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Form
Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 29
Preview
Toulouse
Toulouse
9th place
Form
VS
15:15
12 Apr 2026
Lille
Lille
5th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Lille
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Toulouse vs Lille: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 12 April, 2026 10:15

Winner (1x2)2.46
Lille to Win
Probability 38%
Total Goals1.78
Under 2.5
Probability 64%
Both Teams to Score1.95
No (NG)
Probability 55%
Toulouse Total1.41
Home Under 1.5
Probability 73%
Lille Total1.56
Away Under 1.5
Probability 68%
Double Chance1.40
Draw/Lille
Probability 68%
Asian Handicap1.40
Lille +0.5
Probability 68%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
15:15
Toulouse W 32%
:
Lille W 38%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Toulouse
d l l w w
14 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (21 total)
xG
1.50 (21.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.6 (205 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (34% acc)
Corners
5.1 (71 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13 (182 total)
Offsides
1.1 (16 total)
13 Played
5 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (17 total)
xG
1.10 (14.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (145 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (34% acc)
Corners
4.1 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.6 (190 total)
Offsides
0.9 (12 total)
27 Played
10 Wins
7 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (38 total)
xG
1.30 (35.3 total)
Shots per Match
13 (350 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (34% acc)
Corners
4.6 (124 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.8 (372 total)
Offsides
1 (28 total)
Lille
d l w l w
19 Played
10 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (30 total)
xG
1.40 (27.3 total)
Shots per Match
14 (266 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (33% acc)
Corners
6.6 (126 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.6 (201 total)
Offsides
1.6 (30 total)
20 Played
9 Wins
2 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (26 total)
xG
1.30 (25.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.3 (245 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (34% acc)
Corners
5.3 (106 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
11.1 (222 total)
Offsides
1.6 (31 total)
39 Played
19 Wins
5 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (56 total)
xG
1.30 (52.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.1 (511 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (33% acc)
Corners
5.9 (232 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
12 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
10.8 (423 total)
Offsides
1.6 (61 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.01 vs 1.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.96%
0:1
13.41%
0:2
6.94%
0:3
2.4%
0:4
0.62%
0:5
0.13%
1
1:0
11.73%
1:1
13.5%
🔥
1:2
7.69%
1:3
2.9%
1:4
0.81%
1:5
0.18%
2
2:0
5.31%
2:1
6.73%
2:2
4.19%
2:3
1.71%
2:4
0.52%
2:5
0.12%
3
3:0
1.6%
3:1
2.21%
3:2
1.5%
3:3
0.66%
3:4
0.22%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
0.36%
4:1
0.54%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.19%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.11%
5:2
0.08%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

13.0%
0
25.1%
1
25.8%
2
18.4%
3
10.3%
4
4.8%
5
1.9%
6
0.6%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

ToulouseHDPLille
3.4%
Very Low
-2.5
5.1%
@ 10.50Very Low
7.7%
Very Low
-2
10.5%
@ 9.40Very Low
11.9%
Very Low@ 6.75
-1.5
16.0%
@ 4.75Very Low
21.9%
Low@ 5.75
-1
27.2%
@ 3.97Low
31.9%
Low@ 3.05
-0.5
38.5%
@ 2.39Low
61.5%
High@ 1.62
+0.5
68.1%
@ 1.40High
72.8%
High@ 1.26
+1
78.1%
@ 1.15High
84.1%
Very High@ 1.18
+1.5
88.1%
@ 1.11Very High
89.5%
Very High@ 1.03
+2
92.4%
Very High
94.9%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
96.6%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

ToulouseOutcomeLille
26.8%
Low@ 3.00
Over 1.5
31.6%
@ 2.50Low
73.2%
High@ 1.41
Under 1.5
68.4%
@ 1.56High
8.2%
Very Low@ 8.00
Over 2.5
10.8%
@ 6.00Very Low
91.8%
Very High@ 1.10
Under 2.5
89.2%
@ 1.14Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Toulouse will take on Lille as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-04-12 at 2026-04-12 in the famous Stadium de Toulouse. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Toulouse, and the visiting side, Lille. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Lille. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-12 Time: 15:15 Location: Stadium de Toulouse Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Toulouse vs Lille Sunday, Apr 12th, 2026 at 10:15 Football

