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Form
Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 34
Preview
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
7th place
Form
VS
13:30
16 May 2026
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3rd place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or RB Leipzig
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 16 May, 2026 8:30

Winner (1x2)2.13
RB Leipzig to Win
Probability 37%
Total Goals1.50
Over 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score1.50
Yes
Probability 61%
SC Freiburg Total1.15
Home Under 2.5
Probability 82%
RB Leipzig Total2.09
Away Under 1.5
Probability 56%
Double Chance1.37
Draw/RB Leipzig
Probability 63%
Asian Handicap1.25
SC Freiburg +1.5
Probability 83%
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Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
13:30
SC Freiburg W 37%
:
RB Leipzig W 37%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
SC Freiburg
w l l d w
23 Played
15 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (46 total)
xG
1.70 (39.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.1 (348 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.7 (108 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.3 (214 total)
Offsides
1.7 (40 total)
23 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (24 total)
xG
1.10 (25.4 total)
Shots per Match
10 (231 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (35% acc)
Corners
3.7 (85 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.4 (240 total)
Offsides
1.9 (43 total)
46 Played
21 Wins
10 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (70 total)
xG
1.40 (64.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (579 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.2 (193 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
9.9 (454 total)
Offsides
1.8 (83 total)
RB Leipzig
w w w l w
17 Played
12 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (40 total)
xG
2.30 (38.6 total)
Shots per Match
16.5 (280 total)
Shots on Target
7.1 (43% acc)
Corners
5.8 (98 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
8 (136 total)
Offsides
1.2 (21 total)
16 Played
8 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (25 total)
xG
1.50 (23.8 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (225 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (32% acc)
Corners
4.8 (77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.4 (166 total)
Offsides
1.4 (23 total)
33 Played
20 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (65 total)
xG
1.90 (62.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.3 (505 total)
Shots on Target
5.8 (38% acc)
Corners
5.3 (175 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.2 (302 total)
Offsides
1.3 (44 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.47 vs 1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.52%
0:1
8.27%
0:2
5.24%
0:3
2.22%
0:4
0.7%
0:5
0.18%
1
1:0
8.14%
1:1
11.77%
🔥
1:2
8.38%
1:3
3.93%
1:4
1.37%
1:5
0.38%
2
2:0
5.08%
2:1
8.25%
2:2
6.54%
2:3
3.38%
2:4
1.29%
2:5
0.39%
3
3:0
2.11%
3:1
3.81%
3:2
3.33%
3:3
1.89%
3:4
0.79%
3:5
0.26%
4
4:0
0.66%
4:1
1.31%
4:2
1.25%
4:3
0.77%
4:4
0.35%
4:5
0.12%
5
5:0
0.16%
5:1
0.36%
5:2
0.37%
5:3
0.25%
5:4
0.12%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.5%
0
16.4%
1
22.1%
2
21.0%
3
15.6%
4
9.7%
5
5.2%
6
2.3%
7
0.9%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

SC FreiburgHDPRB Leipzig
5.7%
Very Low@ 12.00
-2.5
6.0%
@ 7.50Very Low
10.9%
Very Low@ 11.50
-2
11.4%
@ 6.25Very Low
16.2%
Very Low@ 6.40
-1.5
16.8%
@ 3.50Very Low
26.3%
Low@ 5.55
-1
27.1%
@ 2.83Low
36.4%
Low
-0.5
37.4%
@ 2.00Low
62.6%
High@ 1.75
+0.5
63.6%
High
72.9%
High@ 1.36
+1
73.7%
@ 1.10High
83.2%
Very High@ 1.25
+1.5
83.8%
@ 1.10Very High
88.6%
Very High@ 1.06
+2
89.1%
@ 1.01Very High
94.1%
Very High@ 1.06
+2.5
94.3%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

SC FreiburgOutcomeRB Leipzig
43.2%
Medium@ 2.26
Over 1.5
43.9%
@ 1.75Medium
56.8%
Medium@ 1.65
Under 1.5
56.1%
@ 2.09Medium
18.4%
Very Low@ 5.20
Over 2.5
18.9%
@ 3.30Very Low
81.6%
Very High@ 1.15
Under 2.5
81.1%
@ 1.31Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Saturday, May 16th, 2026 at 8:30 Football

