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Form
Form
La Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 33
Preview
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2nd place
Form
VS
19:30
21 Apr 2026
Alaves
Alaves
17th place
Form
AI Prediction Combo Double chance : Real Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Real Madrid vs Alaves: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 21 April, 2026 14:30

Winner (1x2)1.34
Real Madrid to Win
Probability 78%
Total Goals1.60
Over 2.5
Probability 74%
Both Teams to Score2.04
Yes
Probability 61%
Real Madrid Total2.20
Home Over 2.5
Probability 56%
Alaves Total1.02
Away Under 2.5
Probability 92%
Double Chance1.08
Real Madrid/Draw
Probability 92%
Asian Handicap1.27
Real Madrid -0.5
Probability 77%
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Prediction League
La Liga 2025-2026
19:30
Real Madrid W 78%
:
Alaves W 8%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Real Madrid
w w l l d
23 Played
18 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (53 total)
xG
2.30 (53.8 total)
Shots per Match
19.2 (441 total)
Shots on Target
7.6 (39% acc)
Corners
6.6 (152 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
10.2 (235 total)
Offsides
1.6 (36 total)
21 Played
13 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (42 total)
xG
1.70 (35.6 total)
Shots per Match
15.8 (331 total)
Shots on Target
5.9 (37% acc)
Corners
5.5 (116 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10.2 (214 total)
Offsides
1.5 (31 total)
44 Played
31 Wins
4 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (95 total)
xG
2.00 (89.4 total)
Shots per Match
17.5 (772 total)
Shots on Target
6.8 (39% acc)
Corners
6.1 (268 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
15 (34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (8 total)
Fouls
10.2 (449 total)
Offsides
1.5 (67 total)
Alaves
l d w d d
15 Played
5 Wins
6 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (19 total)
xG
1.30 (20.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (192 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (32% acc)
Corners
5.7 (86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.8 (222 total)
Offsides
1.7 (26 total)
16 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (16 total)
xG
1.00 (16.3 total)
Shots per Match
11 (176 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (32% acc)
Corners
3.9 (63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (6%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
15.2 (243 total)
Offsides
2.1 (33 total)
31 Played
8 Wins
9 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (35 total)
xG
1.20 (36.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (368 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (32% acc)
Corners
4.8 (149 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
15 (465 total)
Offsides
1.9 (59 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.93 vs 1.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.5%
0:1
2.1%
0:2
0.88%
0:3
0.25%
0:4
0.05%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
6.88%
1:1
6.22%
1:2
2.8%
1:3
0.84%
1:4
0.19%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
9.45%
🔥
2:1
9.17%
2:2
4.41%
2:3
1.4%
2:4
0.33%
2:5
0.06%
3
3:0
8.66%
3:1
8.98%
3:2
4.6%
3:3
1.55%
3:4
0.39%
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
5.95%
4:1
6.56%
4:2
3.56%
4:3
1.27%
4:4
0.34%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
3.27%
5:1
3.82%
5:2
2.2%
5:3
0.83%
5:4
0.23%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot: 2:0 (9.5%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.5%
0
9.0%
1
16.6%
2
20.9%
3
20.2%
4
16.0%
5
9.3%
6
3.9%
7
1.2%
8
0.3%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Real MadridHDPAlaves
36.0%
Low@ 2.92
-2.5
0.7%
Very Low
46.4%
Medium@ 2.36
-2
1.8%
Very Low
56.7%
Medium@ 1.88
-1.5
2.9%
Very Low
66.7%
High@ 1.42
-1
6.2%
Very Low
76.7%
High@ 1.28
-0.5
9.4%
Very Low
90.6%
Very High
+0.5
23.3%
@ 3.75Low
93.8%
Very High
+1
33.2%
@ 2.98Low
97.1%
Very High
+1.5
43.2%
@ 2.19Medium
98.2%
Very High
+2
53.6%
@ 1.65Medium
99.3%
Very High
+2.5
64.0%
@ 1.45High

Team Total Predictions

Real MadridOutcomeAlaves
79.0%
High@ 1.35
Over 1.5
27.2%
@ 5.20Low
21.0%
Low@ 3.60
Under 1.5
72.8%
@ 1.20High
56.1%
Medium@ 2.05
Over 2.5
8.4%
@ 19.00Very Low
43.9%
Medium@ 1.81
Under 2.5
91.6%
@ 1.03Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Real Madrid vs Alaves Tuesday, Apr 21st, 2026 at 14:30 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

