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Sao Paulo vs Botafogo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 13:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.05 vs 1.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.43%
0:1
4.82%
0:2
2.62%
0:3
0.95%
0:4
0.26%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
8.01%
1:1
9.78%
1:2
5.9%
1:3
2.35%
1:4
0.7%
⭐
1:5
0.16%
2
2:0
7.24%
2:1
9.81%
🔥
2:2
6.52%
⭐
2:3
2.84%
⭐
2:4
0.92%
⭐
2:5
0.23%
⭐
3
3:0
4.36%
3:1
6.5%
⭐
3:2
4.72%
⭐
3:3
2.24%
⭐
3:4
0.78%
⭐
3:5
0.21%
⭐
4
4:0
1.97%
4:1
3.2%
⭐
4:2
2.53%
⭐
4:3
1.3%
⭐
4:4
0.49%
⭐
4:5
0.14%
5
5:0
0.71%
5:1
1.25%
⭐
5:2
1.07%
⭐
5:3
0.59%
⭐
5:4
0.24%
5:5
0.08%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 13:00 Football
Trends for Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Football 23 May, 2026 13:00
Team Form Comparison
Sao Paulo
Home
Form Index
64
Goals
9:4
PPG
2.00
Botafogo
Away
Form Index
50
Goals
10:8
PPG
2.00
CHAWPALLCRUWMirasWBAHD
BRAWATLLVASWCHAWATLD
3/5
Won
3/5
4/5
Scored
5/5
3/5
Scored 2+
3/5
2/5
Clean sheet
0/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
2/5
BTTS
5/5
Sao Paulo
CHAWPALLCRUWMirasWBAHD
Won
3/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
Over 2.5
2/5
BTTS
2/5
Botafogo
BRAWATLLVASWCHAWATLD
Won
3/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
5/5
Sao Paulo
Home
Form Index
64
Goals
18:7
PPG
2.20
Botafogo
Away
Form Index
50
Goals
18:20
PPG
1.20
BRALJUVWINTWFLAWGREWCHAWPALLCRUWMirasWBAHD
CORDCRUDGRELFLULPALLBRAWATLLVASWCHAWATLD
7/10
Won
3/10
8/10
Scored
9/10
7/10
Scored 2+
6/10
4/10
Clean sheet
0/10
1/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
5/10
Over 2.5
8/10
4/10
BTTS
9/10
Sao Paulo
BRALJUVWINTWFLAWGREWCHAWPALLCRUWMirasWBAHD
Won
7/10
Scored
8/10
Scored 2+
7/10
Clean sheet
4/10
Conceded 2+
1/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
4/10
Botafogo
CORDCRUDGRELFLULPALLBRAWATLLVASWCHAWATLD
Won
3/10
Scored
9/10
Scored 2+
6/10
Clean sheet
0/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
8/10
BTTS
9/10
Sao Paulo
Home team
Form Index
45
Goals
7:9
PPG
0.80
Botafogo
Away team
Form Index
59
Goals
11:7
PPG
1.60
VASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
CHAWINTDREMLATLDCORW
1/5
Won
2/5
5/5
Scored
5/5
2/5
Scored 2+
3/5
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
4/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
4/5
BTTS
5/5
Sao Paulo
VASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
Won
1/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
4/5
Botafogo
CHAWINTDREMLATLDCORW
Won
2/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
5/5
Sao Paulo
Home team
Form Index
45
Goals
12:15
PPG
0.80
Botafogo
Away team
Form Index
59
Goals
21:17
PPG
1.80
ATLLPALLINTDCRUWVITLVASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
BRAWATLLMirasWVASWCORDCHAWINTDREMLATLDCORW
2/10
Won
5/10
7/10
Scored
10/10
3/10
Scored 2+
7/10
1/10
Clean sheet
0/10
5/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
5/10
Over 2.5
9/10
6/10
BTTS
10/10
Sao Paulo
ATLLPALLINTDCRUWVITLVASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
Won
2/10
Scored
7/10
Scored 2+
3/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
6/10
Botafogo
BRAWATLLMirasWVASWCORDCHAWINTDREMLATLDCORW
Won
5/10
Scored
10/10
Scored 2+
7/10
Clean sheet
0/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
9/10
BTTS
10/10
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Late Goals Expected
Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Sao Paulo 100%, Botafogo 100%) — expect late drama
-
Defensive Fortress
Sao Paulo have league's best defense — hard to break down
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsPeriod Timing Analysis
Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.
