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Nacional
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2
Benfica
Nacional vs Estrela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 4 April, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
3
3
6
10
14
-4
12
13
▼
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
▼
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
15
2
3
7
13
26
-13
9
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Estrela
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.33
PPG
1.17
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
67%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.17
Avg xG
1.48
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
0.97
xG [Total: 1.87]
0.90
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
5
Corners [Total: 8]
3
3
Offsides [Total: 5]
2
13
Fouls [Total: 27]
14
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
3
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Estrela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-04 at 2026-04-04 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Estrela. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-04
Time: 16:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Nacional vs Estrela Football 4 Apr, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Nacional vs Estrela, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Nacional(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
Estrela(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Estrela are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Estrela have not won in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/667%Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (2.17/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Estrela(1 trends)
- BTTS NoRecent12/1580%At least one team failed to score in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Nacional(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1675%Over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Estrela(3 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent14/1593%Estrela scored 0-1 goals in 14 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1580%Under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Few GoalsRecent24/3080%Estrela scored 0-1 goals in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/3100%Under 2.5 goals in their last 3 Primeira Liga H2H matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
Nacional(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Nacional are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches vs Estrela
Estrela(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Estrela are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Estrela have not won in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Nacional(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Nacional scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Estrela(3 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H3/3100%Estrela scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H3/3100%Estrela conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H3/3100%Estrela score in second half in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Nacional(2 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1286%Nacional average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.7) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Estrela(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent26/3087%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 26 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 4 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Estrela(2 trends) — avg 3.8 (-18% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/683%Estrela average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent11/1385%Estrela win 4 or fewer corners in 11 of their last 13 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+8 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nacional vs Estrela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (11 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Estrela
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Estrela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
10
✈️ Estrela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (11 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Estrela to win the first half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.183
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.09 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estrela):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Nacional vs Estrela Head-to-head statistics for Sat 4 Apr, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga
Nacional vs Estrela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Estrela
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Nacional
Estrela
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
Estrela
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
Estrela
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Estrela
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Estrela
xG
1.14
1.31
xGa
1.65
1.34
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Nacional
Estrela
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
Estrela
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
Estrela
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Nacional
Estrela
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
Estrela
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
Estrela
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Estrela
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Nacional
Estrela
Played:
3
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
1
0.3
Goals
1.3
4
4
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.3
1
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
6
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.7
2
17
5.7
Corners
5.7
17
41
13.7
Fouls
12
36
5
1.7
Offsides
1
3
51
17
Shots
14.3
43
12
4
Shots on Goal
3.3
10
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 3.2 | 19 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 4.7 | 28 | 4.5 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 87 | 14.3 | 171 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 15 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 61 | 11 | 66 | 10.6 | 127 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 23 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.8 | 45 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.8 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 2.5 | 15 | 3.4 | 41 |
| Fouls | 13 | 78 | 13.5 | 81 | 13.3 | 159 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Shots | 14 | 84 | 8.7 | 52 | 11.3 | 136 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.5 | 21 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.6 | 43 |
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