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Crystal Palace
Newcastle vs Leeds: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 7 January, 2026 14:15
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13
Played
8
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(24 total)
xG
1.80
(22.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(166 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(43% acc)
Corners
6.9
(90 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.9
(142 total)
Offsides
2
(26 total)
13
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(17 total)
xG
1.20
(16.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(160 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(34% acc)
Corners
5.2
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
7.3
(95 total)
Offsides
0.6
(8 total)
26
Played
11
Wins
6
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(41 total)
xG
1.50
(38.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(326 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(39% acc)
Corners
6.1
(158 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.1
(237 total)
Offsides
1.3
(34 total)
10
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(18 total)
xG
1.70
(17.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(148 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(31% acc)
Corners
5.2
(52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.4
(104 total)
Offsides
1.6
(16 total)
10
Played
1
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(8 total)
xG
1.00
(9.7 total)
Shots per Match
10
(100 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(33% acc)
Corners
3.7
(37 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(107 total)
Offsides
1.5
(15 total)
20
Played
5
Wins
7
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(26 total)
xG
1.30
(26.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.4
(248 total)
Shots on Target
4
(32% acc)
Corners
4.5
(89 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.6
(211 total)
Offsides
1.6
(31 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.53 vs 1.09
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.01%
0:1
3.07%
0:2
1.56%
0:3
0.53%
0:4
0.14%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
7.4%
1:1
7.76%
1:2
4.06%
1:3
1.42%
1:4
0.37%
1:5
0.08%
2
2:0
9.1%
2:1
9.8%
🔥
2:2
5.27%
2:3
1.89%
⭐
2:4
0.51%
⭐
2:5
0.11%
⭐
3
3:0
7.46%
⭐
3:1
8.25%
⭐
3:2
4.55%
⭐
3:3
1.67%
⭐
3:4
0.46%
⭐
3:5
0.1%
⭐
4
4:0
4.59%
⭐
4:1
5.2%
⭐
4:2
2.94%
⭐
4:3
1.11%
⭐
4:4
0.31%
⭐
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
2.26%
⭐
5:1
2.62%
⭐
5:2
1.52%
⭐
5:3
0.59%
⭐
5:4
0.17%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Newcastle will take on Leeds as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-01-07 at 2026-01-07 in the famous St. James' Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Newcastle, and the visiting side, Leeds. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Newcastle or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-07
Time: 20:15
Location: St. James' Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Newcastle vs Leeds Wednesday, Jan 7th, 2026 at 14:15 Football
Value Bets
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Newcastle vs Leeds Football 7 Jan, 2026 14:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 78% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Newcastle create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Newcastle vs Leeds, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Newcastle @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
Newcastle
- Above League AverageLeague9/973.5%Newcastle score 1.78 goals/match at home (+27% above league average)
Newcastle demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.83 ⚠️ 
Newcastle(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Newcastle score (1.78/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ⚠️
Newcastle(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/973.5%Newcastle score 1.78 goals/match at home (+27% above league average)
Combined 1.8 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Newcastle Win or Draw @ 1.20 ⚠️ 
Newcastle
- Undefeated at HTRecent14/1878%Newcastle are undefeated at half time in 14 of their last 18 Premier League matches
Newcastle demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Newcastle Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.77 ⚠️
Newcastle
- Above League AverageLeague9/973.5%Newcastle score 1.78 goals/match at home (+27% above league average)
Newcastle's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.75 ✅ 
Newcastle(1 trends) — avg 1.4 (-26% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Newcastle average 1.4 cards/match in all matches (-27% below league avg 1.9) — rank #2 lowest in league
Leeds(2 trends) — avg 1.9
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Leeds receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Leeds average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-22% below league avg 1.9) — rank #3 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.0 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.75
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.71 ⚠️
Newcastle(1 trends) — avg 7.1 (+47% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/985%Newcastle average 7.1 corners/match at home (+47% above league avg 4.8)
Leeds(1 trends) — avg 4.2 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/977%Leeds average 4.2 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.8)
Combined average: 11.3 corners/match (Newcastle 7.1 + Leeds 4.2) • Newcastle dominance pushes total over threshold
+15 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Newcastle vs Leeds
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Leeds is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Newcastle is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Newcastle is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Newcastle is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Newcastle is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Newcastle
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Leeds
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Newcastle - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Leeds - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Newcastle - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Leeds - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Leeds often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Leeds scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Leeds to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Newcastle shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Newcastle winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Newcastle excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 7 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Newcastle scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Newcastle has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Newcastle handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.018
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.035
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.083 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Newcastle):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Leeds):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Newcastle vs Leeds Head-to-head statistics for Wed 7 Jan, 2026 @ 14:15 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
7
9
4
21
19
2
30
9
8
5
7
28
24
4
29
10
7
7
6
30
27
3
28
15
5
8
7
31
38
-7
23
16
5
7
8
26
33
-7
22
17
6
3
12
21
34
-13
21
Team comparison
Prediction
Newcastle Over 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Newcastle
VS
Leeds
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
4
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (7)
1.4 (10)
xG
0.40
0.60
Shots
15.1 (106)
13.7 (96)
Shots on Target
4.4 (31)
4.4 (31)
Corners
6.3 (44)
4.6 (32)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (10)
1 (7)
xGa
0.60
0.40
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (12)
3.1 (22)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
11.9 (83)
12.9 (90)
Offsides
1.3 (9)
0.9 (6)
Last 6 Matches
Newcastle
VS
Leeds
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
5/6 (83%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.67
PPG
1.33
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
50%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.60
Avg xG
1.58
Newcastle vs Leeds: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Newcastle and away matches for Leeds
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Leeds
Yes
70%
7
90%
9
No
30%
3
10%
1
1X2
Newcastle
Leeds
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Newcastle
Leeds
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Newcastle
Leeds
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
50%
5
50%
5
Total Corners
Newcastle
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Leeds
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Newcastle
Leeds
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Newcastle
Leeds
xG
1.68
1.6
xGa
1.04
1.57
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Leeds
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Newcastle
Leeds
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Newcastle
Leeds
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Newcastle
Leeds
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Leeds
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Leeds
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
Newcastle
Leeds
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Newcastle
Leeds
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Newcastle
Leeds
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
70%
7
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Leeds
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
2.13
xG
1.11
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
8
7
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1
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