Form
Form
La Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Form
VS
19:00
23 May 2026
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Form
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
AI Prediction Double chance : Real Madrid or draw
1 1.52 X 5 2 6.55
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 15:00

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
La Liga 2025-2026
• 19:00
Real Madrid W 80%
:
Athletic Club W 7%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.93 vs 0.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.88%
0:1
2.01%
0:2
0.7%
0:3
0.16%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
8%
1:1
6.02%
1:2
2.26%
1:3
0.56%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
11.11%
🔥
2:1
8.97%
2:2
3.59%
2:3
0.95%
2:4
0.19%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
10.29%
⭐
3:1
8.87%
⭐
3:2
3.78%
3:3
1.06%
3:4
0.22%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
7.15%
⭐
4:1
6.55%
⭐
4:2
2.96%
⭐
4:3
0.88%
4:4
0.19%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
3.97%
⭐
5:1
3.86%
⭐
5:2
1.84%
⭐
5:3
0.58%
⭐
5:4
0.13%
⭐
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 2:0 (11.1%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.9%
0
10.0%
1
17.8%
2
21.7%
3
20.2%
4
15.4%
5
8.1%
6
3.0%
7
0.8%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 15:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-22 02:34:16
Home Draw Away
10Bet 1.46 4.65 5.90
William Hill 1.44 4.50 5.80
Bet365 1.50 4.75 5.75
Unibet 1.46 4.70 6.25
Betfair 1.47 5.00 6.00
Pinnacle 1.50 4.86 6.03
SBO 1.41 4.27 5.42
Betano 1.50 4.75 5.80
888Sport 1.44 4.50 5.75
Dafabet 1.50 4.90 6.00
spinner

Trends for Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Football 23 May, 2026 15:00

Team Form Comparison

Real Madrid Home
Form Index 71
Goals 9:6
PPG 2.00
Athletic Club Away
Form Index 42
Goals 6:12
PPG 0.60
MADWBAYLGIRDALAWOVIW
GIRLGETLMADLALAWESPL
3/5
Won
1/5
5/5
Scored
2/5
3/5
Scored 2+
2/5
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
2/5
Conceded 2+
5/5
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
4/5
BTTS
2/5

Real Madrid

MADWBAYLGIRDALAWOVIW
Won 3/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 4/5

Athletic Club

GIRLGETLMADLALAWESPL
Won 1/5
Scored 2/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 5/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 7
BTTS 2/7
Over 2.5 2/7
Real Madrid unbeaten 2/2

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Real Madrid have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • ⚡
    Second Half Surge

    Real Madrid score in 2nd half 100% of home matches — expect late goals

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Real Madrid Home
Athletic Club Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Final stage: Athletic Club is stronger in the closing minutes (11 vs 8).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.38 factor
Home Pressure 0.12 Away 0.18

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
5 0.25
12 0.60
First Half (0–45)
10 0.50
13 0.65
Second Half (46–90)
15 0.75
8 0.40
Final Stage (76–90)
11 0.55

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.390 Strong
Pressure Away +0.056 Moderate
Timing Home +0.000 Weak
Defense Away +0.008 Weak

Momentum

Real Madrid Metric Athletic Club
6 Positive Sequences 3
9 Comeback Goals 6
1 Negative Sequences 4
7 Killer Goals 14

Pressure

Real Madrid Metric Athletic Club
3 Early Pressure 5
8 Late Pressure 11
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Real Madrid Metric Athletic Club
3 Fast Starts 5
9 Half-time Spurts 5
5 Second Half Starts 4
8 Late Surges 11

Defense

Real Madrid Metric Athletic Club
4 Early Conceded 3
5 Late Conceded 6
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Late goals: Athletic Club excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Real Madrid holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Real Madrid

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Athletic Club

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Real Madrid
Athletic Club

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 15:00 La Liga

18 Played 18
83% 15-1-2 Win Rate 22% 4-3-11
71 Form Index 43
7.19 Team Rating 6.61
86 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Real Madrid Athletic Club Results 87 13 Attack 97 3 Defense 93 7 Control 88 12 Discipline 59 41 Efficiency 92 8 Average 86 14 14

Attack

2.28
Goals
1.06
2.19
Expected Goals
1.11
19.1
Shots
12.3
7.6
Shots on Target
4.1
6.6
Corners
5.3

Defense

0.78
Conceded
1.83
0.89
Expected Goals Against
1.27
9.8
Shots Allowed
11.1
+1.50
Goal Difference
-0.78
33%
Clean Sheets
11%

Possession & Passing

60%
Possession
48%
91%
Pass Accuracy
80%
597
Passes
395
542
Accurate Passes
314

Discipline

1.83
Yellow Cards
2
0.22
Red Cards
0.28
9.7
Fouls
12.5
2
Offsides
1.1

Efficiency

2.56
PPG
0.83
+0.08
Goals vs xG
-0.05
12%
Shot Conversion
9%
69%
Save %
61%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Real Madrid or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Madrid and away matches for Athletic Club

Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Athletic Club
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
80% 8
60% 6
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Total Corners
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Athletic Club
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
xG
1.52
1.06
xGa
1.32
1.04
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Athletic Club
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
10% 1
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Athletic Club
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
10% 1
2
20% 2
60% 6
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
12
40% 4
90% 9
1X
80% 8
40% 4
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
Missing Players
Real Madrid
19
m
Dani Ceballos
- Injured - Coach's decision
3
d
Éder Militão
- Injured - Muscle Injury
15
m
A. Güler
- Injured - Muscle Injury
13
g
A. Lunin
- Injured - Illness
23
d
F. Mendy
- Injured - Muscle Injury
11
m
Rodrygo
- Injured - Knee Injury
8
d
F. Valverde
- Injured - Head Injury
Athletic Club
17
d
Yuri
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
29
d
Unai Eguíluz
- Injured - Knee Injury
24
m
Beñat Prados
- Injured - Knee Injury
8
m
Oihan Sancet
- Injured - Muscle Injury
3
d
Dani Vivian
- Injured - Ankle Injury
10
f
Nico Williams
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
3.69 Expected goals 0.89
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots Off Goal 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
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In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Real Madrid will take on Athletic Club as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Real Madrid, and the visiting side, Athletic Club. The scoreline predictions suggest Real Madrid to Win. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-23 Time: 19:00 Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

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