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Form
Form
La Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2nd place
Form
VS
19:00
23 May 2026
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
12th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Real Madrid or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)1.53
Real Madrid to Win
Probability 79%
Total Goals1.47
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Both Teams to Score1.62
Yes
Probability 54%
Real Madrid Total1.41
Home Over 1.5
Probability 78%
Athletic Club Total1.34
Away Under 1.5
Probability 80%
Double Chance1.14
Real Madrid/Draw
Probability 93%
Asian Handicap1.72
Real Madrid -1
Probability 69%
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Prediction League
La Liga 2025-2026
19:00
Real Madrid W 79%
:
Athletic Club W 7%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Real Madrid
d w l w w
25 Played
20 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (57 total)
xG
2.30 (56.8 total)
Shots per Match
19.3 (483 total)
Shots on Target
7.6 (39% acc)
Corners
6.6 (165 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
10.2 (255 total)
Offsides
1.7 (42 total)
26 Played
15 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (49 total)
xG
1.60 (42.5 total)
Shots per Match
15 (389 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (37% acc)
Corners
5.5 (142 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
10.3 (269 total)
Offsides
1.6 (41 total)
51 Played
35 Wins
5 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (106 total)
xG
1.90 (99.4 total)
Shots per Match
17.1 (872 total)
Shots on Target
6.5 (38% acc)
Corners
6 (307 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
18 (35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (9 total)
Fouls
10.3 (524 total)
Offsides
1.6 (83 total)
Athletic Club
l w l l d
23 Played
10 Wins
4 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (27 total)
xG
1.40 (32.0 total)
Shots per Match
14.2 (327 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (31% acc)
Corners
5.8 (134 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
13.8 (317 total)
Offsides
1.4 (32 total)
22 Played
5 Wins
4 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (23 total)
xG
1.10 (24.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (254 total)
Shots on Target
4 (34% acc)
Corners
4.9 (108 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
13 (287 total)
Offsides
1 (22 total)
45 Played
15 Wins
8 Draws
22 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (50 total)
xG
1.20 (56.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (581 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (33% acc)
Corners
5.4 (242 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (6 total)
Fouls
13.4 (604 total)
Offsides
1.2 (54 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.85 vs 0.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.16%
0:1
2.14%
0:2
0.73%
0:3
0.16%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
8.52%
1:1
6.25%
1:2
2.28%
1:3
0.55%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
11.49%
🔥
2:1
9.08%
2:2
3.55%
2:3
0.92%
2:4
0.18%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
10.33%
3:1
8.75%
3:2
3.66%
3:3
1.01%
3:4
0.21%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
6.97%
4:1
6.3%
4:2
2.8%
4:3
0.82%
4:4
0.18%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
3.76%
5:1
3.61%
5:2
1.7%
5:3
0.53%
5:4
0.12%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 2:0 (11.5%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.2%
0
10.7%
1
18.5%
2
21.9%
3
19.9%
4
14.7%
5
7.6%
6
2.8%
7
0.7%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Real MadridHDPAthletic Club
37.7%
Low@ 3.70
-2.5
0.5%
Very Low
48.4%
Medium@ 3.00
-2
1.3%
Very Low
59.1%
Medium@ 2.27
-1.5
2.2%
Very Low
69.1%
High@ 1.72
-1
5.0%
@ 11.50Very Low
79.1%
High
-0.5
7.8%
Very Low
92.2%
Very High
+0.5
20.9%
Low
95.0%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
30.9%
@ 2.10Low
97.8%
Very High
+1.5
40.9%
@ 1.74Medium
98.7%
Very High
+2
51.6%
@ 1.36Medium
99.5%
Very High
+2.5
62.3%
@ 1.25High

Team Total Predictions

Real MadridOutcomeAthletic Club
77.7%
High@ 1.41
Over 1.5
20.2%
@ 3.40Low
22.3%
Low@ 2.80
Under 1.5
79.8%
@ 1.34High
54.2%
Medium@ 2.33
Over 2.5
5.2%
@ 10.00Very Low
45.8%
Medium@ 1.62
Under 2.5
94.8%
@ 1.06Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Asian Handicap Real Madrid -1.5
High Value
Prob: 59.1%
EV: +34.1%
Stake: $1.97
2.27
Match Winner Real Madrid
High Value
Prob: 79.2%
EV: +21.1%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Asian Handicap Real Madrid -1
High Value
Prob: 69.1%
EV: +18.8%
Stake: $3.47
1.72
Home Total Real Madrid Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 77.7%
EV: +9.6%
Stake: $6.10
1.41
Away Total Athletic Club Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 79.8%
EV: +6.9%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 86.5%
EV: +6.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.23
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 70%
EV: +2.9%
Stake: $5.32
1.47
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-18 02:45:11
spinner

