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Form
Form
Championship 2025-2026 • Matchweek 44
Preview
Southampton
Southampton
4th place
Form
VS
18:45
21 Apr 2026
Bristol City
Bristol City
10th place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Southampton
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Southampton vs Bristol City: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 21 April, 2026 13:45

Winner (1x2)1.49
Southampton to Win
Probability 62%
Total Goals2.30
Under 2.5
Probability 64%
Both Teams to Score2.10
No (NG)
Probability 64%
Southampton Total1.50
Home Under 2.5
Probability 79%
Bristol City Total1.27
Away Under 1.5
Probability 88%
Double Chance1.13
Southampton/Draw
Probability 88%
Asian Handicap1.24
Bristol City +2.5
Probability 86%
Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
18:45
Southampton W 62%
:
Bristol City W 12%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Southampton
w w w w w
21 Played
12 Wins
6 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (34 total)
xG
1.50 (31.3 total)
Shots per Match
14.9 (312 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (36% acc)
Corners
6.1 (128 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (48%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
8.9 (186 total)
Offsides
1.2 (25 total)
23 Played
10 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (44 total)
xG
1.50 (35.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (295 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (40% acc)
Corners
5.1 (118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (4%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
11.3 (259 total)
Offsides
2.1 (49 total)
44 Played
22 Wins
12 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (78 total)
xG
1.50 (66.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (607 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (38% acc)
Corners
5.6 (246 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10.1 (445 total)
Offsides
1.7 (74 total)
Bristol City
l w w d l
23 Played
9 Wins
4 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (36 total)
xG
1.20 (28.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (290 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (32% acc)
Corners
4.6 (106 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
8.2 (189 total)
Offsides
1.6 (37 total)
21 Played
8 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (23 total)
xG
1.10 (22.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (239 total)
Shots on Target
4 (36% acc)
Corners
4.9 (103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.3 (216 total)
Offsides
2.4 (51 total)
44 Played
17 Wins
10 Draws
17 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (59 total)
xG
1.20 (51.2 total)
Shots per Match
12 (529 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (34% acc)
Corners
4.8 (209 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
13 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.2 (405 total)
Offsides
2 (88 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.57 vs 0.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.86%
0:1
6.26%
0:2
1.52%
0:3
0.25%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
18.99%
🔥
1:1
10.44%
1:2
2.83%
1:3
0.51%
1:4
0.07%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
14.02%
2:1
8.59%
2:2
2.58%
2:3
0.51%
2:4
0.07%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
6.9%
3:1
4.67%
3:2
1.54%
3:3
0.33%
3:4
0.05%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
2.55%
4:1
1.88%
4:2
0.68%
4:3
0.16%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.75%
5:1
0.6%
5:2
0.23%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (19.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

12.9%
0
25.2%
1
26.0%
2
18.6%
3
10.3%
4
4.7%
5
1.7%
6
0.5%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

SouthamptonHDPBristol City
13.8%
Very Low@ 4.00
-2.5
0.4%
Very Low
23.4%
Low@ 3.35
-2
1.6%
Very Low
33.1%
Low@ 2.25
-1.5
2.8%
@ 12.00Very Low
47.4%
Medium@ 1.75
-1
7.7%
@ 9.60Very Low
61.7%
High@ 1.50
-0.5
12.7%
@ 6.40Very Low
87.3%
Very High@ 1.12
+0.5
38.3%
@ 2.93Low
92.3%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
52.6%
@ 2.23Medium
97.3%
Very High@ 1.02
+1.5
66.9%
@ 1.68High
98.4%
Very High
+2
76.6%
@ 1.35High
99.6%
Very High
+2.5
86.2%
@ 1.24Very High

Team Total Predictions

SouthamptonOutcomeBristol City
46.5%
Medium@ 1.50
Over 1.5
11.5%
@ 4.22Very Low
53.5%
Medium@ 2.61
Under 1.5
88.5%
@ 1.25Very High
20.9%
Low@ 2.63
Over 2.5
2.1%
@ 13.00Very Low
79.1%
High@ 1.51
Under 2.5
97.9%
@ 1.05Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Southampton vs Bristol City Tuesday, Apr 21st, 2026 at 13:45 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 63.7%
EV: +53.0%
Stake: $1.79
2.40
Correct Score 1:0
High Value
Prob: 18.7%
EV: +49.2%
Stake: $0.36
8.00
BTTS No
High Value
Prob: 64%
EV: +34.4%
Stake: $2.27
2.10
BTTS No
High Value
Prob: 64%
EV: +34.4%
Stake: $2.27
2.10
Home Total Southampton Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 79.1%
EV: +18.7%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Total Home Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 79.1%
EV: +18.7%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Asian Handicap Bristol City +1.5
Value
Prob: 66.9%
EV: +12.4%
Stake: $3.68
1.68
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 88.5%
EV: +12.3%
Stake: $9.26
1.27
Asian Handicap Bristol City +2.5
Value
Prob: 86.2%
EV: +6.9%
Stake: $10.00
1.24
Asian Handicap Bristol City +2
Value
Prob: 76.6%
EV: +3.4%
Stake: $7.14
1.35
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-20 06:15:27
spinner

