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Form
Form
La Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 31
Preview
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
7th place
Form
VS
12:00
11 Apr 2026
Alaves
Alaves
16th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Real Sociedad vs Alaves: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 7:00

Winner (1x2)1.85
Real Sociedad to Win
Probability 58%
Total Goals2.17
Over 2.5
Probability 74%
Both Teams to Score1.98
Yes
Probability 72%
Real Sociedad Total2.01
Home Over 1.5
Probability 70%
Alaves Total1.04
Away Under 2.5
Probability 80%
Double Chance1.22
Real Sociedad/Draw
Probability 78%
Asian Handicap1.19
Real Sociedad +0.5
Probability 77%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
La Liga 2025-2026
12:00
Real Sociedad W 58%
:
Alaves W 22%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Real Sociedad
d w l w l
14 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (27 total)
xG
1.40 (19.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (175 total)
Shots on Target
5 (40% acc)
Corners
5.6 (79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (7%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.4 (202 total)
Offsides
1.6 (23 total)
15 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (17 total)
xG
1.10 (16.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (187 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (35% acc)
Corners
5.4 (81 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (7%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.1 (212 total)
Offsides
2.7 (41 total)
29 Played
10 Wins
8 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (44 total)
xG
1.20 (35.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (362 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (38% acc)
Corners
5.5 (160 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (7%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
14.3 (414 total)
Offsides
2.2 (64 total)
Alaves
d l l d w
14 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (17 total)
xG
1.30 (17.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (175 total)
Shots on Target
4 (32% acc)
Corners
5.6 (79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
15.4 (215 total)
Offsides
1.8 (25 total)
15 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (13 total)
xG
1.00 (15.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (164 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (34% acc)
Corners
3.9 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (7%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
15 (225 total)
Offsides
2.1 (32 total)
29 Played
8 Wins
7 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (30 total)
xG
1.10 (33.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.7 (339 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (33% acc)
Corners
4.7 (137 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
15.2 (440 total)
Offsides
2 (57 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.42 vs 1.54
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.52%
0:1
3.28%
0:2
2.14%
0:3
0.93%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.08%
1
1:0
5.5%
1:1
7.77%
1:2
5.45%
1:3
2.54%
1:4
0.88%
1:5
0.24%
2
2:0
6.01%
2:1
9.13%
🔥
2:2
6.87%
2:3
3.41%
2:4
1.26%
2:5
0.37%
3
3:0
4.37%
3:1
7.12%
3:2
5.72%
3:3
3.03%
3:4
1.19%
3:5
0.37%
4
4:0
2.38%
4:1
4.14%
4:2
3.54%
4:3
1.99%
4:4
0.83%
4:5
0.27%
5
5:0
1.04%
5:1
1.92%
5:2
1.74%
5:3
1.04%
5:4
0.46%
5:5
0.16%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.1%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.5%
0
8.8%
1
15.9%
2
19.9%
3
19.2%
4
15.3%
5
10.0%
6
5.3%
7
2.2%
8
0.7%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Real SociedadHDPAlaves
18.9%
Very Low@ 7.00
-2.5
3.4%
Very Low
27.4%
Low@ 5.90
-2
6.6%
Very Low
35.9%
Low@ 3.30
-1.5
9.8%
@ 11.00Very Low
46.6%
Medium@ 2.49
-1
16.4%
@ 9.50Very Low
57.3%
Medium@ 1.78
-0.5
22.9%
@ 4.50Low
77.1%
High@ 1.19
+0.5
42.7%
@ 2.07Medium
83.6%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
53.4%
@ 1.57Medium
90.2%
Very High@ 1.01
+1.5
64.1%
@ 1.37High
93.4%
Very High
+2
72.6%
@ 1.13High
96.6%
Very High
+2.5
81.1%
@ 1.10Very High

Team Total Predictions

Real SociedadOutcomeAlaves
69.6%
High@ 2.01
Over 1.5
45.6%
@ 4.15Medium
30.4%
Low@ 1.82
Under 1.5
54.5%
@ 1.24Medium
43.6%
Medium@ 4.05
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 13.00Low
56.5%
Medium@ 1.24
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.04High
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Real Sociedad will take on Alaves as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 31 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous Reale Arena. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Real Sociedad, and the visiting side, Alaves. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-11 Time: 12:00 Location: Reale Arena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Real Sociedad vs Alaves Saturday, Apr 11th, 2026 at 7:00 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 73.9%
EV: +60.4%
Stake: $2.14
2.17
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 72.1%
EV: +42.7%
Stake: $2.55
1.98
Home Total Real Sociedad Over 1.5
High Value
Prob: 69.6%
EV: +39.9%
Stake: $2.48
2.01
Win to Nil Real Sociedad NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 81%
EV: +13.4%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Match Winner Real Sociedad
Value
Prob: 57.5%
EV: +6.4%
Stake: $2.94
1.85
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 80%
EV: +6.3%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-03 21:39:18
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Trends for Real Sociedad vs Alaves Football 11 Apr, 2026 7:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Alaves struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent away matches

