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Form
Form
Championship 2025-2026 • Matchweek 27
Preview
Stoke City
Stoke City
8th place
Form
VS
15:00
17 Jan 2026
QPR
QPR
11th place
Form
AI Prediction QPR Under 1.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Stoke City vs QPR: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 9:00

Winner (1x2)2.12
Stoke City to Win
Probability 46%
Total Goals1.80
Under 2.5
Probability 68%
Both Teams to Score1.97
No (NG)
Probability 60%
Stoke City Total1.65
Home Under 1.5
Probability 66%
QPR Total1.40
Away Under 1.5
Probability 82%
Double Chance1.34
Stoke City/Draw
Probability 77%
Asian Handicap1.23
QPR +1.5
Probability 80%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Away QPR Under 1.5 Goals
Odds 1.4
Win Prob. 81.6% EV: +14.2%
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Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
15:00
Stoke City W 46%
:
QPR W 23%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Stoke City
l d l w w
12 Played
6 Wins
2 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (18 total)
xG
0.90 (10.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (143 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (36% acc)
Corners
6.2 (74 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.3 (124 total)
Offsides
2.9 (35 total)
14 Played
6 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (14 total)
xG
1.10 (14.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.6 (148 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (32% acc)
Corners
5 (70 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.7 (150 total)
Offsides
2.9 (41 total)
26 Played
12 Wins
4 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (32 total)
xG
1.00 (25.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (291 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (34% acc)
Corners
5.5 (144 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.5 (274 total)
Offsides
2.9 (76 total)
QPR
w d l l w
13 Played
7 Wins
2 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (24 total)
xG
1.50 (19.8 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (187 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (31% acc)
Corners
5.5 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.9 (142 total)
Offsides
1.8 (24 total)
13 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (14 total)
xG
0.90 (11.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (133 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (29% acc)
Corners
3.9 (51 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.7 (126 total)
Offsides
2.3 (30 total)
26 Played
11 Wins
5 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (38 total)
xG
1.20 (31.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.3 (320 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (30% acc)
Corners
4.7 (123 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.3 (268 total)
Offsides
2.1 (54 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.22 vs 0.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
14.03%
0:1
10.46%
0:2
3.9%
0:3
0.97%
0:4
0.18%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
16.64%
🔥
1:1
12.89%
1:2
4.98%
1:3
1.28%
1:4
0.25%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
9.86%
2:1
7.93%
2:2
3.18%
2:3
0.85%
2:4
0.17%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
3.9%
3:1
3.24%
3:2
1.35%
3:3
0.37%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
1.16%
4:1
1%
4:2
0.43%
4:3
0.12%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.27%
5:1
0.24%
5:2
0.11%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (16.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

14.0%
0
27.1%
1
26.7%
2
17.8%
3
9.0%
4
3.7%
5
1.2%
6
0.3%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Stoke CityHDPQPR
6.8%
Very Low@ 7.80
-2.5
1.5%
@ 15.00Very Low
13.6%
Very Low@ 7.10
-2
4.2%
Very Low
20.4%
Low@ 4.21
-1.5
6.9%
@ 7.50Very Low
33.4%
Low@ 3.31
-1
15.0%
@ 7.00Very Low
46.4%
Medium@ 2.10
-0.5
23.2%
@ 3.58Low
76.8%
High@ 1.33
+0.5
53.6%
@ 1.87Medium
85.0%
Very High@ 1.10
+1
66.6%
@ 1.38High
93.1%
Very High@ 1.10
+1.5
79.6%
@ 1.23High
95.8%
Very High
+2
86.4%
@ 1.04Very High
98.5%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
93.2%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

Stoke CityOutcomeQPR
70.5%
High@ 1.27
Over 0.5
54.2%
@ 1.50Medium
29.5%
Low@ 4.00
Under 0.5
45.8%
@ 2.75Medium
34.5%
Low@ 2.30
Over 1.5
18.4%
@ 3.40Very Low
65.5%
High@ 1.66
Under 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.39Very High
12.5%
Very Low@ 5.20
Over 2.5
4.5%
@ 10.00Very Low
87.5%
Very High@ 1.18
Under 2.5
95.5%
@ 1.07Very High
3.6%
Very Low@ 13.00
Over 3.5
0.8%
@ 26.00Very Low
96.5%
Very High@ 1.04
Under 3.5
99.2%
@ 1.01Very High
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Stoke City will take on QPR as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous bet365 Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Stoke City, and the visiting side, QPR. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Stoke City or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-17 Time: 15:00 Location: bet365 Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Stoke City vs QPR Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 9:00 Football

