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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 33
Preview
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
12th place
Form
VS
19:15
11 May 2026
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
3rd place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Sporting CP
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 11 May, 2026 14:15

Winner (1x2)1.29
Sporting CP to Win
Probability 68%
Total Goals1.49
Over 2.5
Probability 51%
Both Teams to Score2.02
No (NG)
Probability 52%
Rio Ave Total1.23
Home Under 1.5
Probability 82%
Sporting CP Total1.30
Away Over 1.5
Probability 59%
Double Chance1.08
Draw/Sporting CP
Probability 89%
Asian Handicap1.47
Rio Ave +2.5
Probability 82%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
19:15
Rio Ave W 11%
:
Sporting CP W 68%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Rio Ave
l w d l d
16 Played
3 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (16 total)
xG
1.30 (20.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (185 total)
Shots on Target
4 (35% acc)
Corners
4.7 (75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.8 (189 total)
Offsides
1.2 (19 total)
16 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (17 total)
xG
0.80 (12.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.5 (136 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (43% acc)
Corners
3.6 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.1 (209 total)
Offsides
1.6 (26 total)
32 Played
8 Wins
11 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (33 total)
xG
1.00 (32.6 total)
Shots per Match
10 (321 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (38% acc)
Corners
4.2 (133 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
12.4 (398 total)
Offsides
1.4 (45 total)
Sporting CP
d l d d w
22 Played
17 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.9 (64 total)
xG
2.30 (49.8 total)
Shots per Match
18.7 (411 total)
Shots on Target
7.5 (40% acc)
Corners
6 (133 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.8 (260 total)
Offsides
1.5 (34 total)
22 Played
12 Wins
7 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (40 total)
xG
1.40 (30.7 total)
Shots per Match
13 (287 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (37% acc)
Corners
6 (131 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.6 (256 total)
Offsides
1.3 (28 total)
44 Played
29 Wins
9 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (104 total)
xG
1.80 (80.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.9 (698 total)
Shots on Target
6.1 (39% acc)
Corners
6 (264 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
17 (39%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.7 (516 total)
Offsides
1.4 (62 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.78 vs 1.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.58%
0:1
13.77%
🔥
0:2
12.5%
0:3
7.57%
0:4
3.44%
0:5
1.25%
1
1:0
4.59%
1:1
9.66%
1:2
9.97%
1:3
6.76%
1:4
3.4%
1:5
1.35%
2
2:0
1.39%
2:1
3.33%
2:2
3.86%
2:3
2.92%
2:4
1.62%
2:5
0.71%
3
3:0
0.28%
3:1
0.75%
3:2
0.97%
3:3
0.81%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.24%
4
4:0
0.04%
4:1
0.13%
4:2
0.18%
4:3
0.17%
4:4
0.11%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.02%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (13.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.6%
0
18.4%
1
23.6%
2
21.1%
3
14.9%
4
8.7%
5
4.0%
6
1.4%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Rio AveHDPSporting CP
0.4%
Very Low
-2.5
18.4%
@ 2.80Very Low
1.4%
Very Low
-2
28.9%
@ 2.25Low
2.4%
Very Low
-1.5
39.4%
@ 1.78Low
6.7%
Very Low
-1
53.1%
@ 1.40Medium
11.0%
Very Low
-0.5
66.9%
@ 1.26High
33.1%
Low@ 3.70
+0.5
89.0%
Very High
46.8%
Medium@ 3.15
+1
93.3%
Very High
60.6%
High@ 2.13
+1.5
97.5%
Very High
71.0%
High@ 1.72
+2
98.6%
Very High
81.5%
Very High@ 1.47
+2.5
99.6%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Rio AveOutcomeSporting CP
18.4%
Very Low@ 4.40
Over 1.5
59.1%
@ 1.30Medium
81.6%
Very High@ 1.23
Under 1.5
40.9%
@ 3.70Medium
4.5%
Very Low@ 15.00
Over 2.5
32.1%
@ 1.90Low
95.5%
Very High@ 1.04
Under 2.5
67.9%
@ 1.93High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Monday, May 11th, 2026 at 14:15 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Correct Score 0:1
High Value
Prob: 13.9%
EV: +52.8%
Stake: $0.25
11.00
Total Away Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 68.4%
EV: +32.8%
Stake: $2.66
1.94
Away Total Sporting CP Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 67.9%
EV: +31.8%
Stake: $2.66
1.94
Asian Handicap Rio Ave +1.5
High Value
Prob: 60.6%
EV: +30.2%
Stake: $2.17
2.15
Asian Handicap Rio Ave +2
High Value
Prob: 71%
EV: +22.2%
Stake: $3.47
1.72
Asian Handicap Rio Ave +2.5
High Value
Prob: 81.5%
EV: +19.8%
Stake: $5.32
1.47
Total Away Under 3.5
High Value
Prob: 87%
EV: +16.6%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-09 00:30:20
spinner