AI Value Bets
3 Found

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Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 63%
EV: +12.8%
Stake: $3.16
1.79
Away Total RB Leipzig Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 81.1%
EV: +6.3%
Stake: $8.06
1.31
Asian Handicap SC Freiburg +1.5
Value
Prob: 83.2%
EV: +4.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.25
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-10 04:25:16
spinner

Trends for SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Football 16 May, 2026 8:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    xG Defensive Battle

    Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 86% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: SC Freiburg is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 0).
⏰ First Half: SC Freiburg is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 SC Freiburg

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.03
Pressure
0.18

✈️ RB Leipzig

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.08

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 SC Freiburg - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

✈️ RB Leipzig - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 SC Freiburg - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
7

✈️ RB Leipzig - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
10

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: SC Freiburg often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 0)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of SC Freiburg scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: SC Freiburg is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider SC Freiburg to win the first half
  • Overall Result: RB Leipzig has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider RB Leipzig handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.096
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.1
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (RB Leipzig):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Head-to-head statistics for Sat 16 May, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
33
21
7
5
68
34
34
70
3
RB Leipzig
w w w l w
>
33
20
5
8
65
43
22
65
4
VfB Stuttgart
w l d d w
>
33
18
7
8
69
47
22
61

6
Bayer Leverkusen
w l w w l
>
33
17
7
9
67
46
21
58
7
SC Freiburg
l w w l d
>
32
12
8
12
45
53
-8
44
8
33
11
10
12
59
63
-4
43
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or RB Leipzig
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
SC Freiburg
VS
RB Leipzig
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
3 Draws
6 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (6)
2 (18)
xG
0.80
1.90
Shots
8.3 (75)
14.9 (134)
Shots on Target
2.6 (23)
5.9 (53)
Corners
3.6 (32)
5 (45)
Defense
Conceded
2 (18)
0.7 (6)
xGa
1.90
0.80
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 (13)
2.6 (23)
Fouls
11.2 (101)
11.1 (100)
Offsides
2.2 (20)
1.1 (10)
14 Jan
- 19:30
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2.24
xG
0.17
2
0
Prob 75%
Best Tip PREMIUM
Odd 1.65
8 Mar
- 17:30
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0.51
xG
1.54
0
0
26 Oct
- 13:30
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1.84
xG
1.73
3
1
6 Apr
- 13:30
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
4
12 Nov
- 18:30
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
3
1
6 May
- 13:30
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
1
9 Nov
- 19:30
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
3
1
5 Mar
- 14:30
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1
1
16 Oct
- 13:30
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
1
Last 6 Matches
SC Freiburg
VS
RB Leipzig
3/6 (50%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.67 PPG 2.50
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
83% BTTS % 83%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.16 Avg xG 1.97
SC Freiburg
W L L D W
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
7 May 2026 - 19:00
SC Freiburg
3 1
SC Braga
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 May 2026 - 17:30
SC Freiburg
1 1
VfL Wolfsburg
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
30 Apr 2026 - 19:00
SC Braga
2 1
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Apr 2026 - 15:30
Borussia Dortmund
4 0
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Apr 2026 - 13:30
SC Freiburg
2 1
1. FC Heidenheim
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
16 Apr 2026 - 16:45
Celta Vigo
1 3
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
W W W L W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 May 2026 - 13:30
RB Leipzig
2 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 May 2026 - 16:30
Bayer Leverkusen
4 1
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Apr 2026 - 18:30
RB Leipzig
3 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Apr 2026 - 16:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 3
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Apr 2026 - 13:30
RB Leipzig
1 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 13:30
Werder Bremen
1 2
RB Leipzig

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for SC Freiburg and away matches for RB Leipzig

Number of goals
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3
1X2
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
60% 6
80% 8
X
10% 1
0% 0
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
12
90% 9
100% 10
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
40% 4
20% 2
Total Goals
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
xG
1.28
2.03
xGa
1.5
1.44
Number of goals
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Number of goals
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1.44 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, SC Freiburg will take on RB Leipzig as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-05-16 at 2026-05-16 in the famous Europa-Park Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, SC Freiburg, and the visiting side, RB Leipzig. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or RB Leipzig. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-16 Time: 13:30 Location: Europa-Park Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!