Trends for Southampton vs Bristol City Football 21 Apr, 2026 13:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Southampton rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Southampton vs Bristol City

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Southampton

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Bristol City

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Southampton - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Bristol City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Southampton - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Bristol City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Southampton has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Southampton handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.276
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.02
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Southampton):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bristol City):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Southampton
Bristol City

Southampton vs Bristol City Head-to-head statistics for Tue 21 Apr, 2026 @ 13:45 Championship

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Millwall
d w l d w
>
43
22
10
11
58
47
11
76
4
Southampton
w w w w w
>
43
21
12
10
75
51
24
75
5
Middlesbrough
d l d l d
>
43
20
13
10
64
44
20
73

9
Norwich
w d w l w
>
43
18
7
18
59
52
7
61
10
Bristol City
l w w d l
>
43
16
10
17
54
55
-1
58
11
QPR
w w d d l
>
43
16
10
17
58
65
-7
58
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Southampton
VS
Bristol City
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (3)
2 (6)
xG
1.80
1.50
Shots
14.7 (44)
11.7 (35)
Shots on Target
5.3 (16)
3 (9)
Corners
4.7 (14)
3.7 (11)
Defense
Conceded
2 (6)
1 (3)
xGa
1.50
1.80
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (7)
1.3 (4)
Fouls
11.3 (34)
10.7 (32)
Offsides
2 (6)
1.3 (4)
21 Oct
- 19:00
Bristol City
Southampton
1.49
xG
1.83
3
1
Prob 74%
Best Tip PREMIUM
Odd 1.47
13 Feb
- 20:00
Bristol City
Southampton
3
1
29 Nov
- 19:45
Southampton
Bristol City
1
0
Last 6 Matches
Southampton
VS
Bristol City
6/6 (100%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
3.00 PPG 1.33
2.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
0.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
50% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.71 Avg xG 0.88
Southampton
W W W W W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Apr 2026 - 14:00
Swansea
1 2
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Southampton
3 0
Blackburn
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Apr 2026 - 14:00
Southampton
2 1
Derby
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Wrexham
1 5
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Southampton
2 0
Oxford United
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Southampton
1 0
Norwich
Bristol City
L W W D L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Apr 2026 - 14:00
Bristol City
2 4
Norwich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Apr 2026 - 11:30
QPR
0 0
Bristol City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Apr 2026 - 14:00
Bristol City
1 0
Sheffield Utd
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Apr 2026 - 14:00
Charlton
1 2
Bristol City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Bristol City
0 1
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Mar 2026 - 12:30
Middlesbrough
1 1
Bristol City

Southampton vs Bristol City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Southampton and away matches for Bristol City

Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Bristol City
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Bristol City
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Southampton
Bristol City
1
90% 9
30% 3
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
0% 0
50% 5
Double Chance
Southampton
Bristol City
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
100% 10
50% 5
X2
10% 1
70% 7
Total Goals
Southampton
Bristol City
0-1
10% 1
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
30% 3
10% 1
Total Corners
Southampton
Under
Over
Bristol City
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Bristol City
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Southampton
Bristol City
HT 1 - FT 1
60% 6
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Southampton
Bristol City
xG
1.64
0.97
xGa
0.97
1.58
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Bristol City
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Bristol City
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Southampton
Bristol City
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Southampton
Bristol City
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
40% 4
70% 7
Total Goals
Southampton
Bristol City
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Bristol City
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Bristol City
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Bristol City
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Southampton
Bristol City
1
70% 7
10% 1
X
30% 3
70% 7
2
0% 0
20% 2
Double Chance
Southampton
Bristol City
12
70% 7
30% 3
1X
100% 10
80% 8
X2
30% 3
90% 9
Total Goals
Southampton
Bristol City
0-1
40% 4
80% 8
2-3
60% 6
10% 1
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Bristol City
Yes
80% 8
70% 7
No
20% 2
30% 3
Missing Players
Southampton
- Injured - Wrist Injury
- Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
- Injured - Wrist Injury
- Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
Bristol City
- Injured - Ankle Injury
15
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
15
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
1.46 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
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In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Southampton will take on Bristol City as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 44 and will take place on 2026-04-21 at 2026-04-21 in the famous St. Mary's Stadium. The referee for the game will be E. Bell. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Southampton, and the visiting side, Bristol City. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Southampton. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-21 Time: 18:45 Location: St. Mary's Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!