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Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
9th place
Form
VS
13:30
5 Apr 2026
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
16th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Union Berlin or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 5 April, 2026 8:30

Winner (1x2)2.12
Union Berlin to Win
Probability 51%
Total Goals1.60
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Both Teams to Score2.20
Yes
Probability 52%
Union Berlin Total1.13
Home Under 2.5
Probability 79%
FC St. Pauli Total1.05
Away Under 2.5
Probability 92%
Double Chance1.31
Union Berlin/Draw
Probability 78%
Asian Handicap1.33
Union Berlin +0.5
Probability 78%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
13:30
Union Berlin W 51%
:
FC St. Pauli W 22%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Union Berlin
w l l w l
13 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (18 total)
xG
1.30 (16.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (151 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (30% acc)
Corners
4.8 (63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
12.3 (160 total)
Offsides
1.5 (19 total)
14 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (13 total)
xG
1.10 (15.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (162 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (27% acc)
Corners
4.3 (60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.4 (174 total)
Offsides
1.8 (25 total)
27 Played
8 Wins
7 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (31 total)
xG
1.20 (32.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (313 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (29% acc)
Corners
4.6 (123 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
12.4 (334 total)
Offsides
1.6 (44 total)
FC St. Pauli
w w d l l
13 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (14 total)
xG
0.90 (11.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.6 (138 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (40% acc)
Corners
5.6 (73 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.9 (129 total)
Offsides
2.2 (29 total)
14 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (10 total)
xG
0.70 (10.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.4 (131 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (25% acc)
Corners
3.2 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.4 (132 total)
Offsides
1.8 (25 total)
27 Played
6 Wins
6 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (24 total)
xG
0.80 (21.7 total)
Shots per Match
10 (269 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (33% acc)
Corners
4.4 (118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.7 (261 total)
Offsides
2 (54 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.57 vs 1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.21%
0:1
7.56%
0:2
3.1%
0:3
0.85%
0:4
0.17%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
12.72%
🔥
1:1
12.18%
1:2
5.72%
1:3
1.76%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
8.78%
2:1
9.61%
2:2
5.1%
2:3
1.76%
2:4
0.44%
2:5
0.09%
3
3:0
4.04%
3:1
4.98%
3:2
2.95%
3:3
1.13%
3:4
0.31%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
1.4%
4:1
1.91%
4:2
1.25%
4:3
0.53%
4:4
0.16%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.39%
5:1
0.58%
5:2
0.42%
5:3
0.19%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:0 (12.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.2%
0
20.3%
1
24.1%
2
20.2%
3
13.4%
4
7.4%
5
3.5%
6
1.4%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Union BerlinHDPFC St. Pauli
9.3%
Very Low@ 10.00
-2.5
1.7%
Very Low
16.9%
Very Low@ 9.20
-2
4.4%
Very Low
24.5%
Low@ 4.50
-1.5
7.1%
@ 9.30Very Low
37.3%
Low@ 3.45
-1
14.8%
@ 8.00Very Low
50.1%
Medium@ 2.17
-0.5
22.5%
@ 3.56Low
77.5%
High@ 1.33
+0.5
49.9%
@ 1.75Medium
85.2%
Very High@ 1.10
+1
62.7%
@ 1.35High
92.9%
Very High@ 1.05
+1.5
75.5%
@ 1.21High
95.6%
Very High
+2
83.1%
@ 1.02Very High
98.3%
Very High
+2.5
90.7%
@ 1.04Very High

Team Total Predictions

Union BerlinOutcomeFC St. Pauli
46.5%
Medium@ 2.60
Over 1.5
26.8%
@ 4.15Low
53.5%
Medium@ 1.52
Under 1.5
73.2%
@ 1.26High
20.9%
Low@ 6.50
Over 2.5
8.2%
@ 13.00Very Low
79.1%
High@ 1.13
Under 2.5
91.8%
@ 1.05Very High
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Union Berlin will take on FC St. Pauli as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-05 at 2026-04-05 in the famous Stadion An der Alten Försterei. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Union Berlin, and the visiting side, FC St. Pauli. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Union Berlin or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-05 Time: 13:30 Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli Sunday, Apr 5th, 2026 at 8:30 Football

AI Value Bets
2 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Match Winner Union Berlin
Value
Prob: 50.8%
EV: +10.2%
Stake: $2.14
2.17
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 78.1%
EV: +2.3%
Stake: $8.06
1.31
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-29 02:41:20
spinner

Trends for Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli Football 5 Apr, 2026 8:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    FC St. Pauli struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent away matches

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Union Berlin

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06

✈️ FC St. Pauli

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Union Berlin - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ FC St. Pauli - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Union Berlin - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
11

✈️ FC St. Pauli - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Union Berlin has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Union Berlin handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.129
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.002
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Union Berlin):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli Head-to-head statistics for Sun 5 Apr, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
SC Freiburg
w l d l w
>
27
10
7
10
39
44
-5
37
9
Union Berlin
w l l w l
>
27
8
7
12
31
46
-15
31
10
FC Augsburg
w w l l l
>
27
9
4
14
33
50
-17
31

15
1.FC Köln
d l l d d
>
27
6
8
13
38
47
-9
26
16
FC St. Pauli
w w d l l
>
27
6
6
15
24
44
-20
24
17
VfL Wolfsburg
l l l d l
>
27
5
6
16
35
57
-22
21
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Union Berlin or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Union Berlin
VS
FC St. Pauli
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (2)
1 (3)
xG
0.90
0.80
Shots
11 (33)
12.3 (37)
Shots on Target
3.3 (10)
3 (9)
Corners
4.3 (13)
5.7 (17)
Defense
Conceded
1 (3)
0.7 (2)
xGa
0.80
0.90
Clean Sheets
2 (67%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (7)
0.7 (2)
Fouls
11 (33)
9 (27)
Offsides
1.3 (4)
1.7 (5)
23 Nov
- 16:30
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
0.70
xG
0.41
0
1
Prob 72%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.50
26 Jan
- 16:30
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
1.24
xG
1.08
3
0
30 Aug
- 18:30
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
1.07
xG
0.53
1
0
Last 6 Matches
Union Berlin
VS
FC St. Pauli
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.00 PPG 1.17
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
33% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.79 Avg xG 0.53
Union Berlin
W L L W L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 14:30
Bayern München
4 0
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 16:30
SC Freiburg
0 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 16:30
Union Berlin
1 4
Werder Bremen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 0
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Union Berlin
1 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
3 2
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
W W D L L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 16:30
FC St. Pauli
1 2
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Mar 2026 - 19:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 0
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 14:30
FC St. Pauli
0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
0 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Feb 2026 - 16:30
FC St. Pauli
2 1
Werder Bremen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
4 0
FC St. Pauli

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Union Berlin and away matches for FC St. Pauli

Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
60% 6
40% 4
Double Chance
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
0-1
30% 3
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
40% 4
10% 1
Total Corners
Union Berlin
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
50% 5
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
xG
1.05
0.89
xGa
1.86
1.2
Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1.56 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
error code: 524
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