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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 33
Preview
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
13th place
Form
VS
19:15
11 May 2026
Nacional
Nacional
14th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Nacional
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Santa Clara vs Nacional: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 11 May, 2026 14:15

Winner (1x2)2.10
Santa Clara to Win
Probability 41%
Total Goals1.81
Under 2.5
Probability 74%
Both Teams to Score1.95
No (NG)
Probability 65%
Santa Clara Total1.20
Home Under 2.5
Probability 92%
Nacional Total1.33
Away Under 1.5
Probability 83%
Double Chance1.28
Santa Clara/Draw
Probability 77%
Asian Handicap1.26
Nacional +1.5
Probability 86%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
19:15
Santa Clara W 41%
:
Nacional W 23%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Santa Clara
l l d w d
19 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (18 total)
xG
0.90 (16.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.2 (175 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (31% acc)
Corners
4.2 (79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
14.8 (282 total)
Offsides
1.5 (28 total)
19 Played
3 Wins
8 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (19 total)
xG
0.80 (15.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (183 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (29% acc)
Corners
3.8 (73 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.1 (211 total)
Offsides
1.5 (28 total)
38 Played
10 Wins
11 Draws
17 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (37 total)
xG
0.80 (31.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.4 (358 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (30% acc)
Corners
4 (152 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
13 (34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
13 (493 total)
Offsides
1.5 (56 total)
Nacional
w l w w l
16 Played
5 Wins
2 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (21 total)
xG
1.20 (18.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.1 (193 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (35% acc)
Corners
4.8 (76 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
13.6 (218 total)
Offsides
1.3 (21 total)
16 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (14 total)
xG
1.00 (15.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (198 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (35% acc)
Corners
3.8 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.6 (234 total)
Offsides
1.5 (24 total)
32 Played
8 Wins
7 Draws
17 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (35 total)
xG
1.10 (34.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.2 (391 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (35% acc)
Corners
4.3 (137 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (7 total)
Fouls
14.1 (452 total)
Offsides
1.4 (45 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.01 vs 0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
19.65%
🔥
0:1
12.14%
0:2
3.75%
0:3
0.77%
0:4
0.12%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
17.64%
1:1
13.1%
1:2
4.73%
1:3
1.11%
1:4
0.19%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
7.92%
2:1
6.87%
2:2
2.86%
2:3
0.77%
2:4
0.15%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
2.37%
3:1
2.35%
3:2
1.11%
3:3
0.34%
3:4
0.07%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
0.53%
4:1
0.59%
4:2
0.32%
4:3
0.11%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.12%
5:2
0.07%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:0 (19.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

19.6%
0
29.8%
1
24.8%
2
14.7%
3
7.0%
4
2.8%
5
0.9%
6
0.3%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Santa ClaraHDPNacional
3.6%
Very Low@ 9.50
-2.5
1.0%
@ 13.00Very Low
8.7%
Very Low@ 7.10
-2
3.4%
Very Low
13.9%
Very Low@ 4.10
-1.5
5.7%
@ 7.50Very Low
26.8%
Low@ 3.41
-1
14.4%
@ 6.60Very Low
39.8%
Low@ 2.18
-0.5
23.2%
@ 3.49Low
76.8%
High@ 1.33
+0.5
60.2%
@ 1.75High
85.6%
Very High@ 1.11
+1
73.2%
@ 1.34High
94.3%
Very High@ 1.06
+1.5
86.1%
@ 1.26Very High
96.6%
Very High
+2
91.3%
@ 1.10Very High
99.0%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
96.4%
@ 1.04Very High

Team Total Predictions

Santa ClaraOutcomeNacional
26.8%
Low@ 2.27
Over 1.5
16.6%
@ 3.30Very Low
73.2%
High@ 1.67
Under 1.5
83.4%
@ 1.36Very High
8.2%
Very Low@ 5.00
Over 2.5
3.8%
@ 9.00Very Low
91.8%
Very High@ 1.18
Under 2.5
96.2%
@ 1.08Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Santa Clara vs Nacional Monday, May 11th, 2026 at 14:15 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Correct Score 0:0
High Value
Prob: 20.4%
EV: +103.8%
Stake: $0.28
10.00
Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 74.2%
EV: +33.5%
Stake: $3.13
1.80
BTTS No
High Value
Prob: 65%
EV: +26.7%
Stake: $2.63
1.95
BTTS No
High Value
Prob: 65%
EV: +26.7%
Stake: $2.63
1.95
Total Home Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 72.8%
EV: +26.0%
Stake: $3.42
1.73
Away Total Nacional Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 83.4%
EV: +10.9%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 83.4%
EV: +10.9%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Total Home Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 91.8%
EV: +10.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.20
Asian Handicap Nacional +1.5
Value
Prob: 86.1%
EV: +8.5%
Stake: $9.62
1.26
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 77.1%
EV: +1.8%
Stake: $7.81
1.32
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-09 12:30:16
spinner

