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Tondela
Tondela vs Moreirense: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 11 May, 2026 14:15
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16
Played
1
Wins
7
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(11 total)
xG
1.10
(17.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(179 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(29% acc)
Corners
3.8
(60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.6
(217 total)
Offsides
2.1
(33 total)
16
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(13 total)
xG
1.00
(16.5 total)
Shots per Match
8.6
(137 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(37% acc)
Corners
3.8
(60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.4
(231 total)
Offsides
2.1
(33 total)
32
Played
5
Wins
10
Draws
17
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(24 total)
xG
1.10
(33.8 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(316 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(33% acc)
Corners
3.8
(120 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14
(448 total)
Offsides
2.1
(66 total)
16
Played
8
Wins
2
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(20 total)
xG
0.70
(11.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.6
(138 total)
Shots on Target
3
(35% acc)
Corners
3.9
(63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
13.3
(212 total)
Offsides
0.8
(12 total)
16
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(16.7 total)
Shots per Match
8.2
(131 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(41% acc)
Corners
3
(48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.2
(227 total)
Offsides
1.5
(24 total)
32
Played
12
Wins
6
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(37 total)
xG
0.90
(28.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.4
(269 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(38% acc)
Corners
3.5
(111 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
13.7
(439 total)
Offsides
1.1
(36 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.10 vs 1.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.86%
⭐
0:1
12.25%
⭐
0:2
5.84%
⭐
0:3
1.86%
⭐
0:4
0.44%
0:5
0.08%
1
1:0
12.77%
1:1
13.54%
🔥
1:2
7.11%
⭐
1:3
2.47%
⭐
1:4
0.64%
⭐
1:5
0.13%
2
2:0
6.34%
2:1
7.41%
2:2
4.25%
2:3
1.6%
2:4
0.45%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
2.1%
3:1
2.68%
3:2
1.67%
3:3
0.68%
3:4
0.21%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
0.52%
4:1
0.72%
4:2
0.49%
4:3
0.21%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.15%
5:2
0.11%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Tondela vs Moreirense Monday, May 11th, 2026 at 14:15 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Tondela vs Moreirense Football 11 May, 2026 14:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Tondela struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent home matches
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Tondela vs Moreirense.
🏆 Match Winner — Moreirense @ 4.10 ⚠️ 
Tondela
Relegation BattleLeague
Tondela are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
90%
💡Moreirense confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.95 ⚠️
Tondela1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Tondela struggle to score at home (0.43/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
5 / 771%
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ⚠️ 
Tondela2 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Tondela struggle to score at home (0.43/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
5 / 771%
Few GoalsRecent
Tondela scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
12 / 1580%
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Moreirense Win or Draw @ 1.91 ⚠️
Moreirense
Undefeated at HTRecent
Moreirense are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
12 / 1580%
Tondela
Relegation BattleLeague
Tondela are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
90%
💡Moreirense confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Tondela1 Trends — avg 2.8 (+6% above league)Many CardsRecent
Tondela receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
12 / 1580%
Moreirense1 Trends — avg 2.5 (-6% below league)Many CardsRecent
Moreirense receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
12 / 1580%
💡Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.76 ⚠️ 
Tondela1 Trends — avg 3.0 (-34% below league)Few CornersLeague
Tondela average 3.0 corners/match at home (-34% below league avg 4.6)
7 / 785%
Moreirense1 Trends — avg 4.0 (-12% below league)Few CornersLeague
Moreirense average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.6)
8 / 877%
💡Combined average: 7.0 corners/match (Tondela 3.0 + Moreirense 4.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
🎯 Betting Analysis
Tondela vs Moreirense
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Tondela is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Tondela
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Moreirense
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Tondela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Moreirense - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Tondela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Moreirense - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Tondela shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Tondela winning the second half
- Overall Result: Moreirense has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Moreirense handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.099
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.045
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Tondela):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Moreirense):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Tondela vs Moreirense Head-to-head statistics for Mon 11 May, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
13
11
8
46
32
14
50
7
▲
12
6
14
37
47
-10
42
8
▼
12
6
14
39
48
-9
42
16
5
11
16
29
56
-27
26
17
5
10
17
24
52
-28
25
18
2
11
19
24
66
-42
17
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Tondela
VS
Moreirense
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
1 (1)
xG
0.50
0.40
Shots
8 (8)
7 (7)
Shots on Target
2 (2)
2 (2)
Corners
2 (2)
4 (4)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
0 (0)
xGa
0.40
0.50
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
1 (1)
Fouls
13 (13)
7 (7)
Offsides
4 (4)
1 (1)
Last 6 Matches
Tondela
VS
Moreirense
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.83
PPG
1.17
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
2.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
33%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.87
Avg xG
0.69
Tondela vs Moreirense: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Tondela and away matches for Moreirense
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Tondela
Moreirense
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Tondela
Moreirense
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Tondela
Moreirense
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Tondela
Moreirense
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Tondela
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Tondela
Moreirense
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Tondela
Moreirense
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
40%
4
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Tondela
Moreirense
xG
0.91
0.7
xGa
1.5
1.52
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Tondela
Moreirense
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Tondela
Moreirense
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
70%
7
20%
2
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Tondela
Moreirense
12
30%
3
80%
8
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Tondela
Moreirense
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Tondela
Moreirense
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Tondela
Moreirense
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2
Tondela
Moreirense
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
Tondela
Moreirense
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Tondela
Moreirense
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Tondela
Moreirense
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1.03
xG
0.96
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
4
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Tondela will take on Moreirense as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-05-11 at 2026-05-11 in the famous Estádio João Cardoso.
The referee for the game will be R. Baixinho. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Tondela, and the visiting side, Moreirense. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Moreirense.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-11
Time: 19:15
Location: Estádio João Cardoso
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!