Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Football Match Stats & Results Sunday, 9 November, 2025 9:00

⚽ Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

Premier League 2025-2026 | Matchweek 11 | 2025-11-09 14:00:00

📋 Introduction

This match is crucial as both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, with Nottingham Forest positioned at 19th with 6 points and Leeds just above them in 16th with 11 points. The outcome of this fixture could significantly affect their standings, making it a vital encounter for both sides. A win for Nottingham Forest could see them leapfrog Leeds, while a victory for Leeds would provide them with breathing space from the relegation zone.

🏠 Nottingham Forest Analysis

Nottingham Forest is currently in a dire state, having recorded a recent form of DLLLL over their last five matches, with no victories. Their average goals scored stands at just 0.4 per match, while they concede a troubling 2 goals per match. The xG data indicates that they are underperforming, with an expected goals (xG) of 1.47 but only managing to score 4 goals in their last 10 matches. Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Manchester United, which may provide a psychological boost, but they face a pressing challenge in their upcoming match against Liverpool. At home, they’ve only managed 1 win in their last 5 games, scoring just 1 goal while conceding 2 per match on average.

✈️ Leeds Analysis

Leeds, on the other hand, has also struggled recently, with a form of LWLLD in their last five matches. They average 1 goal scored per match but concede 2 goals, which reflects their defensive vulnerabilities. Their xG data shows a slight overperformance in their goal-scoring, as their expected goals (xG) is 1.09. They suffered a heavy defeat in their last match, losing 3-0 to Brighton, which could impact their morale going into this fixture. Leeds has been particularly poor away from home, with an away form of LLWLL, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals while conceding 2.4 goals per match, highlighting their struggles outside of their home ground.

🔄 Head-to-Head

Historically, Nottingham Forest and Leeds have had a competitive rivalry, with each team winning once in their last two encounters. The average goals per head-to-head match stands at 2, indicating a tendency for matches to have at least a couple of goals. The last two results were 2-1 and 1-0, suggesting that these matches are often closely contested.

🔑 Key Factors

Statistically, Nottingham Forest's home advantage could play a crucial role in this match. The data indicates a 45.6% probability of them winning at home, compared to Leeds’ 25.6% away victory chances. Both teams have shown defensive frailties, with the potential for goals. However, the high percentage of 90.4% for Leeds to score under 2.5 goals away may limit their attacking threat. The tactical battle may hinge on which team can effectively exploit the other's defensive weaknesses while managing to improve their goal-scoring outputs.

🎯 AI Prediction

Given the current form and statistical analysis, the expected result leans towards a home victory for Nottingham Forest with a 45.6% probability. The predicted scoreline is likely to be 1-0 or 2-1 in favor of Nottingham Forest, as they strive to capitalize on their home advantage while Leeds' away form raises concerns. The confidence level in this prediction is moderate, considering the statistical data provided.

⚽ Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

Premier League 2025-2026 | Matchweek 11 | 2025-11-09 14:00:00

📋 Introduction

This match is crucial as both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, with Nottingham Forest positioned at 19th with 6 points and Leeds just above them in 16th with 11 points. The outcome of this fixture could significantly affect their standings, making it a vital encounter for both sides. A win for Nottingham Forest could see them leapfrog Leeds, while a victory for Leeds would provide them with breathing space from the relegation zone.

🏠 Nottingham Forest Analysis

Nottingham Forest is currently in a dire state, having recorded a recent form of DLLLL over their last five matches, with no victories. Their average goals scored stands at just 0.4 per match, while they concede a troubling 2 goals per match. The xG data indicates that they are underperforming, with an expected goals (xG) of 1.47 but only managing to score 4 goals in their last 10 matches. Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Manchester United, which may provide a psychological boost, but they face a pressing challenge in their upcoming match against Liverpool. At home, they’ve only managed 1 win in their last 5 games, scoring just 1 goal while conceding 2 per match on average.

✈️ Leeds Analysis

Leeds, on the other hand, has also struggled recently, with a form of LWLLD in their last five matches. They average 1 goal scored per match but concede 2 goals, which reflects their defensive vulnerabilities. Their xG data shows a slight overperformance in their goal-scoring, as their expected goals (xG) is 1.09. They suffered a heavy defeat in their last match, losing 3-0 to Brighton, which could impact their morale going into this fixture. Leeds has been particularly poor away from home, with an away form of LLWLL, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals while conceding 2.4 goals per match, highlighting their struggles outside of their home ground.

🔄 Head-to-Head

Historically, Nottingham Forest and Leeds have had a competitive rivalry, with each team winning once in their last two encounters. The average goals per head-to-head match stands at 2, indicating a tendency for matches to have at least a couple of goals. The last two results were 2-1 and 1-0, suggesting that these matches are often closely contested.

🔑 Key Factors

Statistically, Nottingham Forest's home advantage could play a crucial role in this match. The data indicates a 45.6% probability of them winning at home, compared to Leeds’ 25.6% away victory chances. Both teams have shown defensive frailties, with the potential for goals. However, the high percentage of 90.4% for Leeds to score under 2.5 goals away may limit their attacking threat. The tactical battle may hinge on which team can effectively exploit the other's defensive weaknesses while managing to improve their goal-scoring outputs.

🎯 AI Prediction

Given the current form and statistical analysis, the expected result leans towards a home victory for Nottingham Forest with a 45.6% probability. The predicted scoreline is likely to be 1-0 or 2-1 in favor of Nottingham Forest, as they strive to capitalize on their home advantage while Leeds' away form raises concerns. The confidence level in this prediction is moderate, considering the statistical data provided.