Sao Paulo
Home
Botafogo
Away
Main Prediction by Periods
- Match start: Botafogo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
- First half: Botafogo is stronger (14 vs 8).
- Second half: Botafogo is stronger (23 vs 13).
- Final stage: Botafogo is stronger in the closing minutes (11 vs 7).
Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.
Match Periods
Goals scored in sample
Avg / match
3
0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
9
0.45
8
0.40
First Half (0–45)
14
0.70
13
0.65
Second Half (46–90)
23
1.15
7
0.35
Final Stage (76–90)
11
0.55
Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.
Factor Breakdown
Momentum
Home +0.042
Weak
Pressure
Away +0.118
Strong
Timing
Away +0.040
Weak
Defense
Home +0.090
Moderate
Momentum
Sao Paulo
Metric
Botafogo
8
Positive Sequences
8
2
Comeback Goals
9
0
Negative Sequences
4
10
Killer Goals
18
Pressure
Sao Paulo
Metric
Botafogo
3
Early Pressure
9
7
Late Pressure
11
0
Pressure Goals
0
0
Set Pieces
0
Timing Patterns
Sao Paulo
Metric
Botafogo
3
Fast Starts
9
5
Half-time Spurts
5
6
Second Half Starts
12
7
Late Surges
11
Defense
Sao Paulo
Metric
Botafogo
2
Early Conceded
6
5
Late Conceded
9
0
Set Piece Conceded
0
0
Pressure Conceded
0
Betting Recommendations
- Away fast start: Botafogo often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
- First goal: high probability of Botafogo scoring first.
- First half result: consider Botafogo to win the first half.
- Second half winner: high probability of Botafogo winning the second half.
- Late goals: Botafogo excels after the 75th minute.
- Match outcome: Botafogo holds the overall timing advantage.
Summary
Sao Paulo
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Botafogo
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.
Final advice
Botafogo has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and away win markets.
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings (all competitions)
1
Sao Paulo
1
Draws
0
Botafogo
7
Played
8
71% 5-1-1
Win Rate
38% 3-1-4
66
Form Index
50
7.08
Team Rating
6.77
70
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Results
83
17
Attack
74
26
Defense
100
0
Control
55
45
Discipline
57
43
Efficiency
51
49
Average
70
30
30
Attack
1.86
Goals
1.75
1.67
Expected Goals
0.97
13.1
Shots
10.9
4.1
Shots on Target
4.6
8.1
Corners
3.4
Defense
0.71
Conceded
2
0.93
Expected Goals Against
1.56
10
Shots Allowed
13.9
+1.14
Goal Difference
-0.25
43%
Clean Sheets
0%
Possession & Passing
50%
Possession
49%
84%
Pass Accuracy
83%
413
Passes
383
347
Accurate Passes
317
Discipline
1.57
Yellow Cards
2.50
0
Red Cards
0.13
13.3
Fouls
11.4
2
Offsides
0.5
Efficiency
2.29
PPG
1.25
+0.18
Goals vs xG
+0.78
14%
Shot Conversion
16%
77%
Save %
67%
7
Played
7
71% 5-1-1
Win Rate
43% 3-2-2
66
Form Index
53
7.08
Team Rating
6.84
69
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Results
79
21
Attack
58
42
Defense
94
6
Control
62
38
Discipline
66
34
Efficiency
53
47
Average
69
31
31
Attack
1.86
Goals
2.14
1.67
Expected Goals
1.28
13.1
Shots
13.3
4.1
Shots on Target
5.1
8.1
Corners
4.1
Defense
0.71
Conceded
1.71
0.93
Expected Goals Against
1.08
10
Shots Allowed
15.3
+1.14
Goal Difference
+0.43
43%
Clean Sheets
14%
Possession & Passing
50%
Possession
47%
84%
Pass Accuracy
82%
413
Passes
364
347
Accurate Passes
300
Discipline
1.57
Yellow Cards
2.71
0
Red Cards
0.14
13.3
Fouls
14.9
2
Offsides
0.4
Efficiency
2.29
PPG
1.57
+0.18
Goals vs xG
+0.86
14%
Shot Conversion
16%
77%
Save %
63%
9
Played
8
22% 2-2-5
Win Rate
38% 3-1-4
