevilla
Sevilla
13th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Valencia vs Sevilla: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 9:15

1×2 Prediction
Valencia
49%29%22%
ValenciaDrawSevilla
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
61%39%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
55%45%
NoYes
Team Total - Valencia
Under 1.5
59%41%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Sevilla
Under 1.5
78%22%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Valencia/Draw
78%22%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Sevilla +1
64%36%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Goals Over/Under -2.5
Odds: 1.79
60.6%
EV: +8.4%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Total - Away Sevilla Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.38
77.8%
EV: +7.3%
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Valencia vs Sevilla: A Crucial Clash in La Liga's Lower Half

Match Importance

This upcoming encounter between Valencia and Sevilla carries significant weight as both teams find themselves in the lower echelons of La Liga. Currently, Valencia sits 15th with 14 points, while Sevilla is slightly ahead in 13th place with 16 points. A win here could provide a crucial boost in confidence and standings for either side as they aim to escape the relegation zone.

Current Form & Trends

Both Valencia and Sevilla have struggled in recent matches, reflecting their precarious positions in the league table.

  • Valencia: The home side has been inconsistent lately, managing just one win in their last five outings (DWDLL). They have shown vulnerability defensively, averaging 1.6 goals conceded per match, which has contributed to their low points total. At home, they have scored only two goals across five matches, indicating a lack of offensive firepower.
  • Sevilla: The visitors are in even worse form, having lost four of their last five games (LLWLL). Their away performances have been particularly troubling, with only two wins in their last five fixtures and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match. They also have struggled to score, averaging just 0.6 goals in recent outings.

Head-to-Head

The historical context between these two clubs reveals a competitive edge for Sevilla, who have won four of the last ten encounters, with Valencia claiming just two victories. The last five results show a trend towards tight matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game, highlighting both teams' struggles to find the net consistently.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Stylistically, both teams have their strengths and weaknesses. Valencia will rely on their defensive solidity, led by the likes of M. Diakhaby, who has been a consistent performer in defense. Meanwhile, Sevilla's backline, anchored by G. Suazo, will need to tighten up to avoid conceding against a Valencia side that can be dangerous at home, despite their recent scoring woes. The midfield battle, particularly involving Pepelu for Valencia, will be crucial in dictating the game's tempo and creating scoring opportunities.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Valencia 1 - 0 Sevilla
Reasoning: Given Valencia's home advantage and Sevilla's current struggles, the prediction leans towards a narrow victory for the hosts, who have a slight edge in expected goals (xG) at home compared to Sevilla's away performance.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.79 (60.6%).
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 2.26 (48.9%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.48 vs 0.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.75%
0:1
7.86%
0:2
2.63%
0:3
0.59%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
15.87%
🔥
1:1
12.1%
1:2
4.54%
1:3
1.12%
1:4
0.21%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
10.72%
2:1
9.17%
2:2
3.83%
2:3
1.04%
2:4
0.21%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
4.83%
3:1
4.58%
3:2
2.11%
3:3
0.63%
3:4
0.14%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
1.63%
4:1
1.7%
4:2
0.85%
4:3
0.28%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.44%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.27%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (15.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.7%
0
23.7%
1
25.5%
2
19.1%
3
11.3%
4
5.5%
5
2.2%
6
0.7%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Valencia
vs
Sevilla
Dec 7, 15:15
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
Celta Vigo
w w l w l
>
14
3
7
4
16
19
-3
16
13
Sevilla
l l w l l
>
14
5
1
8
19
23
-4
16
14
Alaves
l w l l l
>
14
4
3
7
12
15
-3
15
15
Valencia
l l d w d
>
14
3
5
6
13
22
-9
14
16
Mallorca
d l w l d
>
14
3
4
7
15
22
-7
13
Last 6 Matches
Valencia
VS
Sevilla
1/6 (17%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
1.00 PPG 0.50
0.50 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
33% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.91 Avg xG 0.90
Valencia
L L D W D
La Liga 2025-2026
1 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Rayo Vallecano
1 1
Valencia
La Liga 2025-2026
21 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Valencia
1 0
Levante
La Liga 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Valencia
1 1
Real Betis
La Liga 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Real Madrid
4 0
Valencia
La Liga 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 19:00
Valencia
0 2
Villarreal
La Liga 2025-2026
20 Oct 2025 - 19:00
Alaves
0 0
Valencia
Sevilla
L L W L L
La Liga 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 15:15
Sevilla
0 2
Real Betis
La Liga 2025-2026
24 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Espanyol
2 1
Sevilla
La Liga 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 15:15
Sevilla
1 0
Osasuna
La Liga 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 15:15
Atletico Madrid
3 0
Sevilla
La Liga 2025-2026
24 Oct 2025 - 19:00
Real Sociedad
2 1
Sevilla
La Liga 2025-2026
18 Oct 2025 - 12:00
Sevilla
1 3
Mallorca
Missing Players
Valencia
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
Sevilla
24
m
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Injury
- Suspended - Red Card
12
m
- Injured - Muscle Injury
11
m
- Injured - Injury
23
d
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
54% Draw 18%
39% Over 2.5 61%
45% Both Teams Score 55%
2.02 xPTS 0.98
1.38 xG [Total: 2.20] 0.82
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 3
6 Corners [Total: 11] 5
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
12 Fouls [Total: 25] 13
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 4
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Valencia will take on Sevilla as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Estadio de Mestalla. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Valencia, and the visiting side, Sevilla. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Valencia or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 15:15 Location: Estadio de Mestalla Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Valencia vs Sevilla Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 9:15 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 1:0
Odds: 7.62
15.7%
EV: +19.7% Kelly: $1.49
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Best Tip Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.79
60.6%
EV: +8.4% Kelly: $5.34
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Safe Tip Value
Away Total Sevilla Under 1.5
Odds: 1.38
77.8%
EV: +7.3% Kelly: $9.60
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 12:32:17
spinner