Trends for Santa Clara vs Nacional Football 11 May, 2026 14:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Stalemate

    Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Santa Clara struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Santa Clara vs Nacional

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Santa Clara

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Nacional

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Santa Clara - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Nacional - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Santa Clara - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Nacional - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Nacional has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Nacional handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.108
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.016
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Santa Clara):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nacional):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Santa Clara
Nacional

Santa Clara vs Nacional Head-to-head statistics for Mon 11 May, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
Rio Ave
l w d l d
>
32
8
11
13
33
52
-19
35
13
Santa Clara
l l d w d
>
32
8
9
15
30
40
-10
33
14
Nacional
w l w w l
>
32
8
7
17
35
43
-8
31
15
Estrela
l l l l l
>
32
6
10
16
36
54
-18
28
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Santa Clara
VS
Nacional
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
1.7 (5)
xG
1.40
1.30
Shots
18.7 (56)
10 (30)
Shots on Target
5.7 (17)
4.3 (13)
Corners
5.7 (17)
2.7 (8)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (5)
1.3 (4)
xGa
1.30
1.40
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4.7 (14)
3.3 (10)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.3 (1)
Fouls
16 (48)
15 (45)
Offsides
1.7 (5)
0.7 (2)
11 Jan
- 15:30
Nacional
Santa Clara
1.98
xG
2.40
3
3
Prob 75%
Best Tip PREMIUM
Odd 1.47
30 Mar
- 14:30
Santa Clara
Nacional
0.83
xG
0.52
1
0
4 Nov
- 20:15
Nacional
Santa Clara
1.35
xG
1.05
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Santa Clara
VS
Nacional
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.33 PPG 1.50
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
50% BTTS % 17%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.86 Avg xG 0.71
Santa Clara
L L D W D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 May 2026 - 14:30
Arouca
2 2
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Santa Clara
2 1
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Casa Pia
0 0
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Santa Clara
0 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Apr 2026 - 19:30
Sporting CP
4 2
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Santa Clara
1 0
GIL Vicente
Nacional
W L W W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 May 2026 - 14:30
Nacional
1 2
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Apr 2026 - 14:30
Tondela
0 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Apr 2026 - 14:30
Nacional
1 0
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Benfica
2 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 14:30
Nacional
2 0
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Famalicao
1 0
Nacional

Santa Clara vs Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Santa Clara and away matches for Nacional

Number of goals
Santa Clara
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Santa Clara
Nacional
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2
Santa Clara
Nacional
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
20% 2
60% 6
Double Chance
Santa Clara
Nacional
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
80% 8
40% 4
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Santa Clara
Nacional
0-1
30% 3
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
70% 7
4+
30% 3
0% 0
Total Corners
Santa Clara
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Santa Clara
Nacional
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Santa Clara
Nacional
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT X
30% 3
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Santa Clara
Nacional
xG
0.91
0.77
xGa
0.97
1.57
Number of goals
Santa Clara
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Santa Clara
Nacional
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Santa Clara
Nacional
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Santa Clara
Nacional
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Santa Clara
Nacional
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Santa Clara
Nacional
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Number of goals
Santa Clara
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Santa Clara
Nacional
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Santa Clara
Nacional
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
Santa Clara
Nacional
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Santa Clara
Nacional
0-1
50% 5
80% 8
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Santa Clara
Nacional
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
0.99 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Santa Clara will take on Nacional as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-05-11 at 2026-05-11 in the famous Estádio de São Miguel. The referee for the game will be H. Carvalho. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Santa Clara, and the visiting side, Nacional. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Nacional. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-11 Time: 19:15 Location: Estádio de São Miguel Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!