Newcastle vs Leeds Football Match Stats & Results Wednesday, 7 January, 2026 14:15

Newcastle vs Leeds: Premier League Match Preview

A Crucial Clash in the Mid-Table Battle

This Matchweek 21 encounter sees Newcastle, currently sitting 9th with 29 points, hosting Leeds in 16th place with 22 points. With both teams eager to solidify their positions in the league, the stakes are high for this pivotal clash. A win for Newcastle could push them closer to the European spots, while Leeds desperately needs points to avoid falling into the relegation zone.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams enter this match with mixed results recently, making for an intriguing matchup.

• Newcastle: The Magpies are showing resilience at home, boasting an unbeaten record with three wins and two draws in their last five home matches. Their recent form overall has been shaky, but a solid victory against Crystal Palace last time out will boost their confidence.
• Leeds: The Whites have struggled to secure wins lately, with a streak of four draws and just one win in their last five matches. Their away form has been particularly concerning, managing only three draws and two losses in their last five away games, indicating they have been vulnerable on the road.

Head-to-Head

The recent history between these two sides reveals a balanced rivalry, with Newcastle winning only once in their last seven encounters. The last five results have featured a notable trend of low-scoring matches, including three draws and two wins for Leeds, suggesting that neither side has dominated in recent meetings.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

This match will likely see Newcastle try to assert their dominance at home, utilizing their attacking midfielders like Bruno Guimarães, who has been pivotal in creating chances. Leeds, on the other hand, will need to rely on a solid defensive showing from players like E. Ampadu to contain Newcastle's threats. The tactical battle will hinge on Newcastle's ability to break down Leeds' defense while the visitors will aim for quick counter-attacks to exploit any gaps left by the home side.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win
Predicted Score: 2:1
Reasoning: Based on Newcastle's superior home form and Leeds' struggles away, the statistical model favors a Newcastle victory. The xG statistics also support this, indicating Newcastle's attacking prowess at home against Leeds' vulnerability on the road.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions provides some promising betting opportunities.

• Safe Bet (High Confidence): Total - Home - Over 1.5 @ 1.77 (Probability: 71.9%).
• Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.89 (Probability: 68%, +18% value vs. 53% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Newcastle vs Leeds: Premier League Match Preview

A Crucial Clash in the Mid-Table Battle

This Matchweek 21 encounter sees Newcastle, currently sitting 9th with 29 points, hosting Leeds in 16th place with 22 points. With both teams eager to solidify their positions in the league, the stakes are high for this pivotal clash. A win for Newcastle could push them closer to the European spots, while Leeds desperately needs points to avoid falling into the relegation zone.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams enter this match with mixed results recently, making for an intriguing matchup.

• Newcastle: The Magpies are showing resilience at home, boasting an unbeaten record with three wins and two draws in their last five home matches. Their recent form overall has been shaky, but a solid victory against Crystal Palace last time out will boost their confidence.
• Leeds: The Whites have struggled to secure wins lately, with a streak of four draws and just one win in their last five matches. Their away form has been particularly concerning, managing only three draws and two losses in their last five away games, indicating they have been vulnerable on the road.

Head-to-Head

The recent history between these two sides reveals a balanced rivalry, with Newcastle winning only once in their last seven encounters. The last five results have featured a notable trend of low-scoring matches, including three draws and two wins for Leeds, suggesting that neither side has dominated in recent meetings.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

This match will likely see Newcastle try to assert their dominance at home, utilizing their attacking midfielders like Bruno Guimarães, who has been pivotal in creating chances. Leeds, on the other hand, will need to rely on a solid defensive showing from players like E. Ampadu to contain Newcastle's threats. The tactical battle will hinge on Newcastle's ability to break down Leeds' defense while the visitors will aim for quick counter-attacks to exploit any gaps left by the home side.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win
Predicted Score: 2:1
Reasoning: Based on Newcastle's superior home form and Leeds' struggles away, the statistical model favors a Newcastle victory. The xG statistics also support this, indicating Newcastle's attacking prowess at home against Leeds' vulnerability on the road.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions provides some promising betting opportunities.

• Safe Bet (High Confidence): Total - Home - Over 1.5 @ 1.77 (Probability: 71.9%).
• Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.89 (Probability: 68%, +18% value vs. 53% implied).

Bet responsibly.