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Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 22 July, 2026 13:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.60 vs 0.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.72%
⭐
0:1
6.45%
⭐
0:2
1.77%
0:3
0.33%
⭐
0:4
0.04%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
17.34%
🔥
⭐
1:1
10.95%
1:2
3.4%
⭐
1:3
0.69%
⭐
1:4
0.11%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
12.84%
⭐
2:1
9.14%
2:2
3.17%
⭐
2:3
0.72%
⭐
2:4
0.12%
2:5
0.02%
⭐
3
3:0
6.33%
⭐
3:1
5.02%
3:2
1.93%
3:3
0.48%
3:4
0.09%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
2.34%
4:1
2.05%
⭐
4:2
0.86%
4:3
0.24%
⭐
4:4
0.05%
⭐
4:5
0.01%
⭐
5
5:0
0.69%
5:1
0.66%
⭐
5:2
0.3%
⭐
5:3
0.09%
5:4
0.02%
⭐
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (17.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Trends for Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense Football 22 Jul, 2026 13:00
Team Form Comparison
Sao Paulo
Home
Form Index
64
Goals
9:4
PPG
2.00
Atletico Paranaense
Away
Form Index
36
Goals
3:10
PPG
0.00
CHAWPALLCRUWMirasWBAHD
FLULBAHLATLLPALLVASL
3/5
Won
0/5
4/5
Scored
2/5
3/5
Scored 2+
1/5
2/5
Clean sheet
0/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
2/5
BTTS
2/5
Sao Paulo
CHAWPALLCRUWMirasWBAHD
Won
3/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
Over 2.5
2/5
BTTS
2/5
Atletico Paranaense
FLULBAHLATLLPALLVASL
Won
0/5
Scored
2/5
Scored 2+
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
2/5
Sao Paulo
Home
Form Index
64
Goals
18:7
PPG
2.20
Atletico Paranaense
Away
Form Index
36
Goals
5:11
PPG
0.57
BRALJUVWINTWFLAWGREWCHAWPALLCRUWMirasWBAHD
INTWBRADFLULBAHLATLLPALLVASL
7/10
Won
1/7
8/10
Scored
4/7
7/10
Scored 2+
1/7
4/10
Clean sheet
1/7
1/10
Conceded 2+
3/7
5/10
Over 2.5
3/7
4/10
BTTS
3/7
Sao Paulo
BRALJUVWINTWFLAWGREWCHAWPALLCRUWMirasWBAHD
Won
7/10
Scored
8/10
Scored 2+
7/10
Clean sheet
4/10
Conceded 2+
1/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
4/10
Atletico Paranaense
INTWBRADFLULBAHLATLLPALLVASL
Won
1/7
Scored
4/7
Scored 2+
1/7
Clean sheet
1/7
Conceded 2+
3/7
Over 2.5
3/7
BTTS
3/7
Sao Paulo
Home team
Form Index
45
Goals
7:9
PPG
0.80
Atletico Paranaense
Away team
Form Index
53
Goals
4:4
PPG
1.00
VASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
PALLVITWGREDVASLFLAD
1/5
Won
1/5
5/5
Scored
2/5
2/5
Scored 2+
1/5
1/5
Clean sheet
1/5
4/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
4/5
Over 2.5
1/5
4/5
BTTS
2/5
Sao Paulo
VASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
Won
1/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
4/5
Atletico Paranaense
PALLVITWGREDVASLFLAD
Won
1/5
Scored
2/5
Scored 2+
1/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
Over 2.5
1/5
BTTS
2/5
Sao Paulo
Home team
Form Index
45
Goals
12:15
PPG
0.80
Atletico Paranaense
Away team
Form Index
53
Goals
13:10
PPG
1.40
ATLLPALLINTDCRUWVITLVASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
CORWBOTWBAHLATLLCHAWPALLVITWGREDVASLFLAD
2/10
Won
4/10
7/10
Scored
6/10
3/10
Scored 2+
4/10
1/10
Clean sheet
3/10
5/10
Conceded 2+
2/10
5/10
Over 2.5
4/10
6/10
BTTS
4/10
Sao Paulo
ATLLPALLINTDCRUWVITLVASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
Won
2/10
Scored
7/10
Scored 2+
3/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
6/10
Atletico Paranaense
CORWBOTWBAHLATLLCHAWPALLVITWGREDVASLFLAD
Won
4/10
Scored
6/10
Scored 2+
4/10
Clean sheet
3/10
Conceded 2+
2/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
4/10
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Sao Paulo have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Sao Paulo score in 2nd half 100% of home matches — expect late goals
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsPeriod Timing Analysis
Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.
Sao Paulo
Home
Atletico Paranaense
Away
Main Prediction by Periods
- Match start: Atletico Paranaense is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
- First half: Atletico Paranaense is stronger (15 vs 8).
Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.
Match Periods
Goals scored in sample
Avg / match
3
0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
9
0.56
8
0.40
First Half (0–45)
15
0.94
13
0.65
Second Half (46–90)
11
0.69
7
0.35
Final Stage (76–90)
8
0.50
Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.
