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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 25
Preview
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
1st place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Monaco
Monaco
7th place
Form
AI Prediction Paris Saint Germain to Win
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 6 March, 2026 14:45

Winner (1x2)1.34
Paris Saint Germain to Win
Probability 85%
Total Goals1.33
Over 2.5
Probability 74%
Both Teams to Score2.45
No (NG)
Probability 50%
Paris Saint Germain Total1.25
Home Over 1.5
Probability 82%
Monaco Total1.32
Away Under 1.5
Probability 83%
Double Chance1.09
Paris Saint Germain/Draw
Probability 95%
Asian Handicap1.44
Paris Saint Germain -1
Probability 69%
Best Tip
Value
Match Winner Paris Saint Germain to Win
Odds 1.34
Win Prob. 84.7% EV: +13.5%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
14:45
Paris Saint Germain W 85%
:
Monaco W 5%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Paris Saint Germain
l w w d w
16 Played
12 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7 (43 total)
xG
2.00 (32.8 total)
Shots per Match
19.9 (318 total)
Shots on Target
7.3 (36% acc)
Corners
6.1 (98 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (63%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.1 (145 total)
Offsides
1.5 (24 total)
18 Played
11 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (36 total)
xG
1.80 (32.5 total)
Shots per Match
16.9 (304 total)
Shots on Target
6.3 (37% acc)
Corners
5.8 (104 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.1 (163 total)
Offsides
1.1 (19 total)
34 Played
23 Wins
6 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (79 total)
xG
1.90 (65.3 total)
Shots per Match
18.3 (622 total)
Shots on Target
6.7 (37% acc)
Corners
5.9 (202 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
15 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
9.1 (308 total)
Offsides
1.3 (43 total)
Monaco
w l w d w
18 Played
9 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (32 total)
xG
1.80 (31.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (231 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (36% acc)
Corners
5.1 (91 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (39%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
12.6 (226 total)
Offsides
2.1 (38 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (20 total)
xG
1.30 (20.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (182 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (32% acc)
Corners
4.4 (70 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
12.7 (203 total)
Offsides
1.6 (25 total)
34 Played
13 Wins
9 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (52 total)
xG
1.50 (51.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.1 (413 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (35% acc)
Corners
4.7 (161 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (8 total)
Fouls
12.6 (429 total)
Offsides
1.9 (63 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 3.17 vs 0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.64%
0:1
1.51%
0:2
0.43%
0:3
0.08%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
7.95%
1:1
4.97%
1:2
1.54%
1:3
0.32%
1:4
0.05%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
11.98%
2:1
8.11%
2:2
2.71%
2:3
0.6%
2:4
0.1%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
12.02%
🔥
3:1
8.77%
3:2
3.15%
3:3
0.74%
3:4
0.13%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
9.05%
4:1
7.08%
4:2
2.72%
4:3
0.68%
4:4
0.13%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
5.45%
5:1
4.55%
5:2
1.86%
5:3
0.5%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 3:0 (12.0%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.6%
0
9.5%
1
17.4%
2
21.8%
3
20.9%
4
16.3%
5
8.1%
6
2.7%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Paris Saint GermainHDPMonaco
38.3%
Low@ 3.19
-2.5
0.3%
Very Low
49.4%
Medium@ 2.57
-2
0.9%
Very Low
60.4%
High@ 1.97
-1.5
1.5%
@ 14.00Very Low
70.6%
High@ 1.55
-1
4.0%
@ 13.00Very Low
80.8%
Very High@ 1.35
-0.5
6.4%
@ 6.80Very Low
93.6%
Very High@ 1.10
+0.5
19.2%
@ 3.37Very Low
96.0%
Very High@ 1.02
+1
29.4%
@ 2.69Low
98.5%
Very High@ 1.02
+1.5
39.6%
@ 1.98Low
99.1%
Very High
+2
50.6%
@ 1.60Medium
99.7%
Very High
+2.5
61.7%
@ 1.42High

Team Total Predictions

Paris Saint GermainOutcomeMonaco
77.6%
High@ 1.29
Over 1.5
17.9%
@ 3.30Very Low
22.4%
Low@ 3.62
Under 1.5
82.1%
@ 1.39Very High
53.8%
Medium@ 1.92
Over 2.5
4.3%
@ 10.00Very Low
46.3%
Medium@ 1.91
Under 2.5
95.7%
@ 1.09Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Paris Saint Germain will take on Monaco as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 25 and will take place on 2026-03-06 at 2026-03-06 in the famous Parc des Princes. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris Saint Germain, and the visiting side, Monaco. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-06 Time: 19:45 Location: Parc des Princes Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Friday, Mar 6th, 2026 at 14:45 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