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BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 60.9%
EV: +18.8%
Stake: $2.63
1.95
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 74.1%
EV: +11.2%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Win to Nil Real Madrid NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 66.3%
EV: +9.3%
Stake: $3.85
1.65
Home Total Real Madrid Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 79%
EV: +9.0%
Stake: $6.58
1.38
Match Winner Real Madrid
Value
Prob: 77.5%
EV: +2.3%
Stake: $7.81
1.32
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-14 03:16:07
spinner

Trends for Real Madrid vs Alaves Football 21 Apr, 2026 14:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Real Madrid have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Alaves struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent away matches

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Real Madrid vs Alaves

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Real Madrid is stronger in the second half (19 vs 15).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Real Madrid

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Alaves

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.37
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Real Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Alaves - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Real Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
11
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Alaves - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Real Madrid shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 15 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Real Madrid winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Real Madrid has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Real Madrid handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.028
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.026
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Real Madrid):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Alaves):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Real Madrid
Alaves

Real Madrid vs Alaves Head-to-head statistics for Tue 21 Apr, 2026 @ 14:30 La Liga

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Barcelona
w w w w w
>
31
26
1
4
84
30
54
79
2
Real Madrid
w w w l d
>
31
22
4
5
65
29
36
70
3
Villarreal
w d w l w
>
31
19
4
8
56
36
20
61

16
Sevilla
d l l l w
>
31
9
7
15
39
51
-12
34
17
Alaves
l d w d d
>
31
8
9
14
35
46
-11
33
18
Elche
l l w l w
>
31
7
11
13
39
47
-8
32
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : Real Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals
Under/Over: +1.5*
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Real Madrid
VS
Alaves
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
8 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7 (24)
0.8 (7)
xG
1.20
0.90
Shots
15 (135)
11.1 (100)
Shots on Target
6.6 (59)
4.3 (39)
Corners
5.3 (48)
3.4 (31)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 (7)
2.7 (24)
xGa
0.90
1.20
Clean Sheets
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 (19)
2.2 (20)
Red Cards
0.2 (2)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
9.1 (82)
14.6 (131)
Offsides
1.6 (14)
1.2 (11)
14 Dec
- 20:00
Alaves
Real Madrid
1.36
xG
1.24
1
2
Prob 77%
Away Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.36
13 Apr
- 14:15
Alaves
Real Madrid
0.60
xG
0.91
0
1
24 Sep
- 19:00
Real Madrid
Alaves
1.32
xG
0.88
3
2
14 May
- 19:30
Real Madrid
Alaves
5
0
21 Dec
- 20:30
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
19 Feb
- 20:00
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
14 Aug
- 20:00
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
23 Jan
- 20:00
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
28 Nov
- 20:00
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
2
Last 6 Matches
Real Madrid
VS
Alaves
3/6 (50%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.67 PPG 1.00
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
100% BTTS % 83%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.84 Avg xG 1.26
Real Madrid
W W L L D
La Liga 2025-2026
10 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Real Madrid
1 1
Girona
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
7 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Real Madrid
1 2
Bayern München
La Liga 2025-2026
4 Apr 2026 - 14:15
Mallorca
2 1
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
22 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Real Madrid
3 2
Atletico Madrid
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
17 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Manchester City
1 2
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
14 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Real Madrid
4 1
Elche
Alaves
L D W D D
La Liga 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 12:00
Real Sociedad
3 3
Alaves
La Liga 2025-2026
5 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Alaves
2 2
Osasuna
La Liga 2025-2026
22 Mar 2026 - 15:15
Celta Vigo
3 4
Alaves
La Liga 2025-2026
13 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Alaves
1 1
Villarreal
La Liga 2025-2026
8 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Valencia
3 2
Alaves
La Liga 2025-2026
27 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Levante
2 0
Alaves

Real Madrid vs Alaves: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Madrid and away matches for Alaves

Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Alaves
Yes
80% 8
80% 8
No
20% 2
20% 2
1X2
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
10% 1
50% 5
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Alaves
12
90% 9
50% 5
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Alaves
0-1
10% 1
0% 0
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
20% 2
50% 5
Total Corners
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Alaves
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2 HT - FT
Real Madrid
Alaves
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Real Madrid
Alaves
xG
1.71
1.38
xGa
1.2
1.39
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Alaves
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Alaves
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Alaves
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Alaves
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Alaves
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
0% 0
40% 4
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Alaves
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
100% 10
60% 6
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Alaves
0-1
50% 5
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Alaves
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
2.91 xG 1.15
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
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In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Real Madrid will take on Alaves as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-04-21 at 2026-04-21 in the famous Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Real Madrid, and the visiting side, Alaves. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Real Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-21 Time: 19:30 Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!