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Swansea
Swansea vs Birmingham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 11:30
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13
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(16 total)
xG
0.90
(11.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(154 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(31% acc)
Corners
4.7
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.3
(121 total)
Offsides
1.6
(21 total)
13
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(11 total)
xG
0.80
(10.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(137 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(37% acc)
Corners
4.2
(55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.3
(134 total)
Offsides
2.5
(32 total)
26
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(27 total)
xG
0.80
(21.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(291 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(34% acc)
Corners
4.5
(116 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.8
(255 total)
Offsides
2
(53 total)
13
Played
7
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(27 total)
xG
1.80
(23.7 total)
Shots per Match
17.6
(229 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(29% acc)
Corners
5.8
(76 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.3
(160 total)
Offsides
1.5
(20 total)
13
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6
(8 total)
xG
0.80
(10.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.3
(121 total)
Shots on Target
2.1
(22% acc)
Corners
4.5
(59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
11.4
(148 total)
Offsides
1.5
(19 total)
26
Played
9
Wins
7
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(35 total)
xG
1.30
(34.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(350 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(27% acc)
Corners
5.2
(135 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
11.8
(308 total)
Offsides
1.5
(39 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.52 vs 0.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.71%
0:1
7.7%
0:2
2.77%
0:3
0.66%
0:4
0.12%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
15.62%
🔥
⭐
1:1
11.89%
1:2
4.51%
1:3
1.14%
1:4
0.21%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
11.4%
⭐
2:1
9.15%
⭐
2:2
3.65%
2:3
0.97%
2:4
0.19%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
5.54%
⭐
3:1
4.68%
⭐
3:2
1.96%
3:3
0.54%
3:4
0.11%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
2.02%
⭐
4:1
1.79%
⭐
4:2
0.79%
⭐
4:3
0.23%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.59%
⭐
5:1
0.55%
⭐
5:2
0.25%
⭐
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Swansea will take on Birmingham as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Swansea.com Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Swansea, and the visiting side, Birmingham. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Swansea or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 17:30
Location: Swansea.com Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Swansea vs Birmingham Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 11:30 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Swansea vs Birmingham Football 17 Jan, 2026 11:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Chance Suppression
Swansea rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Swansea vs Birmingham, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Swansea @ 2.90 ✅ 
Swansea
- Efficient ScoringRecent17/2277%Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
Swansea demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.89 ⚠️ 
Swansea(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/1267%Swansea score (1.25/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/1250%Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H5/771.4%Both teams scored in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.75 
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/1250%Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Birmingham Win or Draw @ 1.45 ⚠️
Birmingham
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
Swansea
- Not WinH2H7/7100%Swansea have not won in 7 of their last 7 Championship matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Birmingham to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Birmingham Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.63 ⚠️ 
Birmingham
- Scored 1+Recent17/2277%Birmingham scored 1+ goals in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
Birmingham's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.72 ✅
Swansea(1 trends) — avg 1.9 (-3% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2286%Swansea average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 1.8) — rank #5 in league
Birmingham(2 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Birmingham receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Championship matches
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2289%Birmingham average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 1.8) — rank #4 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.8 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.72
+14 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Swansea vs Birmingham
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Birmingham is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 4).
⏰ First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (17 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (17 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Swansea
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Birmingham
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Swansea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Birmingham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Swansea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Birmingham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Birmingham often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 4)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Birmingham scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (17 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Birmingham to win the first half
- Overall Result: Birmingham has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Birmingham handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.03
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.055
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Swansea):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Birmingham):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Swansea vs Birmingham Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 11:30 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
▼
9
8
9
35
35
0
35
14
▲
9
7
10
35
36
-1
34
15
▼
8
9
9
38
38
0
33
16
▼
10
2
13
36
38
-2
32
17
▼
9
5
12
27
33
-6
32
18
9
4
13
29
35
-6
31
Team comparison
Prediction
Swansea or Draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Swansea
VS
Birmingham
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
4
Draws
3
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (9)
1.7 (12)
xG
1.40
2.20
Shots
9.1 (64)
15 (105)
Shots on Target
3.6 (25)
5 (35)
Corners
3.9 (27)
6.1 (43)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (12)
1.3 (9)
xGa
2.20
1.40
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (14)
3 (21)
Fouls
10.1 (71)
13.3 (93)
Offsides
2.3 (16)
2 (14)
Last 6 Matches
Swansea
VS
Birmingham
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
50%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.18
Avg xG
1.38
Swansea vs Birmingham: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Swansea and away matches for Birmingham
Number of goals
Swansea
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Swansea
Birmingham
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
1X2
Swansea
Birmingham
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
0%
0
40%
4
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Swansea
Birmingham
12
100%
10
60%
6
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Swansea
Birmingham
0-1
40%
4
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
80%
8
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Total Corners
Swansea
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Swansea
Birmingham
Yes
40%
4
0%
0
No
60%
6
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Swansea
Birmingham
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Swansea
Birmingham
xG
0.94
1.22
xGa
0.92
1.37
Number of goals
Swansea
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Swansea
Birmingham
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2
Swansea
Birmingham
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
50%
5
60%
6
Double Chance
Swansea
Birmingham
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
50%
5
40%
4
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Swansea
Birmingham
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Swansea
Birmingham
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
Number of goals
Swansea
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Swansea
Birmingham
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Swansea
Birmingham
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Swansea
Birmingham
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Swansea
Birmingham
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Swansea
Birmingham
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
1.33
xG
0.69
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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