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Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 15:00
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7
Played
5
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(13 total)
xG
1.70
(11.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(92 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(32% acc)
Corners
8.1
(57 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.3
(93 total)
Offsides
2
(14 total)
9
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(9 total)
xG
1.10
(9.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.4
(94 total)
Shots on Target
4
(38% acc)
Corners
5.3
(48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.9
(134 total)
Offsides
0.8
(7 total)
16
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(22 total)
xG
1.30
(21.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(186 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(35% acc)
Corners
6.6
(105 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.2
(227 total)
Offsides
1.3
(21 total)
7
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(15 total)
xG
1.30
(9.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.3
(93 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(39% acc)
Corners
4.1
(29 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.9
(104 total)
Offsides
0.4
(3 total)
8
Played
3
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(14 total)
xG
1.00
(7.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.9
(87 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(43% acc)
Corners
3.4
(27 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.4
(91 total)
Offsides
0.5
(4 total)
15
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(29 total)
xG
1.10
(16.8 total)
Shots per Match
12
(180 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(41% acc)
Corners
3.7
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(7%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
13
(195 total)
Offsides
0.5
(7 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.05 vs 1.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.43%
0:1
4.82%
0:2
2.62%
0:3
0.95%
0:4
0.26%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
8.01%
1:1
9.78%
1:2
5.9%
1:3
2.35%
1:4
0.7%
⭐
1:5
0.16%
2
2:0
7.24%
2:1
9.81%
🔥
2:2
6.52%
⭐
2:3
2.84%
⭐
2:4
0.92%
⭐
2:5
0.23%
⭐
3
3:0
4.36%
3:1
6.5%
⭐
3:2
4.72%
⭐
3:3
2.24%
⭐
3:4
0.78%
⭐
3:5
0.21%
⭐
4
4:0
1.97%
4:1
3.2%
⭐
4:2
2.53%
⭐
4:3
1.3%
⭐
4:4
0.49%
⭐
4:5
0.14%
5
5:0
0.71%
5:1
1.25%
⭐
5:2
1.07%
⭐
5:3
0.59%
⭐
5:4
0.24%
5:5
0.08%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 15:00 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Football 23 May, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Sao Paulo score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Sao Paulo create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Sao Paulo vs Botafogo.
🏆 Match Winner — Sao Paulo @ 1.96 ✅ 
Sao Paulo
UnbeatenH2H
Sao Paulo are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Efficient ScoringH2H
Sao Paulo efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Botafogo
Not WinH2H
Botafogo have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Sao Paulo to win looks justified.
🛡️ Double Chance — Sao Paulo Win or Draw @ 1.27 ✅ 
Sao Paulo
UnbeatenH2H
Sao Paulo are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Undefeated at HTH2H
Sao Paulo are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Botafogo
Not WinH2H
Botafogo have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Sao Paulo to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Sao Paulo Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.96 ⚠️ 
Sao Paulo
Scored 1+Recent
Sao Paulo scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
First Half SpecialistsRecent
Sao Paulo score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Sao Paulo's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Sao Paulo1 Trends — avg 2.2 (-13% below league)Many CardsH2H
Sao Paulo receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Botafogo1 Trends — avg 2.9 (+15% above league)Few CardsH2H
Botafogo receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 3.5 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
%
💡Botafogo disciplined play balances Sao Paulo aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.98 ⚠️ 
Sao Paulo1 Trends — avg 5.9 (+19% above league)Few CornersH2H
Sao Paulo win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.98
🎯 Betting Analysis
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Botafogo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Botafogo is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Botafogo is stronger in the second half (23 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: Botafogo is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Botafogo is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Botafogo is stronger in the second half (23 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: Botafogo is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sao Paulo
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Botafogo
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.23
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sao Paulo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Botafogo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
23
Avg. Goals per Match
1.15
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sao Paulo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Botafogo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
18
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
12
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Botafogo often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Botafogo scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Botafogo is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider Botafogo to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Botafogo shows superior performance after the break (23 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Botafogo winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Botafogo excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 7 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Botafogo scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Botafogo has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Botafogo handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.042
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.118
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.04 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.09
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sao Paulo):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Botafogo):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 15:00 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Sao Paulo
VS
Botafogo
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (3)
1 (2)
xG
1.20
0.80
Shots
12.5 (25)
17 (34)
Shots on Target
3.5 (7)
5 (10)
Corners
4 (8)
6.5 (13)
Defense
Conceded
1 (2)
1.5 (3)
xGa
0.80
1.20
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (6)
0.5 (1)
Fouls
7.5 (15)
12.5 (25)
Offsides
3.5 (7)
0.5 (1)
Last 6 Matches
Sao Paulo
VS
Botafogo
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.67
PPG
1.50
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.42
Avg xG
1.27
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sao Paulo and away matches for Botafogo
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
60%
6
100%
10
No
40%
4
0%
0
1X2
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
60%
6
20%
2
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
40%
4
80%
8
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
30%
3
60%
6
Total Corners
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
xG
1.2
1.3
xGa
1.16
1.11
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
10%
1
50%
5
No
90%
9
50%
5
1X2
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Broken nose
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Calf Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Achilles Tendon Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Broken nose
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Calf Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Achilles Tendon Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
1.94
xG
1.22
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Sao Paulo will take on Botafogo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sao Paulo, and the visiting side, Botafogo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Botafogo.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-23
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!