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Asian Handicap Paris Saint Germain -1.5
High Value
Prob: 60.4%
EV: +19.0%
Stake: $2.58
1.97
Correct Score 3:0
High Value
Prob: 10.8%
EV: +16.1%
Stake: $0.26
10.75
Match Winner Paris Saint Germain
Value
Prob: 84.7%
EV: +13.5%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Total Home Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 61.4%
EV: +11.7%
Stake: $3.05
1.82
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 83.4%
EV: +10.0%
Stake: $7.81
1.32
Asian Handicap Paris Saint Germain -1
Value
Prob: 70.6%
EV: +9.5%
Stake: $4.55
1.55
Premium Tip Monaco Under 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Home Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 82.5%
EV: +3.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.25
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-06 08:00:31
spinner

Trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Football 6 Mar, 2026 14:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Paris Saint Germain have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Paris Saint Germain score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Paris Saint Germain

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.16

✈️ Monaco

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Monaco - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Monaco - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Paris Saint Germain to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Paris Saint Germain excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Paris Saint Germain scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Paris Saint Germain has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Paris Saint Germain handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.18
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.081
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Monaco):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Paris Saint Germain
Monaco

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Head-to-head statistics for Fri 6 Mar, 2026 @ 14:45 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
24
18
3
3
53
19
34
57
2
Lens
w w w l d
>
24
17
2
5
45
21
24
53

6
Rennes
l l w w w
>
24
11
7
6
38
35
3
40
7
Monaco
w d w w w
>
24
11
4
9
40
36
4
37
8
Strasbourg
l l d w d
>
24
10
5
9
40
31
9
35
Team comparison
Prediction
Paris Saint Germain to Win
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Monaco
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
4 Wins
2 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (17)
1.4 (13)
xG
1.90
1.30
Shots
13.9 (125)
12.3 (111)
Shots on Target
6.2 (56)
5.4 (49)
Corners
3.9 (35)
4.3 (39)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (13)
1.9 (17)
xGa
1.30
1.90
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 (13)
2 (18)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
10.7 (96)
12.9 (116)
Offsides
1.4 (13)
3.2 (29)
25 Feb
- 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
2.13
xG
1.16
2
2
Prob 85%
Away Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.30
17 Feb
- 20:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1.19
xG
2.28
2
3
Prob 70%
Goals Total Over 2.5
Odd 1.55
29 Nov
- 16:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
0.52
xG
0.87
1
0
Prob 63%
Away Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.58
7 Feb
- 20:05
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
3.14
xG
1.00
4
1
18 Dec
- 20:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
2.48
xG
1.77
2
4
1 Mar
- 20:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
0
0
24 Nov
- 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
5
2
11 Feb
- 16:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
3
1
28 Aug
- 18:45
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
1
1
20 Mar
- 12:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
3
0
Last 6 Matches
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Monaco
4/6 (67%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
2.50 PPG 2.33
2.50 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
50% BTTS % 67%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
2.92 Avg xG 1.32
Paris Saint Germain
L W W D W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 20:05
LE Havre
0 1
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
2 2
Monaco
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Paris Saint Germain
3 0
Metz
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
17 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Monaco
2 3
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Rennes
3 1
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
5 0
Marseille
Monaco
W L W D W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Monaco
2 0
Angers
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
2 2
Monaco
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 16:00
Lens
2 3
Monaco
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
17 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Monaco
2 3
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Monaco
3 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 14:00
Nice
0 0
Monaco

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris Saint Germain and away matches for Monaco

Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
1
60% 6
40% 4
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
40% 4
60% 6
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
10% 1
4+
40% 4
60% 6
Total Corners
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
xG
2.43
1.25
xGa
0.94
1.26
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
0-1
50% 5
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
10% 1
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
40% 4
70% 7
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Missing Players
Paris Saint Germain
- Injured - Calf Injury
24
m
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
Monaco
27
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
3
d
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Calf Injury
10
m
- Injured - Calf Injury
22
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
14
f
- Injured - (questionable) Illness
3.23 xG 0.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
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