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QPR vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 25 April, 2026 9:00
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21
Played
10
Wins
3
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(37 total)
xG
1.40
(30.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(288 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(33% acc)
Corners
5.1
(107 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.7
(225 total)
Offsides
1.6
(34 total)
23
Played
6
Wins
7
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(22 total)
xG
0.80
(18.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.4
(240 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(28% acc)
Corners
4.1
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.2
(235 total)
Offsides
1.9
(43 total)
44
Played
16
Wins
10
Draws
18
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(59 total)
xG
1.10
(48.3 total)
Shots per Match
12
(528 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(31% acc)
Corners
4.6
(202 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.5
(460 total)
Offsides
1.8
(77 total)
23
Played
10
Wins
6
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(31 total)
xG
1.10
(24.9 total)
Shots per Match
11
(252 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(32% acc)
Corners
5.2
(119 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.3
(260 total)
Offsides
1.6
(36 total)
21
Played
9
Wins
3
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(32 total)
xG
1.20
(24.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.7
(203 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(33% acc)
Corners
3.2
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.3
(258 total)
Offsides
1.1
(24 total)
44
Played
19
Wins
9
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(63 total)
xG
1.10
(49.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(455 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(32% acc)
Corners
4.3
(187 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.8
(518 total)
Offsides
1.4
(60 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.57 vs 1.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.38%
0:1
6.89%
0:2
5.43%
0:3
2.85%
0:4
1.12%
0:5
0.35%
1
1:0
5.76%
1:1
10.18%
🔥
1:2
8.9%
1:3
5.14%
1:4
2.2%
1:5
0.75%
2
2:0
3.79%
2:1
7.43%
2:2
7.15%
2:3
4.51%
2:4
2.1%
2:5
0.77%
⭐
3
3:0
1.66%
3:1
3.58%
3:2
3.77%
3:3
2.58%
3:4
1.3%
3:5
0.52%
4
4:0
0.55%
4:1
1.28%
4:2
1.47%
4:3
1.09%
4:4
0.59%
4:5
0.25%
5
5:0
0.14%
5:1
0.37%
5:2
0.45%
5:3
0.36%
⭐
5:4
0.21%
⭐
5:5
0.1%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:1 (10.2%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for QPR vs Derby Saturday, Apr 25th, 2026 at 9:00 Football
AI Value Bets
3 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for QPR vs Derby Football 25 Apr, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 88% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for QPR vs Derby.
🏆 Match Winner — Derby @ 2.85 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby
Above League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1070.5%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Derby demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.65 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsQPR1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
QPR score (1.82/match) and concede (1.36/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 82% of matches (league avg: 60%)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 1182%
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
BTTS NoH2H
At least one team failed to score in their last 4 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡⚠️ Risk: QPR keep clean sheets in 80% of matches • BTTS Yes has value but carries defensive risk
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.90 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsQPR1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
QPR score 1.82 goals/match at home (+38% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1070.5%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Teams average combined 3.4 goals per match • Defensive consistency suggests Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — QPR Win or Draw @ 1.40 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — QPR Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.18 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsQPR
Above League AverageLeague
QPR score 1.82 goals/match at home (+38% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends11 / 1175%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡QPR's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 Trends — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends22 / 2290%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 2.6 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡QPR disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.25 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 Trends — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)Few CornersLeague
Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1076%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.25
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
QPR vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: QPR is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 QPR
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 QPR - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 QPR - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: QPR often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
- First Goal Home: High probability of QPR scoring first
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.102
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.049
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (QPR):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
QPR vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Sat 25 Apr, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
18
13
12
65
60
5
67
8
19
9
15
62
53
9
66
9
18
7
18
59
52
7
61
10
16
10
17
54
55
-1
58
11
16
10
17
58
65
-7
58
12
▲
17
6
20
61
59
2
57
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : QPR or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
QPR
VS
Derby
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (7)
0.8 (4)
xG
0.60
1.10
Shots
10.6 (53)
9.6 (48)
Shots on Target
3.8 (19)
2.6 (13)
Corners
6 (30)
4 (20)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 (4)
1.4 (7)
xGa
1.10
0.60
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 (6)
1.2 (6)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
10.6 (53)
11 (55)
Offsides
2.6 (13)
1.2 (6)
Last 6 Matches
QPR
VS
Derby
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.83
PPG
2.00
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
67%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.22
Avg xG
1.45
QPR vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for QPR and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
QPR
Derby
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
QPR
Derby
1
30%
3
60%
6
X
20%
2
0%
0
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
QPR
Derby
12
80%
8
100%
10
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
70%
7
40%
4
Total Goals
QPR
Derby
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
QPR
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
QPR
Derby
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
QPR
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
QPR
Derby
xG
0.99
1.66
xGa
1.21
0.85
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
QPR
Derby
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
QPR
Derby
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
QPR
Derby
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
QPR
Derby
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
QPR
Derby
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
QPR
Derby
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
QPR
Derby
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
QPR
Derby
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
QPR
Derby
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
QPR
Derby
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
1.51
xG
1.77
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, QPR will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 45 and will take place on 2026-04-25 at 2026-04-25 in the famous MATRADE Loftus Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, QPR, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : QPR or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-25
Time: 14:00
Location: MATRADE Loftus Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!