Trends for Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Football 23 May, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Real Madrid have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Athletic Club struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent away matches

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Athletic Club is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Real Madrid

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.38
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Athletic Club

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.18

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Real Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Athletic Club - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Real Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Athletic Club - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Athletic Club excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 8 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Athletic Club scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Real Madrid has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Real Madrid handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.39
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.056
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Real Madrid):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Athletic Club):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Real Madrid
Athletic Club

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 14:00 La Liga

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Barcelona
w w w l w
>
37
31
1
5
94
33
61
94
2
Real Madrid
d w l w w
>
37
26
5
6
73
33
40
83
3
Villarreal
w w d l l
>
37
21
6
10
67
45
22
69

11
Espanyol
d l l w w
>
37
12
9
16
42
54
-12
45
12
Athletic Club
l w l l d
>
37
13
6
18
41
54
-13
45
13
Sevilla
l w w w l
>
37
12
7
18
46
59
-13
43
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Real Madrid or draw
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Real Madrid
VS
Athletic Club
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
9 Wins
1 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (19)
0.5 (5)
xG
1.90
0.90
Shots
13.2 (145)
10.7 (118)
Shots on Target
5.4 (59)
3 (33)
Corners
5.6 (62)
5.9 (65)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 (5)
1.7 (19)
xGa
0.90
1.90
Clean Sheets
7 (64%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 (17)
2.4 (26)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (2)
Fouls
8.2 (90)
14.7 (162)
Offsides
1.9 (21)
1.5 (17)
3 Dec
- 18:00
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
0.74
xG
2.03
0
3
Prob 79%
Away Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.31
20 Apr
- 19:00
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1.73
xG
0.19
1
0
4 Dec
- 20:00
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
1.80
xG
1.82
2
1
31 Mar
- 19:00
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
2
0
12 Aug
- 19:30
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
0
2
4 Jun
- 16:30
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1
1
22 Jan
- 20:00
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
0
2
22 Dec
- 20:30
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
1
2
1 Dec
- 20:00
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1
0
16 May
- 16:30
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
0
1
Last 6 Matches
Real Madrid
VS
Athletic Club
4/6 (67%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
2.17 PPG 1.17
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
33% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.28 Avg xG 1.01
Real Madrid
D W L W W
La Liga 2025-2026
17 May 2026 - 17:00
Sevilla
0 1
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
14 May 2026 - 19:30
Real Madrid
2 0
Oviedo
La Liga 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 19:00
Barcelona
2 0
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
3 May 2026 - 19:00
Espanyol
0 2
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
24 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Real Betis
1 1
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
21 Apr 2026 - 19:30
Real Madrid
2 1
Alaves
Athletic Club
L W L L D
La Liga 2025-2026
17 May 2026 - 17:00
Athletic Club
1 1
Celta Vigo
La Liga 2025-2026
13 May 2026 - 17:00
Espanyol
2 0
Athletic Club
La Liga 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 14:15
Athletic Club
0 1
Valencia
La Liga 2025-2026
2 May 2026 - 16:30
Alaves
2 4
Athletic Club
La Liga 2025-2026
25 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Atletico Madrid
3 2
Athletic Club
La Liga 2025-2026
21 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Athletic Club
1 0
Osasuna

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Madrid and away matches for Athletic Club

Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Athletic Club
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
80% 8
60% 6
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Total Corners
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Athletic Club
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
xG
1.52
1.06
xGa
1.32
1.04
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Athletic Club
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
10% 1
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Athletic Club
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
10% 1
2
20% 2
60% 6
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
12
40% 4
90% 9
1X
80% 8
40% 4
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
2.75 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Real Madrid will take on Athletic Club as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Real Madrid, and the visiting side, Athletic Club. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Real Madrid or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-23 Time: 19:00 Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!