AI Value Bets
3 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 63.7%
EV: +13.5%
Stake: $3.21
1.78
BTTS No
Value
Prob: 55.5%
EV: +8.2%
Stake: $2.63
1.95
Home Total Toulouse Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 73.2%
EV: +3.2%
Stake: $6.10
1.41
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-02 02:35:25
spinner

Trends for Toulouse vs Lille Football 12 Apr, 2026 10:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Toulouse create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Toulouse rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Toulouse vs Lille

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Toulouse

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Lille

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Toulouse - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Lille - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Toulouse - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Lille - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Toulouse has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Toulouse handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.266
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.058
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Toulouse):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lille):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Toulouse
Lille

Toulouse vs Lille Head-to-head statistics for Sun 12 Apr, 2026 @ 10:15 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
Lyon
l l d d l
>
27
14
5
8
41
29
12
47
5
Lille
w w d w w
>
27
14
5
8
42
34
8
47
6
Monaco
w w w w w
>
27
14
4
9
47
38
9
46

8
Strasbourg
w d d d w
>
27
11
7
9
43
33
10
40
9
Toulouse
d l l w w
>
27
10
7
10
38
32
6
37
10
Lorient
d d d w l
>
27
9
10
8
37
41
-4
37
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Lille
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Toulouse
VS
Lille
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
1 Draws
5 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (8)
1.7 (12)
xG
1.00
1.40
Shots
10.4 (73)
13 (91)
Shots on Target
3.7 (26)
4 (28)
Corners
6 (42)
6.4 (45)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (12)
1.1 (8)
xGa
1.40
1.00
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (14)
1.7 (12)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
13.6 (95)
11.4 (80)
Offsides
2 (14)
1.1 (8)
14 Sep
- 13:00
Lille
Toulouse
2.14
xG
0.94
2
1
Prob 80%
Double Chance 1X
Odd 1.29
12 Apr
- 17:00
Toulouse
Lille
0.91
xG
0.40
1
2
5 Oct
- 17:00
Lille
Toulouse
1.61
xG
1.11
2
1
25 Feb
- 14:00
Toulouse
Lille
3
1
12 Nov
- 14:00
Lille
Toulouse
1
1
18 Mar
- 16:00
Toulouse
Lille
0
2
17 Sep
- 19:00
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
Last 6 Matches
Toulouse
VS
Lille
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.17 PPG 2.33
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
50% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.49 Avg xG 0.72
Toulouse
D L L W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 16:00
Toulouse
1 0
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Metz
3 4
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 20:05
Toulouse
0 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 16:00
Rennes
1 0
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Toulouse
1 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 14:00
LE Havre
2 1
Toulouse
Lille
D L W L W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Marseille
1 2
Lille
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
19 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Aston Villa
2 0
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Rennes
1 2
Lille
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
12 Mar 2026 - 17:45
Lille
0 1
Aston Villa
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Lille
1 1
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Lille
1 0
Nantes

Toulouse vs Lille: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Toulouse and away matches for Lille

Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Lille
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2
Toulouse
Lille
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Toulouse
Lille
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
60% 6
50% 5
Total Goals
Toulouse
Lille
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Total Corners
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Lille
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Toulouse
Lille
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Toulouse
Lille
xG
1.21
0.95
xGa
0.97
0.8
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Lille
Yes
20% 2
0% 0
No
80% 8
100% 10
1X2
Toulouse
Lille
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Toulouse
Lille
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Toulouse
Lille
0-1
60% 6
100% 10
2-3
30% 3
0% 0
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Lille
Yes
50% 5
80% 8
No
50% 5
20% 2
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Lille
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Toulouse
Lille
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Toulouse
Lille
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Toulouse
Lille
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
10% 1
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Lille
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
0.85 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found