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4 Jan 2026-15:00
Norwich
Norwich
23rd place
- : -
4 Jan 2026 9:00
Stoke City
Stoke City
8th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Norwich vs Stoke City: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 9:00

1×2 Prediction
Norwich
50%27%23%
NorwichDrawStoke City
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
56%44%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
50%50%
YesNo
Team Total - Norwich
Under 2.5
81%19%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Stoke City
Under 2.5
93%7%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Norwich/Draw
77%23%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Norwich +2.5
98%2%
Home +2.5NOT Home +2.5

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
9:00
Norwich W 50%
:
Stoke City W 23%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.50 vs 0.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.6%
0:1
8.14%
0:2
3.45%
0:3
0.98%
0:4
0.21%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
13.43%
🔥
1:1
12.36%
1:2
5.66%
1:3
1.72%
1:4
0.39%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
9.38%
2:1
9.33%
2:2
4.59%
2:3
1.49%
2:4
0.36%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
4.37%
3:1
4.67%
3:2
2.45%
3:3
0.85%
3:4
0.22%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
1.53%
4:1
1.74%
4:2
0.98%
4:3
0.36%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.43%
5:1
0.52%
5:2
0.31%
5:3
0.12%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.4%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.6%
0
21.6%
1
25.2%
2
20.3%
3
12.7%
4
6.5%
5
2.8%
6
1.0%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
QPR
l w w l w
>
22
10
4
8
32
34
-2
34
8
Stoke City
l l l w l
>
22
10
3
9
28
21
7
33
9
Bristol City
w l d l w
>
22
9
6
7
30
24
6
33

22
Oxford United
w l d l l
>
22
4
7
11
22
31
-9
19
23
Norwich
w l d w d
>
22
4
6
12
25
35
-10
18
24
21
1
6
14
16
43
-27
9
0.99 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Norwich
VS
Stoke City
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
1.50 PPG 1.00
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
100% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.21 Avg xG 0.47
Norwich
W L D W D
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Preston
1 1
Norwich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Norwich
2 1
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Sheffield Utd
1 1
Norwich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Watford
3 2
Norwich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Norwich
3 1
QPR
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Norwich
1 1
Oxford United
Stoke City
L L L W L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Watford
1 0
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Stoke City
2 1
Swansea
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Ipswich
1 0
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Sheffield Utd
4 0
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 12:30
Stoke City
1 2
Hull City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Stoke City
3 0
Charlton
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Norwich will take on Stoke City as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Carrow Road. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Norwich, and the visiting side, Stoke City. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Norwich or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-04 Time: 15:00 Location: Carrow Road Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Norwich vs Stoke City Sunday, Jan 4th, 2026 at 9:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Norwich vs Stoke City Football 4 Jan, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 70% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Stoke City struggle to score — failed to find net in 9/12 recent away matches

🎯 Betting Analysis

Norwich vs Stoke City

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Norwich is stronger in the second half (11 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Norwich is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Norwich

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Stoke City

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Norwich - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Stoke City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Norwich - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Stoke City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Norwich shows superior performance after the break (11 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Norwich winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Norwich excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Norwich scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Stoke City has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Stoke City handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.141
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.004
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Norwich):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Stoke City):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Norwich
Stoke City

Norwich vs Stoke City Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship

Norwich vs Stoke City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Norwich and away matches for Stoke City

Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Stoke City
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Norwich
Stoke City
Yes
90% 9
40% 4
No
10% 1
60% 6
1X2
Norwich
Stoke City
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
0% 0
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Norwich
Stoke City
12
60% 6
100% 10
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Norwich
Stoke City
0-1
0% 0
30% 3
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Total Corners
Norwich
Under
Over
Stoke City
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Stoke City
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Norwich
Stoke City
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Norwich
Stoke City
xG
1.3
0.9
xGa
1.65
1.14
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Stoke City
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Norwich
Stoke City
Yes
30% 3
0% 0
No
70% 7
100% 10
1X2
Norwich
Stoke City
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Norwich
Stoke City
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Norwich
Stoke City
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
10% 1
50% 5
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Stoke City
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Stoke City
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Norwich
Stoke City
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Norwich
Stoke City
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Norwich
Stoke City
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Norwich
Stoke City
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Stoke City
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Norwich or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
9.3%
Low
N/A
1.8%
Low
N/A
-2
16.8%
Low
N/A
4.6%
Low
N/A
-1.5
24.4%
Low
N/A
7.3%
Low
N/A
-1
37.1%
Low
N/A
15.1%
Low
N/A
-0.5
49.8%
Low
N/A
22.8%
Low
N/A
+0.5
77.2%
High
N/A
50.2%
Medium
N/A
+1
84.9%
High
N/A
62.9%
Medium
N/A
+1.5
92.7%
High
N/A
75.6%
High
N/A
+2
95.4%
High
N/A
83.2%
High
N/A
+2.5
98.2%
High
N/A
90.7%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.544.22%LowN/A
Under 1.555.78%MediumN/A
AwayOver 1.524.59%LowN/A
Under 1.575.41%HighN/A
HomeOver 2.519.12%LowN/A
Under 2.580.88%HighN/A
AwayOver 2.57.13%LowN/A
Under 2.592.87%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
27 Sep
- 14:00
Stoke City
Norwich
1.77
xG
1.32
1
1
Prob 74%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.84
22 Feb
- 15:00
Norwich
Stoke City
2.87
xG
1.65
4
2
19 Oct
- 14:00
Stoke City
Norwich
1.25
xG
1.52
1
1
16 Mar
- 15:00
Stoke City
Norwich
0
3
16 Sep
- 14:00
Norwich
Stoke City
1
0
18 Mar
- 15:00
Stoke City
Norwich
0
0
29 Oct
- 14:00
Norwich
Stoke City
3
1
club logo
Norwich
Stoke City
Played: 7
Wins
4
Draws
3
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
13
1.9
Goals
0.7
5
5
0.7
Goals Conceded
1.9
13
12
1.7
Yellow Cards
1.1
8
0
Red Cards
0
3
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.1
1
31
4.4
Corners
6.9
48
62
8.9
Fouls
10.7
75
9
1.3
Offsides
2.4
17
87
12.4
Shots
14
98
36
5.1
Shots on Goal
4.3
30
Home Away All
Played 10 12 22
Wins 2 2 4
Draws 1 5 6
Losses 7 5 12
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.1 11 1.2 14 1.1 25
Goals Conceded 1.6 16 1.6 19 1.6 35
Yellow Cards 1.2 12 2.6 31 2 43
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0 1
Clean Sheets 0 0.1 1 0 1
Corners 5.2 52 4.7 56 4.9 108
Fouls 9.2 92 9.9 119 9.6 211
Offsides 2.2 22 1.8 22 2 44
Shots 13.6 136 10.8 130 12.1 266
Shots on Goal 4 40 3.5 42 3.7 82
Home Away All
Played 10 12 22
Wins 6 4 10
Draws 1 2 3
Losses 3 6 9
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.7 17 0.9 11 1.3 28
Goals Conceded 0.8 8 1.1 13 1 21
Yellow Cards 1.7 17 2.1 25 1.9 42
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 3 0.3 4 0.3 7
Corners 5.8 58 5.1 61 5.4 119
Fouls 10.9 109 10.7 128 10.8 237
Offsides 3.3 33 2.8 33 3 66
Shots 12.3 123 10.2 122 11.1 245
Shots on Goal 4.6 46 3.2 38 3.8 84
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