Factor Breakdown
Momentum
Home +0.127
Strong
Pressure
Away +0.137
Strong
Timing
Away +0.029
Weak
Defense
Away +0.002
Weak
Momentum
Sao Paulo
Metric
Atletico Paranaense
8
Positive Sequences
3
2
Comeback Goals
2
0
Negative Sequences
0
10
Killer Goals
7
Pressure
Sao Paulo
Metric
Atletico Paranaense
3
Early Pressure
9
7
Late Pressure
8
0
Pressure Goals
0
0
Set Pieces
0
Timing Patterns
Sao Paulo
Metric
Atletico Paranaense
3
Fast Starts
9
5
Half-time Spurts
6
6
Second Half Starts
3
7
Late Surges
8
Defense
Sao Paulo
Metric
Atletico Paranaense
2
Early Conceded
2
5
Late Conceded
3
0
Set Piece Conceded
0
0
Pressure Conceded
0
Betting Recommendations
- Away fast start: Atletico Paranaense often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
- First goal: high probability of Atletico Paranaense scoring first.
- First half result: consider Atletico Paranaense to win the first half.
- Match outcome: Atletico Paranaense holds the overall timing advantage.
Summary
Sao Paulo
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Atletico Paranaense
Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Final advice
Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-head statistics for Wed 22 Jul, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR
7
Played
7
71% 5-1-1
Win Rate
14% 1-1-5
66
Form Index
36
7.08
Team Rating
6.73
84
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Results
85
15
Attack
99
1
Defense
100
0
Control
70
30
Discipline
60
40
Efficiency
92
8
Average
84
16
16
Attack
1.86
Goals
0.71
1.67
Expected Goals
0.64
13.1
Shots
9.6
4.1
Shots on Target
3.1
8.1
Corners
3.3
Defense
0.71
Conceded
1.57
0.93
Expected Goals Against
1.36
10
Shots Allowed
13.7
+1.14
Goal Difference
-0.86
43%
Clean Sheets
14%
Possession & Passing
50%
Possession
43%
84%
Pass Accuracy
83%
413
Passes
347
347
Accurate Passes
289
Discipline
1.57
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0.14
13.3
Fouls
13.9
2
Offsides
1.3
Efficiency
2.29
PPG
0.57
+0.18
Goals vs xG
+0.07
14%
Shot Conversion
7%
77%
Save %
68%
7
Played
9
71% 5-1-1
Win Rate
67% 6-2-1
66
Form Index
67
7.08
Team Rating
6.93
51
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Results
52
48
Attack
53
47
Defense
41
59
Control
57
43
Discipline
64
36
Efficiency
38
62
Average
51
49
49
Attack
1.86
Goals
1.78
1.67
Expected Goals
1.52
13.1
Shots
13.1
4.1
Shots on Target
5.8
8.1
Corners
5.9
Defense
0.71
Conceded
0.67
0.93
Expected Goals Against
0.69
10
Shots Allowed
8.2
+1.14
Goal Difference
+1.11
43%
Clean Sheets
33%
Possession & Passing
50%
Possession
51%
84%
Pass Accuracy
83%
413
Passes
372
347
Accurate Passes
309
Discipline
1.57
Yellow Cards
2.11
0
Red Cards
0.11
13.3
Fouls
14.3
2
Offsides
1.4
Efficiency
2.29
PPG
2.22
+0.18
Goals vs xG
+0.26
14%
Shot Conversion
14%
77%
Save %
75%
9
Played
7
22% 2-2-5
Win Rate
14% 1-1-5
45
Form Index
36
6.66
Team Rating
6.73
71
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Results
79
21
Attack
90
10
Defense
58
42
Control
79
21
Discipline
61
39
Efficiency
58
42
Average
71
29
29
Attack
1
Goals
0.71
1.06
Expected Goals
0.64
10.4
Shots
9.6
4
Shots on Target
3.1
5.3
Corners
3.3
Defense
1.44
Conceded
1.57
1.20
Expected Goals Against
1.36
13
Shots Allowed
13.7
-0.44
Goal Difference
-0.86
11%
Clean Sheets
14%
Possession & Passing
55%
Possession
43%
84%
Pass Accuracy
83%
439
Passes
347
370
Accurate Passes
289
Discipline
2.56
Yellow Cards
2
0.11
Red Cards
0.14
14.9
Fouls
13.9
0.8
Offsides
1.3
Efficiency
0.89
PPG
0.57
-0.06
Goals vs xG
+0.07
10%
Shot Conversion
7%
63%
Save %
68%
16
Played
16
44% 7-3-6
Win Rate
44% 7-3-6
45
Form Index
53
6.85
Team Rating
6.85
53
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Results
42
58
Attack
62
38
Defense
44
56
Control
67
33
Discipline
63
37
Efficiency
38
62
Average
53
47
47
Attack
1.38
Goals
1.31
1.33
Expected Goals
1.14
11.6
Shots
11.6
4.1
Shots on Target
4.6
6.6
Corners
4.8
Defense
1.13
Conceded
1.06
1.08
Expected Goals Against
0.98
11.7
Shots Allowed
10.6
+0.25
Goal Difference
+0.25
25%
Clean Sheets
25%
Possession & Passing
53%
Possession
48%
84%
Pass Accuracy
83%
427
Passes
361
360
Accurate Passes
300
Discipline
2.13
Yellow Cards
2.06
0.06
Red Cards
0.13
14.2
Fouls
14.1
1.3
Offsides
1.4
Efficiency
1.50
PPG
1.50
+0.05
Goals vs xG
+0.17
12%
Shot Conversion
11%
68%
Save %
70%
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sao Paulo and away matches for Atletico Paranaense
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
60%
6
40%
4
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
40%
4
60%
6
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
xG
1.2
1.02
xGa
1.16
0.91
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
10%
1
40%
4
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
12
90%
9
60%
6
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
1.35
Expected goals
0.63
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Sao Paulo will take on Atletico Paranaense as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-22 at 2026-07-22 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sao Paulo, and the visiting side, Atletico Paranaense. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-07-22
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer
eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.