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Nacional vs Estrela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 4 April, 2026 12:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
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No prediction data available for this match.
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
▼
3
8
4
19
24
-5
17
12
▼
4
4
7
17
21
-4
16
13
▼
4
4
7
11
15
-4
16
14
▼
3
6
6
17
22
-5
15
15
▲
3
4
8
16
29
-13
13
1.77
xG
1.16
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Estrela
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.83
PPG
1.33
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
0.96
Avg xG
1.37
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Estrela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-04 at 2026-04-04 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Estrela. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-04
Time: 16:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Nacional vs Estrela Football 4 Apr, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Nacional create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Nacional vs Estrela, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Nacional(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
Estrela(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Estrela are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Nacional score (1.29/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 44%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/3100%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
Nacional(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Nacional are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches
Estrela(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Estrela are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Estrela(2 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Estrela scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/3100%Estrela score in second half in their last 3 3 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Nacional(1 trends) — avg 2.8 (+4% above league)
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Estrela(1 trends) — avg 3 (+11% above league)
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Estrela(1 trends) — avg 3.8 (-18% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/783%Estrela average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.6)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nacional vs Estrela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Estrela
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Estrela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9
✈️ Estrela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Estrela to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nacional shows superior performance after the break (11 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Nacional winning the second half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.243
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.105 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estrela):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Nacional vs Estrela Head-to-head statistics for Sat 4 Apr, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Nacional vs Estrela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Estrela
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
1X2
Nacional
Estrela
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Nacional
Estrela
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Nacional
Estrela
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Estrela
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Estrela
xG
1.3
1.37
xGa
1.78
1.42
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Nacional
Estrela
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Nacional
Estrela
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Nacional
Estrela
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Nacional
Estrela
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Nacional
Estrela
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Nacional
Estrela
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Nacional
Estrela
Played:
3
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
1
0.3
Goals
1.3
4
4
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.3
1
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
6
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.7
2
17
5.7
Corners
5.7
17
41
13.7
Fouls
12
36
5
1.7
Offsides
1
3
51
17
Shots
14.3
43
12
4
Shots on Goal
3.3
10
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 14 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.4 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 19 | 2.5 | 20 | 2.6 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0.6 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.1 | 29 | 4 | 32 | 4.1 | 61 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 95 | 14.5 | 116 | 14.1 | 211 |
| Offsides | 2.3 | 16 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 28 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 69 | 12.8 | 102 | 11.4 | 171 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 27 | 3.9 | 31 | 3.9 | 58 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 9 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.5 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 20 | 2.4 | 17 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 34 | 2.1 | 15 | 3.3 | 49 |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 105 | 14 | 98 | 13.5 | 203 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 14 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.6 | 24 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 117 | 8.3 | 58 | 11.7 | 175 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 31 | 3.3 | 23 | 3.6 | 54 |
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