Stoke City vs Swansea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 13 December, 2025 7:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
Stoke City
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Stoke City vs Swansea Saturday, Dec 13th, 2025 at 7:30 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Stoke City vs Swansea Football 13 Dec, 2025 7:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🧱
Defensive Fortress
Stoke City have league's best defense — hard to break down
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🔐
Chance Suppression
Stoke City rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Stoke City vs Swansea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Stoke City(3 trends)
- Efficient ScoringH2H6/875%Stoke City efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 8 Championship matches vs Swansea
- Above League AverageLeague9/973.5%Stoke City score 1.67 goals/match at home (+27% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Stoke City concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Swansea(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H7/888%Swansea have not won in 7 of their last 8 Championship matches vs Stoke City
- Efficient ScoringH2H6/875%Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 8 Championship matches vs Stoke City
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Stoke City(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/956%Stoke City score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
Swansea(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Swansea struggle to score in away matches (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Stoke City(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/973.5%Stoke City score 1.67 goals/match at home (+27% above league average)
Swansea(1 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H7/888%Swansea scored 0-1 goals in 7 of their last 8 Championship matches vs Stoke City
🛡️ Double Chance
Stoke City(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Stoke City concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Swansea(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H7/888%Swansea have not won in 7 of their last 8 Championship matches vs Stoke City
⚡ Team Total Goals
Stoke City(7 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H6/875%Stoke City scored 1+ goals in 6 of their last 8 Championship matches vs Swansea
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H6/875%Stoke City score in second half in 6 of their last 8 Championship matches vs Swansea
- Above League AverageLeague9/973.5%Stoke City score 1.67 goals/match at home (+27% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Stoke City concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%Stoke City rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent13/1587%Stoke City conceded under 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent24/3080%Stoke City conceded under 1.5 goals in 24 of their last 30 Championship matches
Swansea(2 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H6/875%Swansea scored 1+ goals in 6 of their last 8 Championship matches vs Stoke City
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Swansea struggle to score in away matches (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Stoke City(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H6/875%Stoke City receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 Championship matches vs Swansea
Swansea(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1880%Swansea average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+10% above league avg 1.8)
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Stoke City(1 trends) — avg 5.8 (+17% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/982%Stoke City average 5.8 corners/match at home (+17% above league avg 4.9)
Swansea(1 trends) — avg 4.3 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/977%Swansea average 4.3 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.9)
+8 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Stoke City vs Swansea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Stoke City
✈️ Swansea
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Stoke City - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Swansea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Stoke City - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Swansea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Swansea shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 6 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Swansea winning the second half
- Overall Result: Stoke City has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Stoke City handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Stoke City):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Swansea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Stoke City vs Swansea Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 7:30 Championship
Stoke City vs Swansea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Stoke City and away matches for Swansea
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11.5% Low N/A | 0.3% Low N/A |
| -2 | 20.7% Low N/A | 1.3% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 30.0% Low N/A | 2.4% Low N/A |
| -1 | 44.9% Low N/A | 7.3% Low N/A |
| -0.5 | 59.8% Medium N/A | 12.2% Low N/A |
| +0.5 | 87.8% High N/A | 40.2% Low N/A |
| +1 | 92.7% High N/A | 55.1% Medium N/A |
| +1.5 | 97.6% High N/A | 70.0% High N/A |
| +2 | 98.7% High N/A | 79.3% High N/A |
| +2.5 | 99.7% High N/A | 88.5% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 40.82% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 59.18% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 8.72% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 91.28% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 16.65% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 83.35% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 1.36% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 98.64% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
4
3
1
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 15 | 1.2 | 11 | 1.4 | 26 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 7 | 0.8 | 7 | 0.8 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 14 | 2.1 | 19 | 1.8 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.4 | 7 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 52 | 5.1 | 46 | 5.4 | 98 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 93 | 10.2 | 92 | 10.3 | 185 |
| Offsides | 3.2 | 29 | 2.9 | 26 | 3.1 | 55 |
| Shots | 12.6 | 113 | 11.7 | 105 | 12.1 | 218 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.4 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 4.2 | 76 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.1 | 10 | 0.9 | 8 | 1 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 15 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.5 | 27 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 16 | 2.1 | 19 | 1.9 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 38 | 4.3 | 39 | 4.3 | 77 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 93 | 10.1 | 91 | 10.2 | 184 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 16 | 2.3 | 21 | 2.1 | 37 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 89 | 10 | 90 | 9.9 | 179 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.2 | 29 | 3.4 | 31 | 3.3 | 60 |


Championship 2025-2026