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14 Dec 2025-14:00
Sunderland
Sunderland
6th place
- : -
14 Dec 2025 9:00
Newcastle
Newcastle
12th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Sunderland vs Newcastle: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 9:00

1×2 Prediction
Sunderland
40%29%31%
SunderlandDrawNewcastle
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
59%41%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
54%46%
NoYes
Team Total - Sunderland
Under 1.5
64%36%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Newcastle
Under 1.5
72%28%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Sunderland/Draw
69%31%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Sunderland +1
85%15%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Sunderland +1
Odds: 1.44
84.9%
EV: +22.3%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Total - Away Newcastle Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.85
72%
EV: +33.2%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.34 vs 0.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.98%
0:1
9.4%
0:2
3.69%
0:3
0.97%
0:4
0.19%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
15.15%
🔥
1:1
12.79%
1:2
5.37%
1:3
1.5%
1:4
0.31%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
9.58%
2:1
8.66%
2:2
3.88%
2:3
1.15%
2:4
0.25%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
4.04%
3:1
3.89%
3:2
1.85%
3:3
0.58%
3:4
0.14%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.28%
4:1
1.31%
4:2
0.66%
4:3
0.22%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.32%
5:1
0.35%
5:2
0.19%
5:3
0.07%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (15.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

12.0%
0
24.6%
1
26.1%
2
19.0%
3
10.7%
4
5.0%
5
1.9%
6
0.6%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Sunderland
vs
Newcastle
Dec 14, 14:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
Crystal Palace
w d w l w
>
14
6
5
3
18
11
7
23
6
Sunderland
d d l w d
>
14
6
5
3
18
14
4
23
7
Brighton
w d w w l
>
14
6
4
4
24
20
4
22

11
Tottenham
l d l l d
>
14
5
4
5
23
18
5
19
12
Newcastle
l l w w d
>
14
5
4
5
19
18
1
19
13
Brentford
l w l w l
>
14
6
1
7
21
22
-1
19
Last 6 Matches
Sunderland
VS
Newcastle
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.50 PPG 1.67
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
83% BTTS % 83%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.78 Avg xG 1.52
Sunderland
D D L W D
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Liverpool
1 1
Sunderland
Premier League 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Sunderland
3 2
Bournemouth
Premier League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Fulham
1 0
Sunderland
Premier League 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Sunderland
2 2
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Sunderland
1 1
Everton
Premier League 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 14:00
Chelsea
1 2
Sunderland
Newcastle
L W L W D
Premier League 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Newcastle
2 2
Tottenham
Premier League 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Everton
1 4
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Marseille
2 1
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Newcastle
2 1
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Brentford
3 1
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Newcastle
2 0
Athletic Club
Missing Players
Sunderland
42
d
- Injured - Shoulder injury
Newcastle
47% Draw 24%
41% Over 2.5 59%
46% Both Teams Score 54%
1.87 xPTS 1.13
1.34 xG [Total: 2.20] 0.86
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
6 Corners [Total: 11] 5
2 Offsides [Total: 3] 1
12 Fouls [Total: 21] 9
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 4
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Sunderland will take on Newcastle as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Stadium of Light. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sunderland, and the visiting side, Newcastle. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Sunderland or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-14 Time: 14:00 Location: Stadium of Light Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sunderland vs Newcastle Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 9:00 Football

Value Bets

7 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 1:0
Odds: 11.75
15.1%
EV: +77.5% Kelly: $3.61
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High Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.82
69.5%
EV: +26.4% Kelly: $16.11
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High Value
Asian Handicap Sunderland +1.5
Odds: 1.28
92.9%
EV: +19.0% Kelly: $33.84
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Best Tip High Value
Asian Handicap Sunderland +1
Odds: 1.39
84.9%
EV: +18.0% Kelly: $23.13
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Value
Win to Nil Newcastle NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.26
85.8%
EV: +8.1% Kelly: $15.50
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 15:12:20
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Trends for Sunderland vs Newcastle Football 14 Dec, 2025 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Sunderland score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Sunderland vs Newcastle

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Sunderland

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Newcastle

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Sunderland - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Newcastle - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Sunderland - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Newcastle - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Newcastle has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Newcastle handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.039
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.013
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sunderland):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Newcastle):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Sunderland
Newcastle

Sunderland vs Newcastle Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 9:00 Premier League

Sunderland vs Newcastle: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sunderland and away matches for Newcastle

Number of goals

Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Sunderland
Newcastle
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2

1X2

1X2
Sunderland
Newcastle
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
20% 2
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Sunderland
Newcastle
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
60% 6
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Sunderland
Newcastle
0-1
20% 2
0% 0
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
20% 2
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Sunderland
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Newcastle
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Sunderland
Newcastle
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Sunderland
Newcastle
xG
0.83
1.54
xGa
1.4
1.21

Number of goals

Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Sunderland
Newcastle
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Sunderland
Newcastle
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
30% 3
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Sunderland
Newcastle
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
Sunderland
Newcastle
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Newcastle
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2

Number of goals

Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Sunderland
Newcastle
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Sunderland
Newcastle
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
20% 2
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Sunderland
Newcastle
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Sunderland
Newcastle
0-1
60% 6
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
70% 7
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Newcastle
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
Team comparison
Prediction
Sunderland AH+1
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
7.7%
Low
N/A
1.6%
Low
8.50
-2
14.8%
Low
N/A
4.3%
Low
7.20
-1.5
21.9%
Low
8.20
7.1%
Low
3.90
-1
34.8%
Low
7.10
15.1%
Low
3.20
-0.5
47.7%
Low
3.61
23.1%
Low
2.09
+0.5
76.9%
High
1.82
52.3%
Medium
1.32
+1
84.9%
High
1.39
65.2%
Medium
1.12
+1.5
92.9%
High
1.28
78.1%
High
1.06
+2
95.7%
High
1.11
85.2%
High
N/A
+2.5
98.4%
High
1.07
92.3%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.538.73%Low3.12
Under 1.561.27%Medium1.41
AwayOver 1.521.29%Low2.10
Under 1.578.71%High1.77
HomeOver 2.515.22%Low8.60
Under 2.584.78%High1.09
AwayOver 2.55.64%Low4.50
Under 2.594.36%High1.20
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Sunderland
Newcastle
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 4 2 6
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 0 3 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 14 0.6 4 1.3 18
Goals Conceded 1 7 1 7 1 14
Yellow Cards 2 14 1.9 13 1.9 27
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.3 2 0.3 4
Corners 4 28 2.9 20 3.4 48
Fouls 11 77 8.6 60 9.8 137
Offsides 1.1 8 2 14 1.6 22
Shots 11.1 78 7.9 55 9.5 133
Shots on Goal 3.6 25 2.7 19 3.1 44
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 4 1 5
Draws 1 3 4
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.7 12 1 7 1.4 19
Goals Conceded 1.3 9 1.3 9 1.3 18
Yellow Cards 0.9 6 1.1 8 1 14
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.4 3 0.4 5
Corners 7 49 4.6 32 5.8 81
Fouls 11.1 78 8.4 59 9.8 137
Offsides 1.1 8 0.6 4 0.9 12
Shots 13.7 96 10.4 73 12.1 169
Shots on Goal 5.3 37 3 21 4.1 58
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