45
Form Index
50
6.66
Team Rating
6.77
42
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Results
29
71
Attack
47
53
Defense
70
30
Control
64
36
Discipline
31
69
Efficiency
11
89
Average
42
58
58
Attack
1
Goals
1.75
1.06
Expected Goals
0.97
10.4
Shots
10.9
4
Shots on Target
4.6
5.3
Corners
3.4
Defense
1.44
Conceded
2
1.20
Expected Goals Against
1.56
13
Shots Allowed
13.9
-0.44
Goal Difference
-0.25
11%
Clean Sheets
0%
Possession & Passing
55%
Possession
49%
84%
Pass Accuracy
83%
439
Passes
383
370
Accurate Passes
317
Discipline
2.56
Yellow Cards
2.50
0.11
Red Cards
0.13
14.9
Fouls
11.4
0.8
Offsides
0.5
Efficiency
0.89
PPG
1.25
-0.06
Goals vs xG
+0.78
10%
Shot Conversion
16%
63%
Save %
67%
16
Played
15
44% 7-3-6
Win Rate
40% 6-3-6
45
Form Index
59
6.85
Team Rating
6.80
55
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Results
39
61
Attack
50
50
Defense
94
6
Control
63
37
Discipline
55
45
Efficiency
28
72
Average
55
45
45
Attack
1.38
Goals
1.93
1.33
Expected Goals
1.12
11.6
Shots
12
4.1
Shots on Target
4.9
6.6
Corners
3.7
Defense
1.13
Conceded
1.87
1.08
Expected Goals Against
1.34
11.7
Shots Allowed
14.5
+0.25
Goal Difference
+0.07
25%
Clean Sheets
7%
Possession & Passing
53%
Possession
48%
84%
Pass Accuracy
83%
427
Passes
374
360
Accurate Passes
309
Discipline
2.13
Yellow Cards
2.60
0.06
Red Cards
0.13
14.2
Fouls
13
1.3
Offsides
0.5
Efficiency
1.50
PPG
1.40
+0.05
Goals vs xG
+0.82
12%
Shot Conversion
16%
68%
Save %
65%
2
Played
2
50% 1-1-0
Win Rate
0% 0-1-1
—
Form Index
—
7.12
Team Rating
7.01
61
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Results
75
25
Attack
40
60
Defense
80
20
Control
31
69
Discipline
38
62
Efficiency
100
0
Average
61
39
39
Attack
1.50
Goals
1
1.16
Expected Goals
0.84
12.5
Shots
17
3.5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6.5
Defense
1
Conceded
1.50
0.84
Expected Goals Against
1.16
17
Shots Allowed
12.5
+0.50
Goal Difference
-0.50
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
Possession & Passing
46%
Possession
55%
84%
Pass Accuracy
85%
421
Passes
494
356
Accurate Passes
420
Discipline
3
Yellow Cards
0.50
0
Red Cards
0
7.5
Fouls
12.5
3.5
Offsides
0.5
Efficiency
2
PPG
0.50
+0.35
Goals vs xG
+0.17
12%
Shot Conversion
6%
80%
Save %
57%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Botafogo
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sao Paulo and away matches for Botafogo
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
60%
6
100%
10
No
40%
4
0%
0
1X2
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
60%
6
20%
2
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
40%
4
80%
8
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
30%
3
60%
6
Total Corners
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
xG
1.2
1.3
xGa
1.16
1.11
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
10%
1
50%
5
No
90%
9
50%
5
1X2
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Broken nose
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Calf Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Achilles Tendon Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
1.54
Expected goals
1.24
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Sao Paulo will take on Botafogo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sao Paulo, and the visiting side, Botafogo. The scoreline predictions suggest +2.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-23
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
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