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Samsunspor
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Alanyaspor
Samsunspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 11:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.41 vs 0.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.2%
0:1
9.01%
0:2
4.41%
0:3
1.44%
0:4
0.35%
0:5
0.07%
1
1:0
12.88%
🔥
1:1
12.71%
⭐
1:2
6.27%
1:3
2.06%
1:4
0.51%
⭐
1:5
0.1%
⭐
2
2:0
9.01%
⭐
2:1
8.96%
⭐
2:2
4.46%
⭐
2:3
1.48%
⭐
2:4
0.37%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
4.2%
⭐
3:1
4.21%
⭐
3:2
2.11%
⭐
3:3
0.7%
⭐
3:4
0.18%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
1.47%
⭐
4:1
1.49%
⭐
4:2
0.75%
⭐
4:3
0.25%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
⭐
5
5:0
0.41%
⭐
5:1
0.42%
⭐
5:2
0.21%
⭐
5:3
0.07%
⭐
5:4
0.02%
⭐
5:5
0%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:0 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Süper Lig 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
▲
7
5
2
17
7
10
26
5
▼
6
7
1
20
13
7
25
6
▲
7
3
4
24
17
7
24
8
▲
5
3
6
12
15
-3
18
9
▲
4
4
6
19
16
3
16
10
▼
3
7
4
14
15
-1
16
Last 6 Matches
Samsunspor
VS
Istanbul Basaksehir
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.00
PPG
1.67
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
67%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.68
Avg xG
1.48
1.41
xG [Total: 2.40]
0.99
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
7
Corners [Total: 12]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 5]
2
15
Fouls [Total: 26]
11
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
4
In this exciting Süper Lig 2025-2026 matchup, Samsunspor will take on Istanbul Basaksehir as part of the 2025-2026 season in Süper Lig. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Samsunspor, and the visiting side, Istanbul Basaksehir. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Samsunspor or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-14
Time: 17:00
Location: Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Samsunspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir Football 14 Dec, 2025 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Samsunspor have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Samsunspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Samsunspor(5 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H4/4100%Samsunspor create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Istanbul Basaksehir
- Not WinH2H3/475%Samsunspor have not won in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Istanbul Basaksehir
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Samsunspor concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%Samsunspor create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Süper Lig (Home) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Samsunspor create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Süper Lig matches
Istanbul Basaksehir(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%Istanbul Basaksehir are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Samsunspor
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1675%Istanbul Basaksehir efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 16 Süper Lig (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Samsunspor(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Samsunspor score (1.13/match) and concede (0.88/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 55%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H4/4100%At least one team failed to score in their last 4 Süper Lig H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/475%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig H2H matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Samsunspor(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/475%Samsunspor have not won in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Istanbul Basaksehir
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/475%Samsunspor are undefeated at half time in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Istanbul Basaksehir
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Samsunspor concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Istanbul Basaksehir(2 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/4100%Istanbul Basaksehir are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches vs Samsunspor
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%Istanbul Basaksehir are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Samsunspor
⚡ Team Total Goals
Samsunspor(4 trends)
- Haven't ScoredH2H3/475%Samsunspor haven't scored in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Istanbul Basaksehir
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H3/475%Samsunspor conceded under 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Istanbul Basaksehir
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Samsunspor concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent16/16100%Samsunspor rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 16 of their last 16 Süper Lig (Home) matches
Istanbul Basaksehir(2 trends)
- Clean SheetsH2H3/475%Istanbul Basaksehir kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Samsunspor
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H3/475%Istanbul Basaksehir conceded under 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Samsunspor
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Samsunspor(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H4/4100%Samsunspor receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H4/4100%Istanbul Basaksehir receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 Süper Lig matches vs Samsunspor
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1483%Istanbul Basaksehir average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+12% above league avg 2.4) — rank #5 in league
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Istanbul Basaksehir receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Süper Lig matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 4.8 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Samsunspor(1 trends) — avg 5.9 (+23% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Samsunspor average 5.9 corners/match at home (+23% above league avg 4.8)
Istanbul Basaksehir(1 trends) — avg 5.9 (+23% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Istanbul Basaksehir average 5.9 corners/match in away matches (+23% above league avg 4.8)
Combined average: 11.8 corners/match (Samsunspor 5.9 + Istanbul Basaksehir 5.9)
+16 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Samsunspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Istanbul Basaksehir is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Samsunspor
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Istanbul Basaksehir
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Samsunspor - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Istanbul Basaksehir - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Samsunspor - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Istanbul Basaksehir - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Istanbul Basaksehir excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Istanbul Basaksehir scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Samsunspor has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Samsunspor handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.111
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Samsunspor):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Istanbul Basaksehir):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Samsunspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 11:00 Süper Lig
Samsunspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Samsunspor and away matches for Istanbul Basaksehir
Number of goals
Number of goals
Samsunspor
Under
Over
Istanbul Basaksehir
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
1X2
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
0%
0
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
100%
10
50%
5
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Samsunspor
Under
Over
Istanbul Basaksehir
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
40%
4
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
xG
1.9
1.45
xGa
0.8
1.59
Number of goals
Number of goals
Samsunspor
Under
Over
Istanbul Basaksehir
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
0%
0
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
100%
10
60%
6
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Number of goals
Number of goals
Samsunspor
Under
Over
Istanbul Basaksehir
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Samsunspor or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 41.16% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 58.84% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 26.06% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 73.94% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 16.89% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 83.11% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 7.85% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 92.15% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
Played:
4
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
2
0.5
Goals
1.3
5
5
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.5
2
10
2.5
Yellow Cards
2
8
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
2
0.5
Clean Sheets
0.8
3
23
5.8
Corners
2.8
11
49
12.3
Fouls
8.3
33
3
0.8
Offsides
2.3
9
46
11.5
Shots
12.3
49
10
2.5
Shots on Goal
4.5
18
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.1 | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 15 | 2.8 | 17 | 2.3 | 32 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 47 | 6.2 | 37 | 6 | 84 |
| Fouls | 15.4 | 123 | 14.5 | 87 | 15 | 210 |
| Offsides | 2 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 108 | 12.3 | 74 | 13 | 182 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 34 | 4.3 | 26 | 4.3 | 60 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.4 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 1.1 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 15 | 2.4 | 19 | 2.4 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 5.9 | 47 | 5.2 | 73 |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 82 | 11.3 | 90 | 12.3 | 172 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 7 | 1.8 | 14 | 1.5 | 21 |
| Shots | 10.5 | 63 | 12.6 | 101 | 11.7 | 164 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.5 | 21 | 3.8 | 30 | 3.6 | 51 |
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