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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 30
Preview
Moreirense
Moreirense
9th place
Form
VS
19:15
20 Apr 2026
Estoril
Estoril
8th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Estoril
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Moreirense vs Estoril: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 20 April, 2026 14:15

Winner (1x2)2.40
Estoril to Win
Probability 51%
Total Goals1.94
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score1.70
Yes
Probability 50%
Moreirense Total1.34
Home Over 0.5
Probability 61%
Estoril Total1.27
Away Over 0.5
Probability 79%
Double Chance1.40
Draw/Estoril
Probability 80%
Asian Handicap1.20
Moreirense +1.5
Probability 75%
Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
19:15
Moreirense W 20%
:
Estoril W 51%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Moreirense
d l l l d
14 Played
6 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (16 total)
xG
0.70 (9.3 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (115 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (35% acc)
Corners
4.1 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.9 (180 total)
Offsides
0.7 (10 total)
15 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (16 total)
xG
1.10 (15.8 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (123 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (41% acc)
Corners
3.1 (46 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.2 (213 total)
Offsides
1.6 (24 total)
29 Played
10 Wins
6 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (32 total)
xG
0.90 (25.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (238 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (38% acc)
Corners
3.6 (103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
13.6 (393 total)
Offsides
1.2 (34 total)
Estoril
d w l l l
15 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (28 total)
xG
1.30 (19.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (174 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (37% acc)
Corners
4.3 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.9 (178 total)
Offsides
1.1 (17 total)
14 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (23 total)
xG
1.20 (17.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (157 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (33% acc)
Corners
4.1 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.3 (186 total)
Offsides
1.4 (20 total)
29 Played
10 Wins
7 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (51 total)
xG
1.20 (36.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (331 total)
Shots on Target
4 (35% acc)
Corners
4.2 (122 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.6 (364 total)
Offsides
1.3 (37 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.94 vs 1.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.72%
0:1
13.58%
🔥
0:2
9.49%
0:3
4.42%
0:4
1.54%
0:5
0.43%
1
1:0
7.36%
1:1
12.06%
1:2
9.67%
1:3
5.08%
1:4
1.98%
1:5
0.61%
2
2:0
2.79%
2:1
5.24%
2:2
4.76%
2:3
2.81%
2:4
1.21%
2:5
0.41%
3
3:0
0.7%
3:1
1.49%
3:2
1.52%
3:3
1%
3:4
0.48%
3:5
0.18%
4
4:0
0.13%
4:1
0.31%
4:2
0.36%
4:3
0.26%
4:4
0.14%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.05%
5:2
0.07%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (13.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.7%
0
20.9%
1
24.3%
2
20.0%
3
13.0%
4
7.1%
5
3.2%
6
1.2%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

MoreirenseHDPEstoril
1.0%
Very Low@ 12.00
-2.5
9.0%
@ 9.50Very Low
3.0%
Very Low
-2
16.8%
@ 7.70Very Low
5.0%
Very Low@ 6.25
-1.5
24.7%
@ 4.50Low
12.0%
Very Low@ 5.50
-1
38.4%
@ 3.78Low
18.9%
Very Low@ 3.05
-0.5
52.0%
@ 2.35Medium
48.0%
Medium@ 1.62
+0.5
81.1%
@ 1.42Very High
61.6%
High@ 1.27
+1
88.0%
@ 1.15Very High
75.3%
High@ 1.20
+1.5
95.0%
@ 1.12Very High
83.2%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
97.0%
Very High
91.0%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
99.0%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

MoreirenseOutcomeEstoril
24.2%
Low@ 2.69
Over 1.5
46.9%
@ 2.24Medium
75.8%
High@ 1.50
Under 1.5
53.1%
@ 1.67Medium
7.0%
Very Low@ 7.00
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 5.00Low
93.0%
Very High@ 1.11
Under 2.5
78.9%
@ 1.17High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Moreirense vs Estoril Monday, Apr 20th, 2026 at 14:15 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Match Winner Estoril
High Value
Prob: 50.9%
EV: +22.2%
Stake: $1.79
2.40
Correct Score 0:1
High Value
Prob: 13.8%
EV: +17.6%
Stake: $0.33
8.50
Home Total Moreirense Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 75.8%
EV: +13.7%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Total Home Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 75.2%
EV: +12.8%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 79.9%
EV: +11.8%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 79.9%
EV: +11.8%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Goals Over/under Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 54.7%
EV: +6.0%
Stake: $2.66
1.94
Asian Handicap Estoril +1
Value
Prob: 88%
EV: +1.2%
Stake: $10.00
1.15
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-19 06:39:17
spinner