Trends for Valencia vs Sevilla Football 7 Dec, 2025 9:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Valencia have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Valencia vs Sevilla

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Valencia

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Sevilla

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Valencia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Sevilla - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Valencia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Sevilla - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Valencia has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Valencia handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.21
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.02
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Valencia):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sevilla):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Valencia
Sevilla

Valencia vs Sevilla Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 9:15 La Liga

Valencia vs Sevilla: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Valencia and away matches for Sevilla

Number of goals

Number of goals
Valencia
Under
Over
Sevilla
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Valencia
Sevilla
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4

1X2

1X2
Valencia
Sevilla
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
0% 0
2
40% 4
60% 6

Double Chance

Double Chance
Valencia
Sevilla
12
60% 6
100% 10
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
80% 8
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Valencia
Sevilla
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
20% 2
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Valencia
Under
Over
Sevilla
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Valencia
Sevilla
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Valencia
Sevilla
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Valencia
Sevilla
xG
1.08
1.03
xGa
1.37
1.65

Number of goals

Number of goals
Valencia
Under
Over
Sevilla
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Valencia
Sevilla
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Valencia
Sevilla
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
40% 4
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Valencia
Sevilla
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Valencia
Sevilla
0-1
90% 9
70% 7
2-3
10% 1
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Valencia
Sevilla
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4

Number of goals

Number of goals
Valencia
Under
Over
Sevilla
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Valencia
Sevilla
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Valencia
Sevilla
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Valencia
Sevilla
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
70% 7
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Valencia
Sevilla
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Valencia
Sevilla
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
9.7%
Low
8.30
1.0%
Low
15.00
-2
17.8%
Low
7.60
3.0%
Low
N/A
-1.5
25.9%
Low
4.15
5.0%
Low
7.50
-1
39.6%
Low
3.48
11.7%
Low
6.60
-0.5
53.2%
Medium
2.18
18.5%
Low
3.45
+0.5
81.5%
High
1.35
46.7%
Low
1.76
+1
88.3%
High
1.11
60.4%
Medium
1.35
+1.5
95.0%
High
1.07
74.1%
High
1.22
+2
97.0%
High
N/A
82.2%
High
1.03
+2.5
99.0%
High
1.01
90.3%
High
1.01
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.543.42%Low2.34
Under 1.556.58%Medium1.66
AwayOver 1.518.93%Low3.30
Under 1.581.07%High1.38
HomeOver 2.518.52%Low5.50
Under 2.581.48%High1.17
AwayOver 2.54.67%Low10.00
Under 2.595.33%High1.08
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
11 Apr
- 19:00
Valencia
Sevilla
1.25
xG
0.81
1
0
11 Jan
- 20:00
Sevilla
Valencia
0.44
xG
0.58
1
1
17 Feb
- 20:00
Valencia
Sevilla
0
0
11 Aug
- 20:00
Sevilla
Valencia
1
2
16 Apr
- 19:00
Valencia
Sevilla
0
2
18 Oct
- 17:00
Sevilla
Valencia
1
1
19 Jan
- 20:30
Valencia
Sevilla
1
1
22 Sep
- 17:30
Sevilla
Valencia
3
1
12 May
- 17:00
Sevilla
Valencia
1
0
22 Dec
- 16:30
Valencia
Sevilla
0
1
club logo
Valencia
Sevilla
Played: 10
Wins
2
Draws
4
Wins
4
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
7
0.7
Goals
1.1
11
11
1.1
Goals Conceded
0.7
7
24
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.7
27
2
0.2
Red Cards
0.2
2
2
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.4
4
40
4
Corners
4.9
49
136
13.6
Fouls
15.8
158
10
1
Offsides
2.3
23
97
9.7
Shots
11.3
113
33
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.7
37
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 3 0 3
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 2 4 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 9 0.6 4 0.9 13
Goals Conceded 0.9 6 2.3 16 1.6 22
Yellow Cards 2 14 1.6 11 1.8 25
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.1 1 0.3 4
Corners 6.4 45 3.4 24 4.9 69
Fouls 12.6 88 10.9 76 11.7 164
Offsides 1.4 10 1.1 8 1.3 18
Shots 13.3 93 6.9 48 10.1 141
Shots on Goal 3.7 26 2.1 15 2.9 41
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 2 3 5
Draws 1 0 1
Losses 4 4 8
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.4 10 1.3 9 1.4 19
Goals Conceded 1.7 12 1.6 11 1.6 23
Yellow Cards 3.1 22 2.7 19 2.9 41
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Corners 5.3 37 5.3 37 5.3 74
Fouls 16.6 116 13.1 92 14.9 208
Offsides 3.4 24 2 14 2.7 38
Shots 11.1 78 10.4 73 10.8 151
Shots on Goal 3.4 24 3.3 23 3.4 47
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Crucial Finals Resolved in a Penalty Shootout
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Who holds the record for the highest transfer fee among Spanish players?
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Valencia names West Brom's Corberan as their new manager
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Who is the priciest German player ever?
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Valencia Initiates Overtures for West Brom Manager Corberan
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Valencia Parts Ways with Head Coach Baraja Amid La Liga Struggles
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European Finals Featuring Teams From the Same Nation
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