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QPR
QPR vs Birmingham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 9 December, 2025 14:00
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ACCA Safe Tip
High Safety
Total - Away
Birmingham Under 1.5 Goals
Odds:
1.53
74.4%
EV: +13.8%
Risky Tip
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.12 vs 0.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
14.51%
⭐
0:1
11.78%
0:2
4.78%
0:3
1.29%
0:4
0.26%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
15.4%
🔥
⭐
1:1
13.35%
1:2
5.76%
1:3
1.65%
1:4
0.35%
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
8.17%
⭐
2:1
7.54%
2:2
3.45%
2:3
1.05%
2:4
0.24%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
2.89%
⭐
3:1
2.83%
3:2
1.37%
3:3
0.44%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
0.77%
4:1
0.79%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.14%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.16%
5:1
0.18%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
▲
7
7
4
30
19
11
28
8
▼
8
4
6
27
20
7
28
9
▼
8
4
6
30
30
0
28
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
13
7
4
7
22
28
-6
25
14
6
6
6
28
25
3
24
Last 6 Matches
QPR
VS
Birmingham
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.17
PPG
2.17
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.67
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.48
Avg xG
1.86
Missing Players
-
Injured - Hip injury
1.12
xG [Total: 1.99]
0.87
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
2
6
Corners [Total: 10]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
13
Fouls [Total: 25]
12
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 6]
2
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, QPR will take on Birmingham as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2025-12-09 at 2025-12-09 in the famous MATRADE Loftus Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, QPR, and the visiting side, Birmingham. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Birmingham.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-09
Time: 20:00
Location: MATRADE Loftus Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for QPR vs Birmingham Tuesday, Dec 9th, 2025 at 14:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for QPR vs Birmingham Football 9 Dec, 2025 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
QPR create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for QPR vs Birmingham, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — QPR @ 2.85 ✅ 
QPR
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%QPR create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
Birmingham
- Not WinRecent13/1587%Birmingham have not won in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
QPR confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
QPR(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/875%QPR score (1.38/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✅ 
QPR(2 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent11/1479%QPR scored 0-1 goals in 11 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
- Few GoalsRecent23/3077%QPR scored 0-1 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent14/1593%Birmingham scored 0-1 goals in 14 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (77% + 93%) • Low scoring patterns strongly support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — QPR Win or Draw @ 1.52 ⚠️
Birmingham
- Not WinRecent13/1587%Birmingham have not won in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
QPR confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — QPR Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.75 ⚠️ 
Birmingham
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
Despite Birmingham's form, Birmingham's defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
QPR(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H5/683%QPR receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 Championship matches vs Birmingham
Birmingham(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1889%Birmingham average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 1.8) — rank #4 in league
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 4.8 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.70 ⚠️
QPR(1 trends) — avg 6.1 (+24% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%QPR average 6.1 corners/match at home (+24% above league avg 4.9)
Birmingham(1 trends) — avg 4.1 (-20% below league)
- Few CornersH2H5/683%Birmingham win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 6 Championship matches vs QPR
QPR drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.70
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
QPR vs Birmingham
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Birmingham is stronger in the second half (14 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Birmingham is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Birmingham is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 QPR
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Birmingham
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 QPR - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Birmingham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 QPR - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Birmingham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Birmingham shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 5 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Birmingham winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Birmingham excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Birmingham scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Birmingham has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Birmingham handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.078
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.077
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (QPR):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Birmingham):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
QPR vs Birmingham Head-to-head statistics for Tue 9 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 Championship
QPR vs Birmingham: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for QPR and away matches for Birmingham
Number of goals
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
QPR
Birmingham
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
1X2
QPR
Birmingham
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
QPR
Birmingham
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
QPR
Birmingham
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
QPR
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
QPR
Birmingham
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
QPR
Birmingham
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
QPR
Birmingham
xG
1.39
1.54
xGa
1.07
0.89
Number of goals
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
QPR
Birmingham
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
QPR
Birmingham
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
50%
5
0%
0
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
QPR
Birmingham
12
50%
5
100%
10
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
QPR
Birmingham
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
QPR
Birmingham
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
QPR
Birmingham
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
QPR
Birmingham
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
QPR
Birmingham
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
QPR
Birmingham
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
QPR
Birmingham
Yes
70%
7
80%
8
No
30%
3
20%
2
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Birmingham
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 30.83% | Low | 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 69.17% | Medium | 1.47 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 21.67% | Low | 2.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 78.33% | High | 1.53 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 10.36% | Low | 7.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 89.64% | High | 1.12 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 5.81% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 94.19% | High | 1.13 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
QPR
Birmingham
Played:
6
Wins
3
3
Draws
1
1
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
6
1
Goals
0.8
5
5
0.8
Goals Conceded
1
6
15
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.3
14
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.5
3
37
6.2
Corners
2.7
16
64
10.7
Fouls
12.8
77
11
1.8
Offsides
1.8
11
75
12.5
Shots
10.5
63
26
4.3
Shots on Goal
2.8
17
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 11 | 1.1 | 11 | 1.2 | 22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 12 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.6 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 17 | 1.7 | 17 | 1.9 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 49 | 4 | 40 | 4.9 | 89 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 94 | 9.5 | 95 | 10.5 | 189 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 15 | 2.3 | 23 | 2.1 | 38 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 129 | 11 | 110 | 13.3 | 239 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.6 | 37 | 3 | 30 | 3.7 | 67 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.3 | 21 | 0.7 | 6 | 1.5 | 27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 8 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.1 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 36 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 50 | 4.4 | 40 | 5 | 90 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 115 | 11.3 | 102 | 12.1 | 217 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 12 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.3 | 24 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 151 | 9.6 | 86 | 13.2 | 237 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 45 | 2.1 | 19 | 3.6 | 64 |