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Sunderland vs Manchester City: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 1 January, 2026 14:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.84 vs 1.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.28%
⭐
0:1
14.84%
🔥
⭐
0:2
10.72%
0:3
5.16%
0:4
1.86%
0:5
0.54%
1
1:0
7.91%
⭐
1:1
12.1%
⭐
1:2
9.23%
1:3
4.68%
1:4
1.78%
1:5
0.54%
2
2:0
3.04%
⭐
2:1
4.92%
⭐
2:2
3.95%
2:3
2.11%
2:4
0.84%
2:5
0.27%
3
3:0
0.78%
⭐
3:1
1.33%
3:2
1.12%
3:3
0.63%
3:4
0.26%
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
0.15%
4:1
0.27%
4:2
0.24%
4:3
0.14%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.04%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:1 (14.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
12
3
2
31
10
21
39
2
12
1
4
41
16
25
37
3
11
3
3
27
18
9
36
5
▲
9
2
6
28
25
3
29
6
▲
7
6
4
19
17
2
27
7
▼
7
5
5
31
28
3
26
0.94
xG
1.52
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Sunderland
VS
Manchester City
2/6 (33%)
Victories
6/6 (100%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.33
PPG
2.50
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
3.17
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
83%
0.72
Avg xG
2.26
Missing Players
-
Injured - Shoulder injury
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Sunderland will take on Manchester City as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-01 at 2026-01-01 in the famous Stadium of Light.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sunderland, and the visiting side, Manchester City. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Manchester City.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-01
Time: 20:00
Location: Stadium of Light
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sunderland vs Manchester City Thursday, Jan 1st, 2026 at 14:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Sunderland vs Manchester City Football 1 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Sunderland have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Sunderland score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Sunderland vs Manchester City, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Manchester City @ 1.56 ✅ 
Manchester City
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Manchester City rank 1 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Manchester City score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+41% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Manchester City are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Manchester City create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%Manchester City score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Manchester City demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.84 
Sunderland(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Sunderland score (1.88/match) and concede (0.88/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.76 ✅
Sunderland(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Sunderland score 1.88 goals/match at home (+33% above league average)
Manchester City(4 trends)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Manchester City rank 1 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Manchester City score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+41% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%Manchester City score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Both teams average 3.9 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
🛡️ Double Chance — Sunderland Win or Draw @ 2.65 ⚠️ 
Sunderland
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Sunderland concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Sunderland demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Manchester City Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.58 ✅
Manchester City
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Manchester City rank 1 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Manchester City score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+41% above league average)
Manchester City's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Sunderland(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+10% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%Sunderland average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.9)
Manchester City(1 trends) — avg 1.4 (-27% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1786%Manchester City average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-14% below league avg 1.9)
Manchester City disciplined play balances Sunderland aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.68 ✅
Sunderland(2 trends) — avg 3.9 (-19% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/884%Sunderland average 3.9 corners/match at home (-19% below league avg 4.8)
- Few CornersRecent13/1776%Sunderland win 4 or fewer corners in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Manchester City(1 trends) — avg 3.6 (-24% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Manchester City average 3.6 corners/match in away matches (-24% below league avg 4.8)
Combined average: 7.5 corners/match (Sunderland 3.9 + Manchester City 3.6) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+11 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Sunderland vs Manchester City
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sunderland
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Manchester City
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sunderland - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Manchester City - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sunderland - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Manchester City - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
1
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Manchester City has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Manchester City handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sunderland):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Manchester City):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Sunderland vs Manchester City Head-to-head statistics for Thu 1 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Premier League
Sunderland vs Manchester City: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sunderland and away matches for Manchester City
Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
30%
3
70%
7
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Sunderland
Manchester City
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
Sunderland
Manchester City
1
40%
4
80%
8
X
40%
4
0%
0
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Sunderland
Manchester City
12
60%
6
100%
10
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
20%
2
Total Goals
Sunderland
Manchester City
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
70%
7
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Sunderland
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Manchester City
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Sunderland
Manchester City
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
80%
8
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Sunderland
Manchester City
xG
0.78
2.04
xGa
1.35
1.19
Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sunderland
Manchester City
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Sunderland
Manchester City
1
20%
2
80%
8
X
50%
5
10%
1
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Sunderland
Manchester City
12
50%
5
90%
9
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
80%
8
20%
2
Total Goals
Sunderland
Manchester City
0-1
70%
7
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
60%
6
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Manchester City
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sunderland
Manchester City
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Sunderland
Manchester City
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Sunderland
Manchester City
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Sunderland
Manchester City
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Manchester City
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Sunderland AH+2
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 20.42% | Low | 4.05 |
| Under 1.5 | 79.58% | High | 1.25 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 45.70% | Low | 1.58 |
| Under 1.5 | 54.30% | Medium | 2.50 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 5.27% | Low | 13.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 94.73% | High | 1.05 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 20.24% | Low | 2.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 79.76% | High | 1.44 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Sunderland
Manchester City
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
0
Goals
3
3
3
3
Goals Conceded
0
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
1
1
5
5
Corners
6
6
10
10
Fouls
9
9
3
3
Offsides
0
8
8
Shots
18
18
1
1
Shots on Goal
6
6
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.9 | 15 | 0.4 | 4 | 1.1 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 7 | 1.1 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.4 | 19 | 1.7 | 15 | 2 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 31 | 3.2 | 29 | 3.5 | 60 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 87 | 9.4 | 85 | 10.1 | 172 |
| Offsides | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 83 | 8.6 | 77 | 9.4 | 160 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 26 | 2.9 | 26 | 3.1 | 52 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 8 | 4 | 12 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.8 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 2.4 | 41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 6 | 1.3 | 10 | 0.9 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.3 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 1.6 | 28 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Corners | 7 | 63 | 3.6 | 29 | 5.4 | 92 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 91 | 9 | 72 | 9.6 | 163 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.1 | 18 |
| Shots | 15.6 | 140 | 11.6 | 93 | 13.7 | 233 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.6 | 59 | 3.9 | 31 | 5.3 | 90 |
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