Trends for Moreirense vs Estoril Football 20 Apr, 2026 14:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Moreirense vs Estoril

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Estoril is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (12 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Estoril is stronger in the second half (18 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Estoril is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Moreirense

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.04

✈️ Estoril

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.3
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Moreirense - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Estoril - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Moreirense - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Estoril - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
8
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Estoril often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Estoril scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (12 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Estoril to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Estoril shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Estoril winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Estoril excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Estoril scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Estoril has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Estoril handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.192
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.103
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Moreirense):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estoril):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Moreirense
Estoril

Moreirense vs Estoril Head-to-head statistics for Mon 20 Apr, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
Guimaraes
l l w d w
>
30
11
6
13
36
43
-7
39
8
Estoril
d w l l l
>
29
10
7
12
51
50
1
37
9
Moreirense
d l l l d
>
29
10
6
13
32
41
-9
36
10
Alverca
d l w w l
>
30
9
8
13
32
48
-16
35
Team comparison
Prediction
Moreirense Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Moreirense
VS
Estoril
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (12)
1.8 (9)
xG
1.50
1.50
Shots
10 (50)
10.6 (53)
Shots on Target
5.2 (26)
4.8 (24)
Corners
2.4 (12)
5.6 (28)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 (9)
2.4 (12)
xGa
1.50
1.50
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 (11)
2 (10)
Fouls
13.6 (68)
13.8 (69)
Offsides
2 (10)
1.8 (9)
7 Dec
- 15:30
Estoril
Moreirense
1.83
xG
2.41
3
3
Prob 79%
Double Chance 1X
Odd 1.30
11 May
- 17:00
Moreirense
Estoril
1.36
xG
1.61
2
2
Prob 67%
Best Tip PREMIUM
Odd 1.95
28 Dec
- 18:00
Estoril
Moreirense
1.12
xG
0.63
2
2
18 May
- 17:00
Moreirense
Estoril
2
1
13 Jan
- 20:30
Estoril
Moreirense
1
3
Last 6 Matches
Moreirense
VS
Estoril
0/6 (0%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
0.50 PPG 0.67
0.50 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
50% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.62 Avg xG 0.79
Moreirense
D L L L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Apr 2026 - 19:45
Famalicao
1 1
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Moreirense
0 1
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Moreirense
0 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 20:30
FC Porto
3 0
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Moreirense
1 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Casa Pia
1 1
Moreirense
Estoril
D W L L L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Apr 2026 - 19:30
Estoril
1 3
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Apr 2026 - 17:45
Arouca
3 2
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Estoril
1 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
0 1
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Estoril
0 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Feb 2026 - 20:45
Sporting CP
3 0
Estoril

Moreirense vs Estoril: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Moreirense and away matches for Estoril

Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
Estoril
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Moreirense
Estoril
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
60% 6
50% 5
Double Chance
Moreirense
Estoril
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
40% 4
50% 5
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Moreirense
Estoril
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
70% 7
30% 3
4+
0% 0
50% 5
Total Corners
Moreirense
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
Estoril
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Moreirense
Estoril
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Moreirense
Estoril
xG
0.52
1.1
xGa
1.61
1.63
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
Estoril
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Moreirense
Estoril
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Moreirense
Estoril
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Moreirense
Estoril
0-1
80% 8
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
Estoril
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
Estoril
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Moreirense
Estoril
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
60% 6
40% 4
Double Chance
Moreirense
Estoril
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Moreirense
Estoril
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
Estoril
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
0.89 xG 1.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Moreirense will take on Estoril as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 30 and will take place on 2026-04-20 at 2026-04-20 in the famous Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The referee for the game will be M. Torres. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Moreirense, and the visiting side, Estoril. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Estoril. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-20 Time: 19:15 Location: Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!