Form
Form
Ligue 1 2026-2027 • Matchweek 1
Preview
Toulouse
Toulouse
17th place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Lyon
Lyon
10th place
Form
AI Prediction No predictions available
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Toulouse vs Lyon: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 22 August, 2026 13:45

Winner (1x2)3.03
Lyon to Win
Probability 50%
Total Goals2.11
Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Both Teams to Score1.70
Yes
Probability 51%
Toulouse Total1.67
Home Under 1.5
Probability 73%
Lyon Total1.33
Away Over 0.5
Probability 79%
Double Chance1.62
Draw/Lyon
Probability 75%
Asian Handicap1.29
Lyon +1
Probability 84%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2026-2027
13:45
Toulouse W 25%
:
Lyon W 50%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.02 vs 1.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.65%
0:1
11.88%
0:2
9.23%
0:3
4.78%
0:4
1.86%
0:5
0.58%
1
1:0
7.82%
1:1
12.16%
🔥
1:2
9.44%
1:3
4.89%
1:4
1.9%
1:5
0.59%
2
2:0
4%
2:1
6.22%
2:2
4.83%
2:3
2.5%
2:4
0.97%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
1.36%
3:1
2.12%
3:2
1.65%
3:3
0.85%
3:4
0.33%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.35%
4:1
0.54%
4:2
0.42%
4:3
0.22%
4:4
0.08%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.11%
5:2
0.09%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.6%
0
19.7%
1
25.4%
2
21.8%
3
14.0%
4
7.2%
5
2.9%
6
0.9%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

ToulouseHDPLyon
1.9%
Very Low@ 10.00
-2.5
7.8%
@ 12.00Very Low
4.8%
Very Low@ 8.70
-2
14.8%
@ 11.50Very Low
7.8%
Very Low@ 5.25
-1.5
21.7%
@ 6.00Low
16.0%
Very Low@ 4.25
-1
34.4%
@ 5.00Low
24.2%
Low@ 2.62
-0.5
47.1%
@ 3.00Medium
53.0%
Medium@ 1.73
+0.5
75.8%
@ 1.62High
65.6%
High@ 1.32
+1
84.0%
@ 1.29Very High
78.3%
High@ 1.19
+1.5
92.2%
@ 1.16Very High
85.3%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
95.2%
@ 1.01Very High
92.2%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
98.1%
@ 1.03Very High

Team Total Predictions

ToulouseOutcomeLyon
26.7%
Low@ 2.35
Over 1.5
41.8%
@ 2.63Medium
72.7%
High@ 1.67
Under 1.5
58.2%
@ 1.70Medium
8.4%
Very Low@ 5.50
Over 2.5
18.2%
@ 7.00Very Low
91.6%
Very High@ 1.17
Under 2.5
81.8%
@ 1.20Very High
Missing Players
Toulouse
15
m
- Injured - Inactive
17
m
- Injured - Inactive
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
45
m
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
Lyon
16
d
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Inactive

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Toulouse vs Lyon Saturday, Aug 22nd, 2026 at 13:45 Football

AI Value Bets

Toulouse vs Lyon

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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-08-22 06:01:44
spinner

Trends for Toulouse vs Lyon Football 22 Aug, 2026 13:45

Team Form Comparison

Toulouse Home
Form Index 52
Goals 5:8
PPG 1.40
Lyon Away
Form Index 51
Goals 4:4
PPG 1.20
MARLLORWLILLMONDLYOW
CELDHAVDANGDPARWTOUL
2/5
Won
1/5
3/5
Scored
3/5
2/5
Scored 2+
1/5
1/5
Clean sheet
2/5
2/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
2/5
BTTS
3/5

Toulouse

MARLLORWLILLMONDLYOW
Won 2/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 2/5

Lyon

CELDHAVDANGDPARWTOUL
Won 1/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 3/5
Head-to-Head · Last 7
BTTS 5/7
Over 2.5 6/7
Toulouse unbeaten 3/3

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Toulouse Home
Lyon Away
Main Prediction by Periods

No clear period advantage between the teams.

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Moderate 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.19 factor
Home Pressure 0.12 Away 0.07

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
2 0.10
Fast Start (0–15)
1 0.05
6 0.30
First Half (0–45)
9 0.45
11 0.55
Second Half (46–90)
14 0.70
9 0.45
Final Stage (76–90)
8 0.40

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.063 Moderate
Pressure Home +0.046 Weak
Timing Away +0.015 Weak
Defense Away +0.015 Weak

Momentum

Toulouse Metric Lyon
6 Positive Sequences 6
8 Comeback Goals 8
5 Negative Sequences 3
5 Killer Goals 8

Pressure

Toulouse Metric Lyon
2 Early Pressure 1
9 Late Pressure 8
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Toulouse Metric Lyon
2 Fast Starts 1
4 Half-time Spurts 8
2 Second Half Starts 6
9 Late Surges 8

Defense

Toulouse Metric Lyon
5 Early Conceded 4
5 Late Conceded 5
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Match outcome: Lyon holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Toulouse

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Lyon

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Toulouse
Lyon

Toulouse vs Lyon Head-to-head statistics for Sat 22 Aug, 2026 @ 13:45 Ligue 1

0 Played 0
0-0-0 Win Rate 0-0-0
Form Index
Team Rating
50 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Toulouse Lyon Attack 50 50 Defense 50 50 Control 50 50 Discipline 50 50 Average 50 50 50

Attack

0
Goals
0
Expected Goals
0
Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0

Defense

0
Conceded
0
Expected Goals Against
0
Shots Allowed
0
0
Goal Difference
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

Possession
Pass Accuracy
0
Passes
0
0
Accurate Passes
0

Discipline

0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Fouls
0
0
Offsides
0

Efficiency

PPG
Goals vs xG
Shot Conversion
Save %
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Lyon
Under/Over: Under 2.5
Goals Home: 1.0
Goals Away: 1.6
Expected goals from the eScored model. Over/Under is the most likely 2.5 line.
Who Will Win

Toulouse vs Lyon: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Toulouse and away matches for Lyon

Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Lyon
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Toulouse
Lyon
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Toulouse
Lyon
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Toulouse
Lyon
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Lyon
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Toulouse
Lyon
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Toulouse
Lyon
xG
0.84
1.3
xGa
1.26
1.37
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Lyon
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Toulouse
Lyon
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Toulouse
Lyon
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Toulouse
Lyon
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Lyon
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Lyon
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Toulouse
Lyon
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Toulouse
Lyon
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Toulouse
Lyon
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Lyon
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1.02 Expected goals 1.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Ligue 1 2026-2027 matchup, Toulouse will take on Lyon as part of the 2026-2027 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-08-22 at 2026-08-22 in the famous Stadium de Toulouse. The referee for the game will be G. Paradis. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Toulouse, and the visiting side, Lyon. The scoreline predictions suggest Toulouse Under 1.5 Goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-08-22 Time: 18:45 Location: Stadium de Toulouse Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!