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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Nacional
Nacional
14th place
Form
VS
16:00
4 Apr 2026
Estrela
Estrela
12th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Nacional vs Estrela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 4 April, 2026 11:00

No prediction data available for this match.

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
16:00
Nacional
:
Estrela

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Nacional
l w d l d
8 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
1.40 (11.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (82 total)
Shots on Target
4 (39% acc)
Corners
3.9 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
2.00 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (4 total)
Fouls
13.6 (109 total)
Offsides
2.1 (17 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9 total)
xG
1.00 (9.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (116 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (30% acc)
Corners
3.9 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.8 (133 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (21 total)
xG
1.20 (20.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (198 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (34% acc)
Corners
3.9 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
14.2 (242 total)
Offsides
1.8 (31 total)
Estrela
w l d w d
9 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (13 total)
xG
1.60 (14.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (127 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (28% acc)
Corners
4.3 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
13.1 (118 total)
Offsides
1.7 (15 total)
8 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (10 total)
xG
0.80 (6.5 total)
Shots per Match
8 (64 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (42% acc)
Corners
2.4 (19 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
14.3 (114 total)
Offsides
1.6 (13 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
7 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (23 total)
xG
1.20 (21.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (191 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (32% acc)
Corners
3.4 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.6 (232 total)
Offsides
1.6 (28 total)

No prediction data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Estrela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-04 at 2026-04-04 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Estrela. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-04 Time: 16:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nacional vs Estrela Saturday, Apr 4th, 2026 at 11:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Trends for Nacional vs Estrela Football 4 Apr, 2026 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Nacional create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Nacional vs Estrela

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (13 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Nacional

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Estrela

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Nacional - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Estrela - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Nacional - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Estrela - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider Estrela to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nacional shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Nacional winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nacional excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nacional scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.304
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.004
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.105 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estrela):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Nacional
Estrela

Nacional vs Estrela Head-to-head statistics for Sat 4 Apr, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
Rio Ave
w l d l w
>
17
4
8
5
22
29
-7
20
12
Estrela
w l d w d
>
17
4
7
6
23
27
-4
19
13
Santa Clara
w l d l d
>
17
4
5
8
14
19
-5
17
14
Nacional
l w d l d
>
17
4
5
8
21
26
-5
17
15
Casa Pia
l d w d l
>
17
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
Nacional
VS
Estrela
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.3 (1)
1.3 (4)
xG
0.80
1.70
Shots
17 (51)
14.3 (43)
Shots on Target
4 (12)
3.3 (10)
Corners
5.7 (17)
5.7 (17)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (4)
0.3 (1)
xGa
1.70
0.80
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
2 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (6)
2 (6)
Fouls
13.7 (41)
12 (36)
Offsides
1.7 (5)
1 (3)
9 Nov
- 15:30
Estrela
Nacional
2.22
xG
1.26
1
1
Prob 68%
Goals Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.70
6 Apr
- 17:00
Nacional
Estrela
0.59
xG
1.05
0
1
10 Nov
- 15:30
Estrela
Nacional
1.95
xG
0.52
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Estrela
1/6 (17%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.83 PPG 1.33
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
83% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.25 Avg xG 0.92
Nacional
L W D L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
3 3
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 20:45
Guimaraes
2 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 15:30
AVS
2 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Nacional
3 1
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Alverca
1 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Nacional
1 2
Benfica
Estrela
W L D W D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Estrela
3 3
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Famalicao
2 3
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Estrela
0 0
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 20:45
FC Porto
3 1
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Estrela
3 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Sporting CP
4 0
Estrela

Nacional vs Estrela: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Estrela

Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
80% 8
70% 7
No
20% 2
30% 3
1X2
Nacional
Estrela
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Nacional
Estrela
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Nacional
Estrela
0-1
20% 2
10% 1
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
40% 4
60% 6
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Estrela
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Estrela
xG
1.32
1.16
xGa
1.96
1.77
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Nacional
Estrela
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Nacional
Estrela
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Nacional
Estrela
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Nacional
Estrela
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Nacional
Estrela
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Nacional
Estrela
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1.86 xG 1.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found