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Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 9:15
Prediction League
14
Played
6
Wins
6
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(20 total)
xG
1.30
(18.7 total)
Shots per Match
15.9
(222 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(34% acc)
Corners
6.9
(96 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.7
(164 total)
Offsides
2.5
(35 total)
16
Played
5
Wins
2
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(16 total)
xG
1.00
(16.2 total)
Shots per Match
12
(192 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(32% acc)
Corners
5.4
(86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
14.3
(229 total)
Offsides
1.9
(30 total)
30
Played
11
Wins
8
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(36 total)
xG
1.20
(35.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(414 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(33% acc)
Corners
6.1
(182 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(7 total)
Fouls
13.1
(393 total)
Offsides
2.2
(65 total)
15
Played
13
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5
(37 total)
xG
2.10
(31.2 total)
Shots per Match
16
(240 total)
Shots on Target
6.9
(43% acc)
Corners
8.2
(123 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.1
(152 total)
Offsides
1.9
(28 total)
15
Played
4
Wins
6
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(18 total)
xG
1.00
(15.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.1
(166 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(37% acc)
Corners
5.3
(79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.9
(178 total)
Offsides
2.1
(31 total)
30
Played
17
Wins
7
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(55 total)
xG
1.50
(46.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(406 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(41% acc)
Corners
6.7
(202 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11
(330 total)
Offsides
2
(59 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.94 vs 1.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.32%
0:1
13.79%
🔥
0:2
9.21%
0:3
4.1%
0:4
1.37%
0:5
0.37%
1
1:0
7.8%
1:1
12.33%
1:2
9.5%
1:3
4.8%
1:4
1.79%
1:5
0.53%
2
2:0
2.95%
2:1
5.38%
2:2
4.72%
2:3
2.69%
2:4
1.12%
2:5
0.36%
3
3:0
0.74%
3:1
1.54%
3:2
1.52%
3:3
0.97%
3:4
0.45%
⭐
3:5
0.16%
⭐
4
4:0
0.14%
4:1
0.32%
4:2
0.36%
4:3
0.25%
4:4
0.13%
⭐
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.05%
5:2
0.07%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
0:1 (13.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Rayo Vallecano will take on Atletico Madrid as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 24 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous Estadio de Vallecas.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Rayo Vallecano, and the visiting side, Atletico Madrid. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-14
Time: 15:15
Location: Estadio de Vallecas
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Saturday, Feb 14th, 2026 at 9:15 Football
AI Value Bets
1 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Football 14 Feb, 2026 9:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Rayo Vallecano have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Suppression
Rayo Vallecano rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Atletico Madrid @ 1.92 ✅ 
Atletico Madrid
- UnbeatenH2H9/9100%Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 9 9 matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- Good Goal RatioH2H7/978%Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 7 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- League Best DefenseLeague11/1170%Atletico Madrid concede only 0.91 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
Atletico Madrid dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.81 ✅
Rayo Vallecano(4 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H8/989%Rayo Vallecano scored 0-1 goals in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Atletico Madrid
- Few GoalsRecent12/1486%Rayo Vallecano scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- Few GoalsRecent24/3080%Rayo Vallecano scored 0-1 goals in 24 of their last 30 La Liga matches
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent11/1479%Under 2.5 goals in 11 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
Atletico Madrid(2 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H7/978%Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 7 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%Atletico Madrid scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 La Liga (Away) matches
Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (80% + 80%) • Low scoring patterns strongly support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Atletico Madrid Win or Draw @ 1.24 ✅ 
Atletico Madrid
- UnbeatenH2H9/9100%Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 9 9 matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- League Best DefenseLeague11/1170%Atletico Madrid concede only 0.91 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1580%Atletico Madrid are undefeated at half time in their last 12 15 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent24/3080%Atletico Madrid are undefeated at half time in their last 24 30 matches
Atletico Madrid dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Atletico Madrid Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.05 ✅
Atletico Madrid
- Scored 1+H2H9/9100%Atletico Madrid scored 1+ goals in their last 9 9 matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- Scored 1+Recent25/3083%Atletico Madrid scored 1+ goals in 25 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Atletico Madrid's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Rayo Vallecano(2 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Rayo Vallecano average 3.0 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 2.2) — rank #2 in league
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Rayo Vallecano receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Atletico Madrid(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague22/2280%Atletico Madrid average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (-10% below league avg 2.2)
Atletico Madrid disciplined play balances Rayo Vallecano aggression — • H2H average: 4.4 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Rayo Vallecano(1 trends) — avg 6.7 (+40% above league)
- Many CornersLeague10/1085%Rayo Vallecano average 6.7 corners/match at home (+40% above league avg 4.8)
Moderate corner environment -
+15 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends[wp_predictions_test_enhanced home_club="18560" away_club="18492" competition_id="" season_id=""]
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 9:15 La Liga
La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
17
3
2
47
18
29
54
3
13
6
3
38
17
21
45
4
13
3
5
39
23
16
42
16
▲
6
5
11
16
27
-11
23
17
▼
5
7
10
18
30
-12
22
18
5
6
10
24
33
-9
21
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Rayo Vallecano
VS
Atletico Madrid
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
2
Draws
7
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (6)
2.4 (22)
xG
1.10
2.10
Shots
11.9 (107)
12.9 (116)
Shots on Target
3 (27)
5.2 (47)
Corners
4.7 (42)
5 (45)
Defense
Conceded
2.4 (22)
0.7 (6)
xGa
2.10
1.10
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
4 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (16)
1.9 (17)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
12.6 (113)
10.9 (98)
Offsides
1.6 (14)
2.7 (24)
Last 6 Matches
Rayo Vallecano
VS
Atletico Madrid
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.67
PPG
2.33
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
2.33
Avg Goals Conceded
0.67
67%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.16
Avg xG
1.40
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Rayo Vallecano and away matches for Atletico Madrid
Number of goals
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Total Corners
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT X
10%
1
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
xG
1.1
1.34
xGa
1.23
1.14
Number of goals
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
20%
2
70%
7
2
50%
5
0%
0
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
12
80%
8
30%
3
1X
50%
5
100%
10
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
Number of goals
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
0.80
xG
1.34
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
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