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Form
Form
Championship 2025-2026 • Matchweek 33
Preview
Norwich
Norwich
17th place
Form
VS
15:00
21 Feb 2026
Birmingham
Birmingham
11th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Norwich or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Norwich vs Birmingham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 9:00

Winner (1x2)2.65
Norwich to Win
Probability 53%
Total Goals1.92
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score1.77
Yes
Probability 62%
Norwich Total1.15
Home Under 2.5
Probability 80%
Birmingham Total1.55
Away Under 1.5
Probability 72%
Double Chance1.50
Norwich/Draw
Probability 81%
Asian Handicap1.52
Norwich +0.5
Probability 76%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
15:00
Norwich W 46%
:
Birmingham W 25%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Norwich
w w l w w
16 Played
6 Wins
1 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (21 total)
xG
1.10 (17.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (216 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (32% acc)
Corners
5.3 (85 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.2 (147 total)
Offsides
2.1 (34 total)
17 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (26 total)
xG
1.10 (19.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (172 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (37% acc)
Corners
4.2 (71 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.2 (173 total)
Offsides
1.9 (33 total)
33 Played
12 Wins
6 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (47 total)
xG
1.10 (37.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (388 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (35% acc)
Corners
4.7 (156 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.7 (320 total)
Offsides
2 (67 total)
Birmingham
w d w w d
16 Played
8 Wins
7 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (30 total)
xG
1.80 (28.4 total)
Shots per Match
17.7 (283 total)
Shots on Target
5.1 (29% acc)
Corners
6.4 (103 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.7 (187 total)
Offsides
1.7 (27 total)
17 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (16 total)
xG
0.90 (15.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (175 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (23% acc)
Corners
4.6 (78 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.2 (190 total)
Offsides
1.5 (25 total)
33 Played
13 Wins
10 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (46 total)
xG
1.30 (44.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.9 (458 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (27% acc)
Corners
5.5 (181 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
11.4 (377 total)
Offsides
1.6 (52 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.65 vs 1.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.74%
0:1
6.95%
0:2
2.76%
0:3
0.73%
0:4
0.15%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
12.1%
🔥
1:1
11.94%
1:2
5.67%
1:3
1.75%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
8.38%
2:1
9.87%
2:2
5.51%
2:3
1.96%
2:4
0.51%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
3.87%
3:1
5.3%
3:2
3.41%
3:3
1.39%
3:4
0.41%
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
1.34%
4:1
2.09%
4:2
1.53%
4:3
0.71%
4:4
0.23%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.37%
5:1
0.65%
5:2
0.54%
5:3
0.28%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 1:0 (12.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.7%
0
19.1%
1
23.1%
2
20.1%
3
14.0%
4
8.3%
5
4.1%
6
1.7%
7
0.6%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

NorwichHDPBirmingham
8.7%
Very Low@ 10.50
-2.5
1.9%
@ 11.00Very Low
16.0%
Very Low@ 9.20
-2
4.8%
@ 9.80Very Low
23.3%
Low@ 5.25
-1.5
7.7%
@ 5.50Very Low
35.9%
Low@ 4.36
-1
15.7%
@ 4.53Very Low
48.5%
Medium@ 2.62
-0.5
23.7%
@ 2.68Low
76.3%
High@ 1.52
+0.5
51.5%
@ 1.53Medium
84.3%
Very High@ 1.21
+1
64.1%
@ 1.22High
92.3%
Very High@ 1.15
+1.5
76.7%
@ 1.16High
95.2%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
84.0%
@ 1.00Very High
98.1%
Very High@ 1.03
+2.5
91.3%
@ 1.03Very High

