Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Form
VS
20:00
26 Jul 2026
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
Form
Match Info -
1 - X - 2 -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 26 July, 2026 13:00

Winner (1x2)-
Palmeiras to Win
Probability 67%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 56%
Palmeiras Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 70%
Atletico-MG Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 97%
Double Chance-
Palmeiras/Draw
Probability 88%
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Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
• 20:00
Palmeiras W 57%
:
Atletico-MG W 17%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.91 vs 0.69
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.83%
0:1
4.69%
0:2
1.24%
0:3
0.22%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
15.46%
🔥
⭐
1:1
9.61%
⭐
1:2
2.92%
⭐
1:3
0.58%
⭐
1:4
0.09%
⭐
1:5
0.01%
⭐
2
2:0
13.53%
2:1
9.64%
⭐
2:2
3.32%
⭐
2:3
0.74%
⭐
2:4
0.12%
⭐
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
7.9%
⭐
3:1
6.35%
⭐
3:2
2.45%
⭐
3:3
0.61%
3:4
0.11%
⭐
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
3.46%
4:1
3.09%
⭐
4:2
1.33%
4:3
0.37%
⭐
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.01%
⭐
5
5:0
1.21%
⭐
5:1
1.19%
⭐
5:2
0.56%
5:3
0.17%
5:4
0.04%
⭐
5:5
0.01%
⭐
Hotspot: 1:0 (15.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.8%
0
20.1%
1
24.4%
2
20.7%
3
13.7%
4
7.6%
5
3.3%
6
1.1%
7
0.3%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

PalmeirasHDPAtletico-MG
19.6%
Very Low
-2.5
0.6%
Very Low
29.9%
Low
-2
1.8%
Very Low
40.3%
Medium
-1.5
3.1%
Very Low
53.4%
Medium
-1
7.6%
Very Low
66.6%
High
-0.5
12.2%
Very Low
87.8%
Very High
+0.5
33.4%
Low
92.4%
Very High
+1
46.6%
Medium
96.9%
Very High
+1.5
59.7%
Medium
98.2%
Very High
+2
70.1%
High
99.4%
Very High
+2.5
80.4%
Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

PalmeirasOutcomeAtletico-MG
56.9%
Medium
Over 1.5
15.2%
Very Low
43.1%
Medium
Under 1.5
84.8%
Very High
29.9%
Low
Over 2.5
3.3%
Very Low
70.1%
High
Under 2.5
96.7%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG Sunday, Jul 26th, 2026 at 13:00 Football

AI Value Bets

No value bets found for this match.(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG Football 26 Jul, 2026 13:00

Team Form Comparison

Palmeiras Home
Form Index 64
Goals 7:4
PPG 2.20
Atletico-MG Away
Form Index 43
Goals 7:5
PPG 1.20
BOTWGREWATLWSANDCRUD
FLULCHAWSANLCORLCRUW
3/5
Won
2/5
5/5
Scored
2/5
2/5
Scored 2+
2/5
1/5
Clean sheet
1/5
0/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
4/5
BTTS
1/5

Palmeiras

BOTWGREWATLWSANDCRUD
Won 3/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 0/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 4/5

Atletico-MG

FLULCHAWSANLCORLCRUW
Won 2/5
Scored 2/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 1/5
Head-to-Head · Last 3
BTTS 2/3
Over 2.5 3/3
Palmeiras unbeaten 3/3

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Palmeiras have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Palmeiras rarely concede quality chances (0.60 xGA avg) — disciplined defensive structure

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Palmeiras Home
Atletico-MG Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: Palmeiras is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
  • Second half: Atletico-MG is stronger (8 vs 4).
  • Final stage: Atletico-MG is stronger in the closing minutes (5 vs 2).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.17 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.07

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
6 0.30
Fast Start (0–15)
3 0.15
11 0.55
First Half (0–45)
8 0.40
4 0.20
Second Half (46–90)
8 0.40
2 0.10
Final Stage (76–90)
5 0.25

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.219 Strong
Pressure Home +0.007 Weak
Timing Away +0.003 Weak
Defense Home +0.030 Weak

Momentum

Palmeiras Metric Atletico-MG
2 Positive Sequences 1
7 Comeback Goals 3
1 Negative Sequences 3
8 Killer Goals 8

Pressure

Palmeiras Metric Atletico-MG
6 Early Pressure 3
2 Late Pressure 5
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Palmeiras Metric Atletico-MG
6 Fast Starts 3
5 Half-time Spurts 5
2 Second Half Starts 3
2 Late Surges 5

Defense

Palmeiras Metric Atletico-MG
3 Early Conceded 3
5 Late Conceded 9
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Home fast start: Palmeiras often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
  • First goal: high probability of Palmeiras scoring first.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Atletico-MG winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Atletico-MG excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Palmeiras holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Palmeiras

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Atletico-MG

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Palmeiras
Atletico-MG

Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG Head-to-head statistics for Sun 26 Jul, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR

8 Played 8
75% 6-2-0 Win Rate 25% 2-0-6
66 Form Index 47
7.01 Team Rating 6.75
77 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Palmeiras Atletico-MG Results 84 16 Attack 74 26 Defense 100 0 Control 50 50 Discipline 57 43 Efficiency 95 5 Average 77 23 23

Attack

1.88
Goals
1
1.17
Expected Goals
1.05
15.3
Shots
12.5
4.4
Shots on Target
4.1
6.3
Corners
5.5

Defense

0.75
Conceded
1.25
0.66
Expected Goals Against
1.11
10.4
Shots Allowed
14
+1.13
Goal Difference
-0.25
25%
Clean Sheets
13%

Possession & Passing

51%
Possession
52%
85%
Pass Accuracy
83%
394
Passes
408
336
Accurate Passes
340

Discipline

1.38
Yellow Cards
2.25
0.13
Red Cards
0.38
12.5
Fouls
10.9
2.4
Offsides
1.1

Efficiency

2.50
PPG
0.75
+0.71
Goals vs xG
-0.05
12%
Shot Conversion
8%
77%
Save %
64%

Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Palmeiras and away matches for Atletico-MG

Number of goals
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
0% 0
40% 4
Double Chance
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
100% 10
60% 6
X2
40% 4
50% 5
Total Goals
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
0% 0
40% 4
Total Corners
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
HT 1 - FT 1
60% 6
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
xG
0.8
1.31
xGa
0.67
1.17
Number of goals
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
60% 6
40% 4
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
40% 4
60% 6
Total Goals
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Number of goals
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
90% 9
30% 3
2
0% 0
40% 4
Double Chance
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
12
10% 1
70% 7
1X
100% 10
60% 6
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
1.56 Expected goals 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
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In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Palmeiras will take on Atletico-MG as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-26 at 2026-07-26 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Palmeiras, and the visiting side, Atletico-MG. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-07-26 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.