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Real Sociedad vs Alaves

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Real Sociedad

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Alaves

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Real Sociedad - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Alaves - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Real Sociedad - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
15
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Alaves - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Real Sociedad has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Real Sociedad handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.066
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Real Sociedad):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Alaves):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Real Sociedad
Alaves

Real Sociedad vs Alaves Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 7:00 La Liga

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
Celta Vigo
w w l d l
>
29
10
11
8
41
35
6
41
7
Real Sociedad
d w l w l
>
29
10
8
11
44
45
-1
38
8
Getafe
l w w l w
>
29
11
5
13
25
31
-6
38

15
Sevilla
w d d l l
>
29
8
7
14
37
49
-12
31
16
Alaves
d l l d w
>
29
8
7
14
30
41
-11
31
17
Elche
d l l w l
>
30
6
11
13
38
47
-9
29
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Real Sociedad
VS
Alaves
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
3 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9)
0.7 (6)
xG
1.00
1.20
Shots
11 (99)
10.2 (92)
Shots on Target
3.3 (30)
2.6 (23)
Corners
5.7 (51)
3.9 (35)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (6)
1 (9)
xGa
1.20
1.00
Clean Sheets
4 (44%)
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 (25)
2.6 (23)
Red Cards
0.2 (2)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
13.8 (124)
14.4 (130)
Offsides
1.7 (15)
2.2 (20)
6 Dec
- 15:15
Alaves
Real Sociedad
1.43
xG
1.01
1
0
Prob 69%
Goals Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.59
23 Apr
- 19:30
Alaves
Real Sociedad
0.61
xG
0.85
1
0
28 Aug
- 19:30
Real Sociedad
Alaves
1.15
xG
1.54
1
2
31 Mar
- 16:30
Alaves
Real Sociedad
0
1
2 Jan
- 18:15
Real Sociedad
Alaves
1
1
13 Mar
- 17:30
Real Sociedad
Alaves
1
0
2 Jan
- 17:30
Alaves
Real Sociedad
1
1
21 Feb
- 15:15
Real Sociedad
Alaves
4
0
6 Dec
- 20:00
Alaves
Real Sociedad
0
0
Last 6 Matches
Real Sociedad
VS
Alaves
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.17 PPG 1.00
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
83% BTTS % 83%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.20 Avg xG 1.27
Real Sociedad
D W L W L
La Liga 2025-2026
20 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Villarreal
3 1
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2025-2026
15 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Real Sociedad
3 1
Osasuna
La Liga 2025-2026
7 Mar 2026 - 17:30
Atletico Madrid
3 2
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2025-2026
28 Feb 2026 - 17:30
Mallorca
0 1
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2025-2026
21 Feb 2026 - 13:00
Real Sociedad
3 3
Oviedo
La Liga 2025-2026
14 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Real Madrid
4 1
Real Sociedad
Alaves
D L L D W
La Liga 2025-2026
22 Mar 2026 - 15:15
Celta Vigo
3 4
Alaves
La Liga 2025-2026
13 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Alaves
1 1
Villarreal
La Liga 2025-2026
8 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Valencia
3 2
Alaves
La Liga 2025-2026
27 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Levante
2 0
Alaves
La Liga 2025-2026
23 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Alaves
2 2
Girona
La Liga 2025-2026
14 Feb 2026 - 17:30
Sevilla
1 1
Alaves

Real Sociedad vs Alaves: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Sociedad and away matches for Alaves

Number of goals
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Yes
90% 9
70% 7
No
10% 1
30% 3
1X2
Real Sociedad
Alaves
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Real Sociedad
Alaves
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Sociedad
Alaves
0-1
10% 1
10% 1
2-3
20% 2
60% 6
4+
70% 7
30% 3
Total Corners
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2 HT - FT
Real Sociedad
Alaves
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Real Sociedad
Alaves
xG
1.32
1.27
xGa
1.88
1.45
Number of goals
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Real Sociedad
Alaves
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Real Sociedad
Alaves
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
40% 4
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Sociedad
Alaves
0-1
50% 5
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2
Real Sociedad
Alaves
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Real Sociedad
Alaves
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Sociedad
Alaves
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
2.34 xG 1.31
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
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