Team Total Predictions

NorwichOutcomeBirmingham
44.3%
Medium@ 2.43
Over 1.5
27.8%
@ 2.49Low
55.7%
Medium@ 1.57
Under 1.5
72.2%
@ 1.55High
20.2%
Low@ 5.50
Over 2.5
9.0%
@ 6.00Very Low
79.8%
High@ 1.15
Under 2.5
91.0%
@ 1.14Very High
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Norwich will take on Birmingham as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Carrow Road. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Norwich, and the visiting side, Birmingham. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Norwich or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-21 Time: 15:00 Location: Carrow Road Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Norwich vs Birmingham Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 9:00 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Match Winner Norwich
High Value
Prob: 52.7%
EV: +39.7%
Stake: $1.52
2.65
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 81%
EV: +21.5%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Away Total Birmingham Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 72.2%
EV: +11.9%
Stake: $4.55
1.55
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 61.7%
EV: +9.3%
Stake: $3.25
1.77
Correct Score 1:0
Value
Prob: 12%
EV: +8.1%
Stake: $0.31
9.00
Asian Handicap Norwich +1.5
Value
Prob: 92.3%
EV: +6.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.15
Win to Nil Birmingham NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 88.8%
EV: +3.9%
Stake: $10.00
1.17
Asian Handicap Norwich +1
Value
Prob: 84.3%
EV: +2.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.21
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-16 18:04:14
spinner

Trends for Norwich vs Birmingham Football 21 Feb, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 70% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Norwich vs Birmingham

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Birmingham is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
⏰ First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Norwich

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.1

✈️ Birmingham

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Norwich - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Birmingham - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Norwich - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Birmingham - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Birmingham often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Birmingham scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider Birmingham to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Norwich has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Norwich handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.162
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Norwich):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Birmingham):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Norwich
Birmingham

Norwich vs Birmingham Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
Southampton
w d w w w
>
32
12
10
10
48
44
4
46
11
Birmingham
w d w w d
>
32
12
10
10
43
39
4
46
12
Watford
d l d l d
>
32
11
12
9
41
38
3
45

16
Swansea
w l w w l
>
32
12
6
14
38
39
-1
42
17
Norwich
w w l w w
>
32
11
6
15
42
42
0
39
18
Charlton
l l w d w
>
31
10
9
12
30
38
-8
39
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Norwich or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Norwich
VS
Birmingham
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (8)
1.4 (7)
xG
1.40
3.40
Shots
12.8 (64)
11.8 (59)
Shots on Target
4.8 (24)
3 (15)
Corners
5.8 (29)
4 (20)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (7)
1.6 (8)
xGa
3.40
1.40
Clean Sheets
1 (20%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (8)
2 (10)
Fouls
8.8 (44)
10.8 (54)
Offsides
2.4 (12)
1 (5)
22 Nov
- 15:00
Birmingham
Norwich
3.39
xG
1.38
4
1
Prob 63%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.65
4 May
- 11:30
Birmingham
Norwich
1
0
30 Sep
- 14:00
Norwich
Birmingham
2
0
21 Feb
- 19:45
Norwich
Birmingham
3
1
30 Aug
- 18:45
Birmingham
Norwich
1
2
Last 6 Matches
Norwich
VS
Birmingham
5/6 (83%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
2.50 PPG 2.00
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.50
33% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.16 Avg xG 1.52
Norwich
W W L W W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Oxford United
0 3
Norwich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 12:31
Norwich
2 0
Blackburn
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Middlesbrough
1 0
Norwich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Norwich
2 1
Coventry
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Jan 2026 - 19:45
West Brom
0 5
Norwich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Wrexham
1 2
Norwich
Birmingham
W D W W D
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Birmingham
0 0
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 15:01
Birmingham
2 1
Leicester
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Oxford United
0 2
Birmingham
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Birmingham
1 1
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Sheffield Wednesday
0 2
Birmingham
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Swansea
1 1
Birmingham

Norwich vs Birmingham: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Norwich and away matches for Birmingham

Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Norwich
Birmingham
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
Norwich
Birmingham
1
70% 7
50% 5
X
0% 0
40% 4
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Norwich
Birmingham
12
100% 10
60% 6
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
30% 3
50% 5
Total Goals
Norwich
Birmingham
0-1
20% 2
10% 1
2-3
60% 6
70% 7
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
Norwich
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Birmingham
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Norwich
Birmingham
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Norwich
Birmingham
xG
1.06
1.29
xGa
0.98
0.89
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Norwich
Birmingham
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Norwich
Birmingham
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Norwich
Birmingham
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Norwich
Birmingham
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Birmingham
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Norwich
Birmingham
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Norwich
Birmingham
1
70% 7
40% 4
X
10% 1
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Norwich
Birmingham
12
90% 9
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
30% 3
60% 6
Total Goals
Norwich
Birmingham
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Birmingham
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Missing Players
Norwich
- Injured - Back Injury
15
m
- Injured - Jumpers knee
Birmingham
1.11 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
No Posts Found