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Norwich
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Stoke City
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 21 January, 2026 14:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
12
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(18 total)
xG
0.90
(10.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(143 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(36% acc)
Corners
6.2
(74 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.3
(124 total)
Offsides
2.9
(35 total)
14
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(14 total)
xG
1.10
(14.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(148 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(32% acc)
Corners
5
(70 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.7
(150 total)
Offsides
2.9
(41 total)
26
Played
12
Wins
4
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(32 total)
xG
1.00
(25.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(291 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(34% acc)
Corners
5.5
(144 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.5
(274 total)
Offsides
2.9
(76 total)
13
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(20 total)
xG
1.10
(14.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(181 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(30% acc)
Corners
6.2
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.1
(118 total)
Offsides
1.5
(20 total)
13
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(17 total)
xG
1.10
(14.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.5
(189 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(26% acc)
Corners
6.2
(81 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.2
(119 total)
Offsides
1.9
(25 total)
26
Played
13
Wins
7
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(37 total)
xG
1.10
(29.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.2
(370 total)
Shots on Target
4
(28% acc)
Corners
6.2
(161 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.1
(237 total)
Offsides
1.7
(45 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.22 vs 0.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.25%
0:1
10.8%
⭐
0:2
4.76%
⭐
0:3
1.4%
⭐
0:4
0.31%
⭐
0:5
0.05%
⭐
1
1:0
14.35%
🔥
⭐
1:1
13.25%
⭐
1:2
6.1%
1:3
1.87%
1:4
0.43%
1:5
0.08%
2
2:0
8.41%
2:1
8.11%
2:2
3.89%
⭐
2:3
1.24%
⭐
2:4
0.3%
⭐
2:5
0.06%
⭐
3
3:0
3.28%
⭐
3:1
3.3%
⭐
3:2
1.65%
⭐
3:3
0.55%
3:4
0.14%
⭐
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
0.96%
⭐
4:1
1.01%
4:2
0.52%
4:3
0.18%
4:4
0.05%
⭐
4:5
0.01%
⭐
5
5:0
0.23%
⭐
5:1
0.25%
⭐
5:2
0.13%
5:3
0.05%
⭐
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:0 (14.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Stoke City will take on Middlesbrough as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-01-21 at 2026-01-21 in the famous bet365 Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Stoke City, and the visiting side, Middlesbrough. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Stoke City or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-21
Time: 20:00
Location: bet365 Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Football 21 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Stoke City have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Stoke City(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H7/978%Stoke City have not won in 7 of their last 9 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague10/1074.5%Stoke City score 1.70 goals/match at home (+29% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague10/1070%Stoke City concede only 0.80 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Middlesbrough(3 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Middlesbrough are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- UnbeatenRecent18/2282%Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent18/2282%Middlesbrough efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Stoke City(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/1050%Stoke City score well (1.70/match) but have strong defense at home (0.80 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 50% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Stoke City(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1074.5%Stoke City score 1.70 goals/match at home (+29% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H6/966.7%Under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 9 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Stoke City(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H7/978%Stoke City have not won in 7 of their last 9 Championship matches
- League Best DefenseLeague10/1070%Stoke City concede only 0.80 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Middlesbrough(2 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Middlesbrough are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- UnbeatenRecent18/2282%Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Stoke City(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1074.5%Stoke City score 1.70 goals/match at home (+29% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague10/1070%Stoke City concede only 0.80 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Middlesbrough(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent18/2282%Middlesbrough scored 1+ goals in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Stoke City(1 trends) — avg 2 (+2% above league)
- Many CardsH2H7/978%Stoke City receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 Championship matches
Middlesbrough(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-23% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague22/2284.5%Middlesbrough average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.5 cards per match in their last 8 H2H matches
Middlesbrough disciplined play balances Stoke City aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Stoke City(1 trends) — avg 5.8 (+16% above league)
- Many CornersLeague10/1081%Stoke City average 5.8 corners/match at home (+16% above league avg 5.0)
Middlesbrough(1 trends) — avg 6.1 (+22% above league)
- Many CornersLeague12/1285%Middlesbrough average 6.1 corners/match in away matches (+22% above league avg 5.0)
Combined average: 11.9 corners/match (Stoke City 5.8 + Middlesbrough 6.1)
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Stoke City is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Stoke City is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Middlesbrough is stronger in the second half (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⏰ First Half: Stoke City is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Middlesbrough is stronger in the second half (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Stoke City
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Middlesbrough
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.04
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Stoke City - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
✈️ Middlesbrough - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Stoke City - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Middlesbrough - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Stoke City often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 1)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Stoke City scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Stoke City is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Stoke City to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Middlesbrough shows superior performance after the break (9 vs 5 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Middlesbrough winning the second half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.09
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.034
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.09
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Stoke City):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Middlesbrough):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Head-to-head statistics for Wed 21 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
15
7
4
57
29
28
52
2
▲
13
7
6
37
26
11
46
3
▼
12
8
5
42
24
18
44
7
▼
12
5
8
40
38
2
41
8
▲
12
4
10
32
23
9
40
9
▲
10
10
6
38
32
6
40
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : Stoke City or draw and -3.5 goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Stoke City
VS
Middlesbrough
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
4
Draws
3
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9)
1.2 (11)
xG
1.00
1.80
Shots
10.8 (97)
12.6 (113)
Shots on Target
3.6 (32)
3.9 (35)
Corners
4.4 (40)
5.1 (46)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 (11)
1 (9)
xGa
1.80
1.00
Clean Sheets
4 (44%)
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 (22)
1.6 (14)
Fouls
11.7 (105)
7.8 (70)
Offsides
2.2 (20)
1.8 (16)
Last 6 Matches
Stoke City
VS
Middlesbrough
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.67
PPG
1.17
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
33%
BTTS %
17%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
0.98
Avg xG
1.48
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Stoke City and away matches for Middlesbrough
Number of goals
Stoke City
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
40%
4
Total Corners
Stoke City
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
30%
3
70%
7
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
xG
0.79
1.35
xGa
1.18
0.94
Number of goals
Stoke City
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Stoke City
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1.09
xG
0.86
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
9
6
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
Freddie Woodman's Earnings at Liverpool as QPR Encouraged to Finalize Transfer
Final Score: Hull City 0, Middlesbrough 1 - Championship Match Highlights
Championship Match: Burnley 0 - Stoke City 0 Full-Time Result
Middlesbrough 0, Burnley 0: Final Score from Championship Clash
Stoke City 1, Sunderland 0: Final Whistle in Championship Clash
Final Score: Stoke City 0 - Leeds United 2 in Championship Match
Championship: Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday Draw 3-3 at Full Time