Trends for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Football 11 May, 2026 14:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Sporting CP have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Sporting CP score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Sporting CP is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Sporting CP is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Rio Ave

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.05

✈️ Sporting CP

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Rio Ave - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Sporting CP - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Rio Ave - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Sporting CP - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
12

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Sporting CP is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Sporting CP to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Sporting CP excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 6 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Sporting CP scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Sporting CP has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Sporting CP handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.012
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.084
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.09

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Rio Ave):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sporting CP):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Rio Ave
Sporting CP

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Head-to-head statistics for Mon 11 May, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
Benfica
d w w w d
>
32
22
10
0
69
22
47
76
3
Sporting CP
w l d d w
>
32
23
7
2
82
23
59
76
4
SC Braga
w d w l d
>
32
16
9
7
60
32
28
57

11
Arouca
w l w l d
>
32
10
6
16
41
62
-21
36
12
Rio Ave
l w d l d
>
32
8
11
13
33
52
-19
35
13
Santa Clara
l l d w d
>
32
8
9
15
30
40
-10
33
Team comparison
Prediction
Rio Ave AH+2.5
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Rio Ave
VS
Sporting CP
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
6 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (4)
2.7 (19)
xG
0.20
3.50
Shots
5.6 (39)
19 (133)
Shots on Target
1 (7)
7.3 (51)
Corners
1.6 (11)
5.7 (40)
Defense
Conceded
2.7 (19)
0.6 (4)
xGa
3.50
0.20
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
5 (71%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 (17)
1.7 (12)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
12 (84)
12.6 (88)
Offsides
2 (14)
1.7 (12)
28 Dec
- 20:30
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
3.26
xG
0.11
4
0
Prob 70%
Best Tip PREMIUM
Odd 1.45
18 Jan
- 18:00
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0.06
xG
4.10
0
3
9 Aug
- 19:15
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
3.00
xG
0.46
3
1
25 Feb
- 20:30
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
3
3
25 Sep
- 19:15
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
2
0
6 Feb
- 21:15
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
1
13 Aug
- 19:30
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
3
0
Last 6 Matches
Rio Ave
VS
Sporting CP
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.33 PPG 1.83
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
50% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.31 Avg xG 1.76
Rio Ave
L W D L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 May 2026 - 19:30
Rio Ave
0 0
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Apr 2026 - 19:30
Guimaraes
2 0
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Apr 2026 - 19:45
Rio Ave
2 2
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Santa Clara
0 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Rio Ave
1 2
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Estoril
1 2
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
D L D D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 May 2026 - 19:15
Sporting CP
5 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Apr 2026 - 19:15
Sporting CP
2 2
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Apr 2026 - 19:30
AVS
1 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Apr 2026 - 17:15
Sporting CP
1 2
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
15 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Arsenal
0 0
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Apr 2026 - 19:30
Estrela
0 1
Sporting CP

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Rio Ave and away matches for Sporting CP

Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
60% 6
50% 5
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
10% 1
50% 5
Total Corners
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
xG
1.3
1.83
xGa
1.11
0.92
Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
90% 9
60% 6
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
10% 1
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2
Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
1X2
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
10% 1
10% 1
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0-1
50% 5
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
30% 3
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Yes
70% 7
30% 3
No
30% 3
70% 7
0.76 xG 1.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Rio Ave will take on Sporting CP as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-05-11 at 2026-05-11 in the famous Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. The referee for the game will be J. Goncalves. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Rio Ave, and the visiting side, Sporting CP. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Sporting CP. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-11 Time: 19:15 Location: Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!