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Napoli vs AC Milan: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 6 April, 2026 13:45
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
18
Played
12
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(31 total)
xG
1.30
(22.7 total)
Shots per Match
13
(234 total)
Shots on Target
5
(38% acc)
Corners
5.8
(104 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.7
(229 total)
Offsides
1.1
(20 total)
20
Played
9
Wins
2
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(24 total)
xG
1.40
(27.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(237 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(33% acc)
Corners
5.1
(101 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
11.8
(235 total)
Offsides
1.1
(21 total)
38
Played
21
Wins
7
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(55 total)
xG
1.30
(49.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.4
(471 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(36% acc)
Corners
5.4
(205 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(5 total)
Fouls
12.2
(464 total)
Offsides
1.1
(41 total)
15
Played
9
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(22 total)
xG
1.60
(24.3 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(231 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(33% acc)
Corners
5.1
(77 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
10.3
(154 total)
Offsides
1.9
(28 total)
15
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(25 total)
xG
1.50
(23.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.1
(167 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(37% acc)
Corners
3.7
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.5
(142 total)
Offsides
2.1
(31 total)
30
Played
18
Wins
9
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(47 total)
xG
1.60
(47.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.3
(398 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(34% acc)
Corners
4.4
(133 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
13
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
9.9
(296 total)
Offsides
2
(59 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.20 vs 1.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.2%
0:1
10.37%
0:2
7.46%
⭐
0:3
3.58%
⭐
0:4
1.29%
⭐
0:5
0.37%
⭐
1
1:0
7.12%
1:1
11.77%
🔥
1:2
9.56%
⭐
1:3
5.11%
⭐
1:4
2.03%
⭐
1:5
0.64%
⭐
2
2:0
3.52%
2:1
6.57%
2:2
5.97%
⭐
2:3
3.54%
⭐
2:4
1.54%
⭐
2:5
0.53%
⭐
3
3:0
1.16%
3:1
2.41%
3:2
2.43%
⭐
3:3
1.59%
⭐
3:4
0.76%
⭐
3:5
0.28%
⭐
4
4:0
0.29%
4:1
0.66%
4:2
0.73%
⭐
4:3
0.52%
⭐
4:4
0.27%
⭐
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
0.06%
5:1
0.14%
5:2
0.17%
5:3
0.13%
⭐
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Napoli will take on AC Milan as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 31 and will take place on 2026-04-06 at 2026-04-06 in the famous Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Napoli, and the visiting side, AC Milan. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Napoli or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-06
Time: 18:45
Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Napoli vs AC Milan Monday, Apr 6th, 2026 at 13:45 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Napoli vs AC Milan Football 6 Apr, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Napoli vs AC Milan.
🏆 Match Winner — AC Milan @ 3.12 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan
Above League AverageLeague
AC Milan score 1.71 goals/match in away matches (+46% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
AC Milan are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.71 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 770%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
AC Milan concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 770%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends15 / 15100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — AC Milan to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.98 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNapoli1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Napoli score (2.00/match) and concede (0.86/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 47%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.40 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsNapoli1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Napoli score 2.00 goals/match at home (+71% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan3 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
AC Milan score 1.71 goals/match in away matches (+46% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 775%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.71 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams average 3.7 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — AC Milan Win or Draw @ 1.53 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan
Top Table FormLeague
AC Milan are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
AC Milan concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
AC Milan are undefeated at half time in 14 of their last 15 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AC Milan demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — AC Milan Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.15 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan
Above League AverageLeague
AC Milan score 1.71 goals/match in away matches (+46% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 775%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.71 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AC Milan's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsNapoli1 Trends — avg 1.5 (-31% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Napoli average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-28% below league avg 2.0) — rank #1 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan1 Trends — avg 1.7 (-22% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
AC Milan average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0) — rank #4 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends15 / 1590%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.80 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsNapoli1 Trends — avg 6.0 (+37% above league)Many CornersLeague
Napoli average 6.0 corners/match at home (+37% above league avg 4.4)
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan1 Trends — avg 3.5 (-20% below league)Few CornersLeague
AC Milan average 3.5 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 4.4)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 9.5 corners/match (Napoli 6.0 + AC Milan 3.5)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Napoli vs AC Milan
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Napoli is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⚡ Final Stage: Napoli is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Napoli is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Napoli
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.14
✈️ AC Milan
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.03
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Napoli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ AC Milan - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Napoli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
5
✈️ AC Milan - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Napoli often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Napoli scoring first
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Napoli excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 2 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Napoli scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: AC Milan has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider AC Milan handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.153
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.104
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Napoli):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (AC Milan):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Napoli vs AC Milan Head-to-head statistics for Mon 6 Apr, 2026 @ 13:45 Serie A
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Napoli or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Napoli
VS
AC Milan
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
4
Wins
1
Draws
4
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10)
1.3 (12)
xG
1.60
1.30
Shots
12.6 (113)
14 (126)
Shots on Target
3.6 (32)
5.1 (46)
Corners
4.8 (43)
4.7 (42)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (12)
1.1 (10)
xGa
1.30
1.60
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (16)
1.8 (16)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
10.7 (96)
11.2 (101)
Offsides
0.6 (5)
1.9 (17)
Last 6 Matches
Napoli
VS
AC Milan
4/6 (67%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.17
PPG
1.67
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
83%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.10
Avg xG
1.33
Napoli vs AC Milan: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Napoli and away matches for AC Milan
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Napoli
AC Milan
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
1X2
Napoli
AC Milan
1
60%
6
60%
6
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Napoli
AC Milan
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
40%
4
40%
4
Total Goals
Napoli
AC Milan
0-1
10%
1
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Napoli
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Napoli
AC Milan
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Napoli
AC Milan
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Napoli
AC Milan
xG
1.23
1.6
xGa
1
1.07
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Napoli
AC Milan
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Napoli
AC Milan
1
70%
7
30%
3
X
10%
1
50%
5
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Napoli
AC Milan
12
90%
9
50%
5
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
30%
3
70%
7
Total Goals
Napoli
AC Milan
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Napoli
AC Milan
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Napoli
AC Milan
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Napoli
AC Milan
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Napoli
AC Milan
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Napoli
AC Milan
0-1
10%
1
60%
6
2-3
90%
9
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Napoli
AC Milan
Yes
20%
2
60%
6
No
80%
8
40%
4
0.96
xG
1.38
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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