AI Value Bets
9 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Correct Score 1:0
High Value
Prob: 16.6%
EV: +24.6%
Stake: $0.38
7.50
BTTS No
High Value
Prob: 60.4%
EV: +19.1%
Stake: $2.58
1.97
Premium Tip Under 2.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
BTTS No
High Value
Prob: 60.4%
EV: +17.9%
Stake: $2.63
1.95
Away Total QPR Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 81.6%
EV: +14.2%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 81.6%
EV: +14.2%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Total Home Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 65.5%
EV: +8.1%
Stake: $3.85
1.65
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 76.8%
EV: +2.9%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 76.8%
EV: +1.3%
Stake: $7.81
1.32
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 08:30:53
spinner

Trends for Stoke City vs QPR Football 17 Jan, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Stoke City have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Stoke City rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Stoke City vs QPR

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: QPR is stronger in the second half (10 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: QPR is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Stoke City

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.07

✈️ QPR

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Stoke City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1

✈️ QPR - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Stoke City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

✈️ QPR - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: QPR shows superior performance after the break (10 vs 5 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of QPR winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: QPR excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 2 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of QPR scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Stoke City has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Stoke City handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.039
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Stoke City):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (QPR):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Stoke City
QPR

Stoke City vs QPR Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
Hull City
w w d w l
>
25
12
5
8
40
38
2
41
8
Stoke City
l d l w w
>
26
12
4
10
32
23
9
40
9
Wrexham
l w w w w
>
26
10
10
6
38
32
6
40
10
Bristol City
w w l w l
>
26
11
6
9
38
29
9
39
11
QPR
w d l l w
>
26
11
5
10
38
39
-1
38
12
Leicester
l l w l w
>
26
10
7
9
37
38
-1
37
Team comparison
Prediction
QPR Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Stoke City
VS
QPR
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
4 Wins
2 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10)
0.9 (8)
xG
1.30
1.30
Shots
11 (99)
14.8 (133)
Shots on Target
3.9 (35)
4.8 (43)
Corners
5.6 (50)
7.4 (67)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 (8)
1.1 (10)
xGa
1.30
1.30
Clean Sheets
4 (44%)
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (16)
2.1 (19)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
11.4 (103)
9.3 (84)
Offsides
2.1 (19)
1.6 (14)
20 Sep
- 11:30
QPR
Stoke City
1.05
xG
1.10
1
0
Prob 81%
Asian Handicap H+1.25
Odd 1.17
29 Mar
- 15:00
Stoke City
QPR
1.53
xG
0.54
3
1
23 Nov
- 15:00
QPR
Stoke City
2.27
xG
1.19
1
1
14 Feb
- 19:45
Stoke City
QPR
1
0
28 Nov
- 19:45
QPR
Stoke City
4
2
29 Apr
- 14:00
Stoke City
QPR
0
1
17 Sep
- 14:00
QPR
Stoke City
0
0
23 Apr
- 14:00
Stoke City
QPR
1
0
5 Dec
- 14:30
QPR
Stoke City
0
2
Last 6 Matches
Stoke City
VS
QPR
3/6 (50%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.67 PPG 1.17
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
33% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.98 Avg xG 1.01
Stoke City
L D L W W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Norwich
0 2
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Hull City
0 1
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Stoke City
1 2
Sheffield Utd
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Stoke City
0 0
Preston
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Watford
1 0
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Stoke City
2 1
Swansea
QPR
W D L L W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 12:00
QPR
3 0
Sheffield Wednesday
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Jan 2026 - 15:00
QPR
1 2
Norwich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Dec 2025 - 19:45
West Brom
2 1
QPR
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Portsmouth
1 1
QPR
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 15:00
QPR
4 1
Leicester
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Middlesbrough
3 1
QPR

Stoke City vs QPR: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Stoke City and away matches for QPR

Number of goals
Stoke City
Under
Over
QPR
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Stoke City
QPR
Yes
30% 3
80% 8
No
70% 7
20% 2
1X2
Stoke City
QPR
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
10% 1
10% 1
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Stoke City
QPR
12
90% 9
90% 9
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
60% 6
50% 5
Total Goals
Stoke City
QPR
0-1
40% 4
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
10% 1
40% 4
Total Corners
Stoke City
Under
Over
QPR
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Stoke City
QPR
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Stoke City
QPR
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Stoke City
QPR
xG
0.79
1.11
xGa
1.18
0.98
Number of goals
Stoke City
Under
Over
QPR
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Stoke City
QPR
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8
1X2
Stoke City
QPR
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Stoke City
QPR
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Stoke City
QPR
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Stoke City
QPR
Yes
80% 8
60% 6
No
20% 2
40% 4
Number of goals
Stoke City
Under
Over
QPR
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Stoke City
QPR
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Stoke City
QPR
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Stoke City
QPR
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
90% 9
60% 6
Total Goals
Stoke City
QPR
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Stoke City
QPR
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
Missing Players
Stoke City
QPR
- Injured - Hip injury
1.08 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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