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Form
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
11th place
Form
VS
16:00
30 May 2026
Arsenal
Arsenal
1st place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Arsenal
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 30 May, 2026 11:00

Winner (1x2)-
Paris Saint Germain to Win
Probability 43%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 74%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 75%
Paris Saint Germain Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 65%
Arsenal Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 70%
Double Chance-
Paris Saint Germain/Draw
Probability 65%
Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
16:00
Paris Saint Germain W 43%
:
Arsenal W 35%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Paris Saint Germain
d d w w l
25 Played
18 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6 (66 total)
xG
1.90 (48.7 total)
Shots per Match
19 (476 total)
Shots on Target
6.8 (36% acc)
Corners
6.4 (160 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
13 (52%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.1 (228 total)
Offsides
1.5 (38 total)
25 Played
16 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (52 total)
xG
1.70 (43.7 total)
Shots per Match
15.5 (388 total)
Shots on Target
6.2 (40% acc)
Corners
5.2 (129 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
8.5 (213 total)
Offsides
1.3 (32 total)
50 Played
34 Wins
8 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (118 total)
xG
1.80 (92.4 total)
Shots per Match
17.3 (864 total)
Shots on Target
6.5 (38% acc)
Corners
5.8 (289 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
23 (46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
8.8 (441 total)
Offsides
1.4 (70 total)
Arsenal
d w w w w
26 Played
21 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (56 total)
xG
1.80 (46.7 total)
Shots per Match
15.8 (410 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (33% acc)
Corners
5.9 (154 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
16 (62%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.9 (257 total)
Offsides
1.8 (48 total)
26 Played
16 Wins
7 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (46 total)
xG
1.60 (41.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (324 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (39% acc)
Corners
5.1 (133 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
12 (46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.4 (271 total)
Offsides
1.3 (35 total)
52 Played
37 Wins
10 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (102 total)
xG
1.70 (87.8 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (734 total)
Shots on Target
5 (35% acc)
Corners
5.5 (287 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
28 (54%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.2 (528 total)
Offsides
1.6 (83 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.11 vs 1.90
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.53%
0:1
4.05%
0:2
3.24%
0:3
1.73%
0:4
0.69%
0:5
0.22%
1
1:0
4.58%
1:1
8.09%
🔥
1:2
7.08%
1:3
4.1%
1:4
1.77%
1:5
0.61%
2
2:0
4.15%
2:1
8.01%
2:2
7.62%
2:3
4.77%
2:4
2.22%
2:5
0.82%
3
3:0
2.5%
3:1
5.25%
3:2
5.4%
3:3
3.64%
3:4
1.82%
3:5
0.71%
4
4:0
1.13%
4:1
2.56%
4:2
2.84%
4:3
2.05%
4:4
1.09%
4:5
0.46%
5
5:0
0.41%
5:1
1%
5:2
1.18%
5:3
0.91%
5:4
0.52%
5:5
0.23%
Hotspot: 1:1 (8.1%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.5%
0
8.6%
1
15.5%
2
19.3%
3
18.8%
4
15.1%
5
10.3%
6
5.9%
7
2.7%
8
1.0%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Paris Saint GermainHDPArsenal
11.0%
Very Low
-2.5
7.4%
Very Low
17.5%
Very Low
-2
12.6%
Very Low
24.0%
Low
-1.5
17.7%
Very Low
33.7%
Low
-1
26.4%
Low
43.4%
Medium
-0.5
35.0%
Low
64.9%
High
+0.5
56.6%
Medium
73.6%
High
+1
66.2%
High
82.2%
Very High
+1.5
75.9%
High
87.4%
Very High
+2
82.4%
Very High
92.6%
Very High
+2.5
88.9%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Paris Saint GermainOutcomeArsenal
62.3%
High
Over 1.5
56.6%
Medium
37.7%
Low
Under 1.5
43.4%
Medium
35.3%
Low
Over 2.5
29.6%
Low
64.7%
High
Under 2.5
70.4%
High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal Saturday, May 30th, 2026 at 11:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal Football 30 May, 2026 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Arsenal have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

+6 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the second half (13 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Paris Saint Germain

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.17

✈️ Arsenal

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Arsenal - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Arsenal - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Paris Saint Germain often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Paris Saint Germain scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Paris Saint Germain shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Paris Saint Germain winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Paris Saint Germain excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Paris Saint Germain scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.144
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.119
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arsenal):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal Head-to-head statistics for Sat 30 May, 2026 @ 11:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Arsenal
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Arsenal
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (3)
1 (3)
xG
1.10
1.80
Shots
10.7 (32)
11.3 (34)
Shots on Target
4 (12)
4.7 (14)
Corners
2.7 (8)
3 (9)
Defense
Conceded
1 (3)
1 (3)
xGa
1.80
1.10
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (5)
2.3 (7)
Fouls
11.3 (34)
11 (33)
Offsides
1 (3)
2.7 (8)
7 May
- 19:00
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
1.74
xG
3.09
2
1
Prob 66%
Goals Total Over 2.5
Odd 1.88
29 Apr
- 19:00
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1.65
xG
1.14
0
1
1 Oct
- 19:00
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
0.76
xG
0.31
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Arsenal
3/6 (50%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
2.67 PPG 2.00
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.17
67% BTTS % 17%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.27 Avg xG 1.51
Paris Saint Germain
D D W W L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 May 2026 - 19:00
Paris FC
2 1
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 May 2026 - 19:00
Lens
0 2
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 May 2026 - 19:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 0
Stade Brestois 29
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
6 May 2026 - 19:00
Bayern München
1 1
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 May 2026 - 15:00
Paris Saint Germain
2 2
Lorient
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Paris Saint Germain
5 4
Bayern München
Arsenal
D W W W W
Premier League 2025-2026
18 May 2026 - 19:00
Arsenal
1 0
Burnley
Premier League 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 15:30
West Ham
0 1
Arsenal
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 May 2026 - 19:00
Arsenal
1 0
Atletico Madrid
Premier League 2025-2026
2 May 2026 - 16:30
Arsenal
3 0
Fulham
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
29 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Atletico Madrid
1 1
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
25 Apr 2026 - 16:30
Arsenal
1 0
Newcastle

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris Saint Germain and away matches for Arsenal

Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
1
60% 6
60% 6
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
40% 4
40% 4
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
0-1
10% 1
60% 6
2-3
70% 7
40% 4
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Total Corners
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
1X2 HT - FT
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
xG
1.66
1.44
xGa
1.23
0.92
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
10% 1
0% 0
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
90% 9
100% 10
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
0-1
50% 5
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Yes
70% 7
80% 8
No
30% 3
20% 2
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Yes
30% 3
0% 0
No
70% 7
100% 10
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
0-1
60% 6
100% 10
2-3
30% 3
0% 0
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
2.08 xG 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Paris Saint Germain will take on Arsenal as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-30 at 2026-05-30 in the famous . The referee for the game will be D. Siebert. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris Saint Germain, and the visiting side, Arsenal. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Arsenal. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-30 Time: 16:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!