Login
Register
Norwich
3
1
QPR
QPR vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 25 April, 2026 9:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
6
8
4
23
20
3
26
11
7
5
6
25
25
0
26
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
13
7
4
7
22
28
-6
25
14
6
6
6
28
25
3
24
Last 6 Matches
QPR
VS
Derby
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.48
Avg xG
0.94
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.16
xG [Total: 2.18]
1.02
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
6
Corners [Total: 9]
4
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
13
Fouls [Total: 26]
13
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 6]
2
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, QPR will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 45 and will take place on 2026-04-25 at 2026-04-25 in the famous MATRADE Loftus Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, QPR, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-25
Time: 14:00
Location: MATRADE Loftus Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for QPR vs Derby Football 25 Apr, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
QPR create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for QPR vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
QPR(2 trends)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%QPR create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent11/1479%QPR have not won in 11 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
Derby(2 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
QPR(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/875%QPR score (1.38/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Derby score (1.44/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H4/580%At least one team failed to score in their last 4 Championship H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
QPR(2 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent11/1479%QPR scored 0-1 goals in 11 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
- Few GoalsRecent23/3077%QPR scored 0-1 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
QPR(1 trends)
- Not WinRecent11/1479%QPR have not won in 11 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/580%Derby are undefeated at half time in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs QPR
⚡ Team Total Goals
QPR(1 trends)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent14/14100%QPR rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 14 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Derby receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
QPR disciplined play balances Derby aggression — • H2H average: 2.6 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
QPR(1 trends) — avg 6.1 (+24% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%QPR average 6.1 corners/match at home (+24% above league avg 4.9)
Derby(2 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/976%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent12/1486%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
Combined average: 10.5 corners/match (QPR 6.1 + Derby 4.4)
+16 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
QPR vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: QPR is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Derby is stronger in the second half (12 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Derby is stronger in the second half (12 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 QPR
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 QPR - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 QPR - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: QPR is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider QPR to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Derby shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 5 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Derby winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Derby excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Derby scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.096
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.045
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (QPR):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
QPR vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Sat 25 Apr, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
QPR vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for QPR and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
QPR
Derby
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
1X2
1X2
QPR
Derby
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
QPR
Derby
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
QPR
Derby
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
QPR
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
QPR
Derby
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
QPR
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
QPR
Derby
xG
1.39
0.98
xGa
1.07
1.28
Number of goals
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
QPR
Derby
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
1X2
QPR
Derby
1
10%
1
70%
7
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
QPR
Derby
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
90%
9
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
QPR
Derby
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
QPR
Derby
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
QPR
Derby
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
1X2
QPR
Derby
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
QPR
Derby
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
QPR
Derby
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
QPR
Derby
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
QPR
Derby
Played:
5
Wins
3
3
Draws
0
0
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
1.4
Goals
0.8
4
4
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.4
7
6
1.2
Yellow Cards
1.2
6
0
Red Cards
0.2
1
2
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.4
2
30
6
Corners
4
20
53
10.6
Fouls
11
55
13
2.6
Offsides
1.2
6
53
10.6
Shots
9.6
48
19
3.8
Shots on Goal
2.6
13
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 11 | 1.1 | 11 | 1.2 | 22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 12 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.6 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 17 | 1.7 | 17 | 1.9 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 49 | 4 | 40 | 4.9 | 89 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 94 | 9.5 | 95 | 10.5 | 189 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 15 | 2.3 | 23 | 2.1 | 38 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 129 | 11 | 110 | 13.3 | 239 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.6 | 37 | 3 | 30 | 3.7 | 67 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |