Form
Form
Premier League 2026-2027 • Matchweek 7
Preview
Newcastle
Newcastle
15th place
Form
VS
16:30
17 Oct 2026
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
3rd place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 October, 2026 11:30

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
Premier League 2026-2027
16:30
Newcastle W 39%
:
Aston Villa W 36%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

No lambda data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Newcastle vs Aston Villa Saturday, Oct 17th, 2026 at 11:30 Football

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Newcastle vs Aston Villa

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Trends for Newcastle vs Aston Villa Football 17 Oct, 2026 11:30

Team Form Comparison

Newcastle Home
Form Index 53
Goals 9:7
PPG 1.40
Aston Villa Away
Form Index 46
Goals 7:5
PPG 1.40
BARDSUNLBOULBRIWWESW
FULLNOTLBURDFREWMACW
2/5
Won
2/5
5/5
Scored
3/5
2/5
Scored 2+
3/5
0/5
Clean sheet
1/5
2/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
5/5
BTTS
2/5

Newcastle

BARDSUNLBOULBRIWWESW
Won 2/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 2/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 5/5

Aston Villa

FULLNOTLBURDFREWMACW
Won 2/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 7
BTTS 3/7
Over 2.5 5/7
Aston Villa unbeaten 3/3

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Newcastle Home
Aston Villa Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: Newcastle is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 4).
  • First half: Newcastle is stronger (14 vs 10).
  • Second half: Aston Villa is stronger (18 vs 14).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.23 factor
Home Pressure 0.22 Away 0.17

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
9 0.45
Fast Start (0–15)
4 0.20
14 0.70
First Half (0–45)
10 0.50
14 0.70
Second Half (46–90)
18 0.90
10 0.50
Final Stage (76–90)
12 0.60

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.272 Strong
Pressure Home +0.045 Weak
Timing Home +0.000 Weak
Defense Away +0.023 Weak

Momentum

Newcastle Metric Aston Villa
7 Positive Sequences 4
9 Comeback Goals 5
4 Negative Sequences 6
12 Killer Goals 9

Pressure

Newcastle Metric Aston Villa
9 Early Pressure 4
10 Late Pressure 12
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Newcastle Metric Aston Villa
9 Fast Starts 4
5 Half-time Spurts 6
4 Second Half Starts 6
10 Late Surges 12

Defense

Newcastle Metric Aston Villa
3 Early Conceded 2
5 Late Conceded 4
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Home fast start: Newcastle often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 4).
  • First goal: high probability of Newcastle scoring first.
  • First half result: consider Newcastle to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Aston Villa winning the second half.
  • Match outcome: Aston Villa holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Newcastle

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Aston Villa

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Newcastle
Aston Villa

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Oct, 2026 @ 11:30 Premier League

0 Played 0
0-0-0 Win Rate 0-0-0
Form Index
Team Rating
50 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Newcastle Aston Villa Attack 50 50 Defense 50 50 Control 50 50 Discipline 50 50 Average 50 50 50

Attack

0
Goals
0
Expected Goals
0
Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0

Defense

0
Conceded
0
Expected Goals Against
0
Shots Allowed
0
0
Goal Difference
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

Possession
Pass Accuracy
0
Passes
0
0
Accurate Passes
0

Discipline

0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Fouls
0
0
Offsides
0

Efficiency

PPG
Goals vs xG
Shot Conversion
Save %
Team comparison

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Newcastle and away matches for Aston Villa

Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
1X2
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
10% 1
10% 1
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
Newcastle
Aston Villa
12
90% 9
90% 9
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
30% 3
50% 5
Total Corners
Newcastle
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Newcastle
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Newcastle
Aston Villa
xG
1.41
1.61
xGa
1.96
1.19
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Newcastle
Aston Villa
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
0% 0
60% 6
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Newcastle
Aston Villa
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
100% 10
40% 4
Total Goals
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
1.49 Expected goals 1.41
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
UEFA Champions League 2025 Winner Prediction: Analysis & Betting Insights
Posted on
In this exciting Premier League 2026-2027 matchup, Newcastle will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2026-2027 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 7 and will take place on 2026-10-17 at 2026-10-17 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Newcastle, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-10-17 Time: 16:30 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!